Tot. score:
4:3
OL Lyonnes (W)
3
:
1
Ended
Arsenal (W)
1st meeting
Arsenal (W)
2:1
OL Lyonnes (W)

Lyon vs Arsenal Prediction

Details
The main thing

    🔊 Lyon are gearing up to host Arsenal in the second leg of the UEFA Women's Champions League semifinal, a clash that will decide who secures a spot in the final. After the first encounter in London, the Gunners hold a slight edge with a 2-1 lead, but the narrow margin keeps the suspense alive. Playing at home, Lyon are always a force to be reckoned with, especially when they need to stage a comeback. The French side will be compelled to attack from the outset, inevitably opening up the game and creating opportunities for the English team to strike on the counter. This will be a battle of experience and titles against the surging British power.

    Head-to-Head

    In the last round at the Emirates, the match concluded with a 2-1 victory for Arsenal. The Gunners showcased their resilience, turning the game around in the second half after Jule Brand's goal. A bizarre own goal and a precise strike from Olivia Smith secured a comeback win for the London club. It's noteworthy that Lyon almost always finds the net against Arsenal in their head-to-head encounters, with high-scoring matches becoming a hallmark of their Champions League clashes. Here's the comparative statistics from that encounter (home team - Arsenal):

    • possession percentage: 50% vs 50%;
    • corners: 5 vs 1;
    • fouls: 6 vs 16;
    • yellow cards: 0 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 6 vs 1.

    📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams OL Lyonnes (W) and Arsenal (W):

    • played 6 matches;
    • number of wins for the home team - 3, for the away team - 3, draws - 0;
    • number of goals - 8 against 13;
    • average total in the 1st half - 2, in the 2nd half - 1.5;
    • average total goals in the match - 3.5.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    57%
    4 Wins
    0%
    0 Draws
    43%
    3 Wins
    Total games
    7
    Total Goals Avg
    3.57
    Both teams scored
    86%
    1.57
    Total average
    2
    1.29
    Yellow cards
    1.57
    Last matches
    02.05.26
    UEFA Champions League Women
    OL Lyonnes (W)
    OL Lyonnes (W)
    Arsenal (W)
    Arsenal (W)
    -
    -
    8
    4
    14
    15
    1
    4
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    8
    4
    14
    15
    1
    4
    26.04.26
    UEFA Champions League Women
    Arsenal (W)
    Arsenal (W)
    OL Lyonnes (W)
    OL Lyonnes (W)
    -
    -
    5
    1
    6
    16
    0
    3
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    0
    -
    -
    5
    1
    6
    16
    0
    3
    07.10.25
    UEFA Champions League Women
    Arsenal (W)
    Arsenal (W)
    OL Lyonnes (W)
    OL Lyonnes (W)
    -
    -
    3
    5
    14
    17
    2
    2
    1
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    -
    -
    3
    5
    14
    17
    2
    2
    27.04.25
    UEFA Champions League Women
    Lyon (W)
    Lyon (W)
    Arsenal (W)
    Arsenal (W)
    1.64
    1.18
    6
    4
    8
    5
    1
    1
    1
    4
    0
    2
    1
    2
    1.64
    1.18
    6
    4
    8
    5
    1
    1
    19.04.25
    UEFA Champions League Women
    Arsenal (W)
    Arsenal (W)
    Lyon (W)
    Lyon (W)
    1.73
    1.04
    9
    3
    9
    12
    2
    1
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    1.73
    1.04
    9
    3
    9
    12
    2
    1
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    OL Lyonnes (W) Team Overview

    The team's last official match took place on in Division 1, Women (home team - Nantes (W), away team - Lyon (W)). The match ended in a 1-1 draw.

    Here are the match statistics (Lyon (W) vs Nantes (W)):

    • possession: 46% vs 54%;
    • corners: 4 vs 4;
    • fouls: 10 vs 12;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 0;
    • shots on target: 4 vs 9.

    The eight-time trophy winners find themselves in a catch-up position, which will force them to adopt an aggressive playing style. Their Champions League statistics are impressive: at home, Lyon exhibit extraordinary scoring prowess, averaging 2.56 goals per match. Additionally, they tend to be involved in high-scoring encounters - in 11 of their last 12 matches in this tournament, the total has exceeded 2.5 goals. The Lyon squad boasts immense experience in breaking down tight defenses, and players like Melchie Dumornay and Kadidiatou Diani are capable of scoring against any opponent.

    Match Results: OL Lyonnes (W)

    Last matches
    29.05.26
    Division 1 Women
    OL Lyonnes (W)
    OL Lyonnes (W)
    Paris (W)
    Paris (W)
    -
    -
    7
    0
    11
    7
    2
    1
    5
    0
    3
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    7
    0
    11
    7
    2
    1
    W
    23.05.26
    UEFA Champions League Women
    Barcelona (W)
    Barcelona (W)
    OL Lyonnes (W)
    OL Lyonnes (W)
    2.12
    1.41
    2
    6
    14
    7
    2
    1
    4
    0
    0
    0
    4
    0
    2.12
    1.41
    2
    6
    14
    7
    2
    1
    L
    16.05.26
    Division 1 Women
    OL Lyonnes (W)
    OL Lyonnes (W)
    Nantes (W)
    Nantes (W)
    -
    -
    7
    1
    15
    8
    2
    1
    8
    0
    0
    0
    8
    0
    -
    -
    7
    1
    15
    8
    2
    1
    W
    10.05.26
    Coupe de France, Women
    PSG (W)
    PSG (W)
    OL Lyonnes (W)
    OL Lyonnes (W)
    -
    -
    6
    5
    -
    -
    1
    2
    1
    4
    0
    3
    1
    1
    -
    -
    6
    5
    -
    -
    1
    2
    W
    06.05.26
    Division 1 Women
    OL Lyonnes (W)
    OL Lyonnes (W)
    Montpellier (W)
    Montpellier (W)
    -
    -
    6
    3
    11
    9
    0
    2
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    6
    3
    11
    9
    0
    2
    W
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    Arsenal (W) Team Overview

    The last official match for the current visitors took place on in the Women's Super League, where Arsenal Women hosted Leicester Women. The game concluded with a 7-0 victory.

    Here are the match statistics (Arsenal Women vs Leicester Women):

    • possession: 67% vs 33%;
    • corners: 8 vs 0;
    • fouls: 4 vs 7;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 16 vs 1.

    The London club travels to France riding a wave of confidence after their victory in the first leg. Their ace remains Alessia Russo, who leads the tournament's scoring chart with eight goals. Under the guidance of Reni Slegers, Arsenal have become a remarkably adaptable side, capable of both dominating play and exploiting opponents' high defensive lines. Their recent 7-0 thrashing of Leicester in the domestic league further showcased that the Gunners' attacking unit is operating like clockwork. The talents of Caitlin Foord and Beth Mead ensure the English side can remain composed even under intense crowd pressure.

    Match Results: Arsenal (W)

    Last matches
    16.05.26
    The FA Women's Super League
    Liverpool (W)
    Liverpool (W)
    Arsenal (W)
    Arsenal (W)
    -
    -
    1
    5
    5
    8
    0
    1
    1
    3
    0
    3
    1
    0
    -
    -
    1
    5
    5
    8
    0
    1
    W
    13.05.26
    The FA Women's Super League
    Arsenal (W)
    Arsenal (W)
    Everton (W)
    Everton (W)
    -
    -
    8
    3
    5
    9
    0
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    8
    3
    5
    9
    0
    2
    W
    09.05.26
    The FA Women's Super League
    Aston Villa (W)
    Aston Villa (W)
    Arsenal (W)
    Arsenal (W)
    -
    -
    1
    10
    10
    2
    0
    0
    0
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    -
    -
    1
    10
    10
    2
    0
    0
    W
    06.05.26
    The FA Women's Super League
    Brighton (W)
    Brighton (W)
    Arsenal (W)
    Arsenal (W)
    -
    -
    1
    10
    13
    7
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    1
    10
    13
    7
    2
    2
    D
    02.05.26
    UEFA Champions League Women
    OL Lyonnes (W)
    OL Lyonnes (W)
    Arsenal (W)
    Arsenal (W)
    -
    -
    8
    4
    14
    15
    1
    4
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    8
    4
    14
    15
    1
    4
    L
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    Prediction for the 1st half

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 6;
    • First-half wins at home for hosts - 0; for visitors away - 2; number of draws - 0;
    • Average first-half total: 2;
    • Today's home team scores on average 1, while the visitors net 1.

    First-Half Stats: OL Lyonnes (W) (home) vs Arsenal (W) (away)

    • matches played in the tournament: 4 vs 5;
    • wins: 4 (100%) vs 3 (60%);
    • losses: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
    • draws: 0 (0%) vs 2 (40%);
    • Average goals scored: 1.5 vs 1.2;
    • Average goals conceded: 0 vs 0.

    Last 10 Matches (Overall):

    • wins: 7 vs 6;
    • losses: 1 vs 1;
    • draws: 2 vs 3;
    • Average first-half total: 1.6 (scored - 1.4, conceded - 0.2) vs 1.6 (scored - 1.3, conceded - 0.3).
    Trends
    • OL Lyonnes (W) have won the 1st half in last 10 home games.
    👉Prediction: 1st Half OL Lyonnes (W) Win (odds: 2)

    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 6;
    • home team wins - 3, away team wins - 3, draws - 0.

    Statistics: OL Lyonnes (W) vs Arsenal (W)

    • matches played in the tournament: 6 vs 6;
    • wins: 6 vs 8;
    • win percentage: 67% vs 73%;
    • losses: 2 vs 3;
    • draws: 1 vs 0.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 6 vs 8;
    • losses: 2 vs 2;
    • draws: 2 vs 0.
    👉Prediction: Arsenal (W) Handicap (+1) (odds: 1.8)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 1.33, the guests - 2.17;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.5;
    • both teams scored: overall - 5; at the home team's field - 2.

    Statistics: OL Lyonnes (W) vs Arsenal (W)

    • average total in the tournament: 3.44 vs 3;
    • average total goals scored: 2.56 vs 2.09;
    • average total in the 1st half: 1.11 vs 1;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 1.44 vs 1.09;
    • OL Lyonnes (W): average total at home in the tournament -  3.5;
    • Arsenal (W): average total away in the tournament - 2.2;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 2.8 (home - 4) vs 3 (away - 1).
    Trends
    • OL Lyonnes (W) have scored under 2.5 goals in last 6 games against Arsenal (W) (UEFA Champions League Women).
    👉Prediction: OL Lyonnes (W) Total goals Under (2.5) (odds: 1.45)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 6;
    • both teams scored all-time - 5 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 2 times.

    Statistics: OL Lyonnes (W) vs Arsenal (W)

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 6 vs 6;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 4 vs 6;
    • number of BTTS matches for OL Lyonnes (W) at home - 1 (25%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Arsenal (W) away - 1 (20%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 3 vs 4;
    • BTTS matches for OL Lyonnes (W) at home - 0 (0%);
    • BTTS matches for Arsenal (W) away - 0 (0%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (No) (odds: 2.16)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 2:1 (16/150, 10.7%);
    • OL Lyonnes (W) at home most often finish matches: 4:0 (2/4, 50%);
    • Arsenal (W) away most often play: 0:2 , 0:3 , 0:4 , 1:0 , 3:2 (1/5, 20%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    1:1 - 10.1% (odds 6.5)
    2:1 - 10.05% (odds 6.5)
    2:0 - 9.37% (odds 7)

    👉Prediction: Correct Score (1:1) (odds: 6.5)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    The tournament situation leaves Lyon with no choice-they need to score at least twice to advance without resorting to a penalty shootout. This sets the stage for an end-to-end match. Arsenal, boasting the tournament's top scorer and a well-oiled counter-attacking machine, are certain to find their opportunities to score. Given Lyon's phenomenal track record of high-scoring games in European competitions and their need to come from behind, a scenario with plenty of goals seems inevitable. Both teams possess a wealth of attacking talent, and the pressure of a decisive game will only spur them into action in the final third. We predict over 2.5 goals.

    Our choice
    Total goals Over (2.5) at odds of -175*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (30 April 2026, 12:33)

    Betting Tips: OL Lyonnes (W) - Arsenal (W)

    OL Lyonnes (W) have won the 1st half
    olympique-lyon-2in last 10 home games.
    1st Half OL Lyonnes (W) Win
    Bovada
    +110
    Arsenal (W) have won the 2nd half
    arsenal-lfcin 6 of last 7 away games.
    2nd Half Arsenal (W) Win
    Everygame
    +333
    OL Lyonnes (W) have won
    olympique-lyon-2in last 18 home games.
    OL Lyonnes (W) Win
    Bovada
    -175
    Arsenal (W) have won
    arsenal-lfcin 13 of last 15 games.
    arsenal-lfcin 7 of last 8 games (UEFA Champions League Women).
    arsenal-lfcin 6 of last 7 away games.
    Arsenal (W) Win
    Everygame
    +360
    View more facts

    Lyon - Arsenal Table position

    UEFA Champions League Women 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Barcelona (W)
    Barcelona (W)
    651020-316
    2.
    OL Lyonnes (W)
    OL Lyonnes (W)
    651018-516
    3.
    Chelsea (W)
    Chelsea (W)
    642020-314
    4.
    Bayern Munich (W)
    Bayern Munich (W)
    641114-1313
    5.
    Arsenal (W)
    Arsenal (W)
    640211-612
    6.
    Manchester United (W)
    Manchester United (W)
    64027-912

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    7 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    2 - Loses
    Wins - 6
    Draw - 1
    Loses - 3
    10 matches
    Scored - 35
    Conceded - 10
    +25
    +12
    23 - Scored
    11 - Conceded
    7
    Wins
    6
    1
    Draw
    1
    2
    Loses
    3
    Goal difference
    35
    Scored
    23
    10
    Conceded
    11
    4.5
    Match goals average
    3.4
    3.5
    Goals scored per match on average
    2.3
    1
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.1
    5
    Both teams scored
    5
    26'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    39'
    View all stats