Derby vs Sheffield United Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 2 May 2026
🔊 On Saturday, Pride Park becomes the epicenter of the latest chapter in the playoff race. Derby County, currently 8th with 69 points in the Championship table, trails the coveted 6th spot held by Wrexham by just a single point. Only a win keeps the hosts' hopes alive for a Premier League promotion. Sheffield United, having long lost their chance, arrive with revenge on their minds after a home defeat in the first round against the Rams. Derby are the favorites, but for them, this is more than just a game-it's a moment of truth where any slip-up could be fatal. Nerves might hinder the hosts from delivering their best football.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 01 November 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 1:3. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Sheffield United):
- ball possession percentage: 62% vs 38%;
- corner kicks: 9 vs 4;
- fouls: 10 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 5 vs 4.
📊Analytical review of previous official games between the teams Derby and Sheffield United:
- played 28 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 10, for the away team - 15, draws - 3;
- number of goals (home/away) - 33 against 37;
- average total goals in the match - 2.5.
Head-to-head statistics Derby - Sheffield United
Derby Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Championship tournament (home team - Queens Park Rangers, away team - Derby ). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:3.
Here's the game statistics (Derby vs Queens Park Rangers):
- ball possession: 44% vs 56%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 10;
- fouls: 8 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
- shots on target: 3 vs 12.
Derby County currently sit in 8th position in the league and have been displaying remarkable form at home, securing six consecutive victories on their own turf. During this stretch, the Rams are averaging 1.83 goals per game and have kept clean sheets in four matches-impressive statistics by any measure. However, they lost their most recent home encounter against Sheffield (0-1), which adds a layer of tension ahead of the season's decisive match.
Match Results: Derby
Sheffield United Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Championship tournament (home team - Sheffield United, away - Preston North End). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:3.
Here are the match stats (Sheffield United vs Preston North End):
- ball possession: 69% vs 31%;
- corner kicks: 10 vs 5;
- fouls: 12 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 3;
- shots on target: 3 vs 6.
Sheffield United currently sit 15th in the table and face challenges in nearly every round, as evidenced by their recent form-two wins and five losses over their last ten matches. The Blades have an average scoring rate of 1.42 goals per game, but this takes a back seat as Chris Wilder's side concede heavily, averaging 1.44 goals against per match. This raises significant concerns about their defense.
Match Results: Sheffield United
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 28;
- home team wins - 10, away team wins - 15, draws - 3.
Statistics: Derby vs Sheffield United
- matches played in the tournament: 45 vs 45;
- wins: 20 vs 17;
- win percentage: 44% vs 38%;
- losses: 16 vs 22;
- draws: 9 vs 6.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 6 vs 2;
- losses: 4 vs 5;
- draws: 0 vs 3.
- Derby have won in last 6 home games (Championship).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.18, the guests - 1.32;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.5;
- both teams scored: overall - 15; at the home team's field - 6.
Statistics: Derby vs Sheffield United
- average total in the tournament: 2.73 vs 2.87;
- average total goals scored: 1.47 vs 1.42;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.69 vs 0.67;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.78 vs 0.76;
- Derby : average total at home in the tournament - 1.36;
- Sheffield United: average total away in the tournament - 1.18;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.4 (home - 1.5) vs 1.4 (away - 1).
- Sheffield United have scored under 1.5 goals in last 11 away games against Derby (Championship).
Prediction on corners
Derby : Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.53; at home field - 5.5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.3; at home field - 6.
Sheffield United: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.71, away - 5.82;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.8; away - 3.5.
- Under 10.5 corners in last 8 Derby home games (Championship).
- Under 10.5 corners in 6 of last 7 Derby games (Championship).
Yellow Cards Bet
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 2 (1 for home team and 1 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 2.07 (0.69 for home team and 1.38 for away team).
Derby : Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.47; at home - 2.14;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.8; at home - 2.
Sheffield United: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.8, away - 2;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.2; away - 3.25.
- Over 2.5 yellow cards in 9 of last 10 Derby home games (Championship).
- Over 2.5 yellow cards in 8 of last 9 Derby games (Championship).
- Over 2.5 yellow cards in 7 of last 8 Derby home games.
- Over 2.5 yellow cards in 21 of last 22 Sheffield United games.
- Over 2.5 yellow cards in 20 of last 21 Sheffield United games (Championship).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 28;
- both teams scored all-time - 15 times;
- on the home team’s field - 6 times.
Statistics: Derby vs Sheffield United
- number of matches played in the tournament: 45 vs 45;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 29 vs 25;
- number of BTTS matches for Derby at home - 14 (64%);
- number of BTTS matches for Sheffield United away - 9 (41%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 8;
- BTTS matches for Derby at home - 1 (25%);
- BTTS matches for Sheffield United away - 2 (50%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (82/540, 15.2%);
- Derby at home most often finish matches: 1:1 (6/22, 27.3%);
- Sheffield United away most often play: 1:0 (6/22, 27.3%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 13.58% (odds 8.5)
1:1 - 10.87% (odds 7)
2:1 - 9.71% (odds 7.5)
Editorial Prediction
“Pride Park” will be buzzing with tension for the full 90 minutes, but the hosts are expected to find a happy ending in this encounter. Derby County trail the coveted sixth spot by just a single point and enter the match with immense motivation, while Sheffield United are playing out the season without any objectives in the standings. The Rams are on a roll, particularly strong at home, and with their stadium, passionate support, and motivation, a Derby County victory seems the most reasonable prediction.
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Betting Tips: Derby - Sheffield United
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