Alianza Valledupar vs Millonarios Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 3 May 2026
🔊 The upcoming clash between Alianza and Millonarios promises to be intense, given their current form and statistics. Both teams find themselves in challenging situations-Alianza are fighting for survival, sitting in 17th place, while Millonarios are striving to secure their position in mid-table. The stats reveal a low scoring rate for both sides in recent matches, which could be a crucial factor in this encounter.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 13 September 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 3:0. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Alianza Valledupar):
- ball possession percentage: 56% vs 44%;
- corner kicks: 8 vs 8;
- fouls: 19 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 3;
- shots on target: 5 vs 3.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Alianza Valledupar and Millonarios:
- played 4 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 2, for the away team - 1, draws - 1;
- number of goals - 6 against 4;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.25, in the 2nd half - 1.25;
- average total goals in the match - 2.5.
Head-to-head statistics Alianza Valledupar - Millonarios
Alianza Valledupar Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Primera A, featuring Llaneros as the home side and Alianza as the visitors. The game ended in a goalless draw, 0-0.
Here are the match statistics (Alianza vs Llaneros):
- possession percentage: 42% vs 58%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 7;
- fouls: 8 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
- shots on target: 1 vs 2.
Alianza have shown inconsistent form throughout the season. In their last five matches, they've managed just one win, alongside two losses and two draws. Their weak attack, averaging only 0.61 goals per game, raises doubts about their ability to break through opponents' defenses. Defensively, they are also shaky, conceding over one goal per match on average. However, at home, they often keep the total under 2.5 goals.
Match Results: Alianza Valledupar
Millonarios Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in the Copa Sudamericana, facing Millonarios away from home. The game ended in a 0-0 draw.
Here's the match statistics (Millonarios vs São Paulo):
- possession: 59% vs 41%;
- corner kicks: 9 vs 5;
- fouls: 9 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 3;
- shots on target: 4 vs 1.
Millonarios display more confidence compared to Alianza, but they struggle on the road, having won only two of their last five away matches (one win and one loss). The team scores more goals on average (1.4 per game) than their opponents, yet this rarely translates into success away from home. Their weakness lies in the lack of defensive stability, allowing opponents to create chances near their goal.
Match Results: Millonarios
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 4;
- home team wins - 2, away team wins - 1, draws - 1.
Statistics: Alianza Valledupar vs Millonarios
- matches played in the tournament: 18 vs 18;
- wins: 3 vs 7;
- win percentage: 17% vs 39%;
- losses: 8 vs 7;
- draws: 7 vs 4.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 3 vs 4;
- losses: 3 vs 3;
- draws: 4 vs 3.
- Millonarios have not won in 7 of last 8 away games (Liga Aguila).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.5, the guests - 1;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.5;
- both teams scored: overall - 2; at the home team's field - 1.
Statistics: Alianza Valledupar vs Millonarios
- average total in the tournament: 2 vs 2.78;
- average total goals scored: 0.61 vs 1.61;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.33 vs 0.72;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.28 vs 0.89;
- Alianza Valledupar: average total at home in the tournament - 0.63;
- Millonarios: average total away in the tournament - 1.25;
- last 10 matches (average total): 0.8 (home - 0.5) vs 1.4 (away - 1.25).
- Under 2.5 goals scored in 10 of last 11 Alianza Valledupar home games (Liga Aguila).
- Under 2.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Millonarios games.
Prediction on corners
H2H
- average Over/Under corners in H2H matches - 10.5 (4.75 - for home team and 5.75 - for away team);
- average Over/Under corners at home team's field - 11.5 (6.5 - for home team and 5 - for away team).
Alianza Valledupar: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.44; at home field - 5.13;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.3; at home field - 4.25.
Millonarios: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.72, away - 3.63;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 7.3; away - 4.25.
- Millonarios have taken over 4.5 corners in 7 of last 8 games.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 4;
- both teams scored all-time - 2 times;
- on the home team’s field - 1 times.
Statistics: Alianza Valledupar vs Millonarios
- number of matches played in the tournament: 18 vs 18;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 7 vs 11;
- number of BTTS matches for Alianza Valledupar at home - 3 (38%);
- number of BTTS matches for Millonarios away - 6 (75%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for Alianza Valledupar at home - 0 (0%);
- BTTS matches for Millonarios away - 2 (50%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (29/181, 16%);
- Alianza Valledupar at home most often finish matches: 1:1 (3/8, 37.5%);
- Millonarios away most often play: 2:1 (3/8, 37.5%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
0:1 - 13.23% (odds 6.5)
1:1 - 12.75% (odds 6)
0:0 - 10.51% (odds 7.5)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Considering the trends of low scoring from both teams and especially Millonarios' pattern of netting less than 1.5 goals in most games, a tight match with few goals can be anticipated. Under 2.5 total goals seems the most likely outcome given the home side's limited attacking prowess and the visitors' unpredictability on the road.
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Betting Tips: Alianza Valledupar - Millonarios
in 7 of last 8 home games (Liga Aguila).in 7 of last 8 away games (Liga Aguila).
in 11 of last 12 Millonarios games (Liga Aguila).in 6 of last 7 Millonarios away games.in 10 of last 11 Alianza Valledupar home games (Liga Aguila).in 6 of last 7 Millonarios games.Comparison of Teams Stats
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