Akhmat vs Pari NN Prediction 3 May 2026
🔊 Will Akhmat's losing streak in the Russian Premier League come to an end? The Grozny side have gone five matches without a win, despite previously enjoying a six-game unbeaten run. This time, they host Pari NN, a team that has just parted ways with their coach. Vadim Garanin, who hasn't had professional experience for two years, has been brought in to lift the team out of the relegation zone. Can the former coach of media football club Lit Energy rejuvenate this top-flight squad? Our editorial team offers an insightful prediction on their chances.
Head-to-Head
📊 Over their last 10 matches, the two teams are in perfect balance with five wins each. Notably, in 4 of the last 6 encounters, both teams have consistently found the back of the net.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Akhmat Grozny Team Overview
Stanislav Cherchesov's Akhmat concluded the first half of the championship on a high note and kicked off the second half in similar fashion. This led to a six-match unbeaten streak. However, the Grozny side have since alternated between draws and losses in their last five fixtures. This hasn't significantly impacted their position in the standings, but it's now certain that Akhmat won't rise above 7th place.
In the previous round, Akhmat traveled to face Zenit and failed to secure even a single point. The outcome was justified: the hosts dominated possession (63% to 37%) and, despite a nearly equal number of focused attacks, Zenit outperformed the visitors in terms of chance quality, with 12 shots yielding 1.02 xG compared to Akhmat's 13 shots with just 0.36 xG. Ultimately, the St. Petersburg side netted two unanswered goals (2-0).
Match Results: Akhmat Grozny
Pari NN Team Overview
Under the guidance of Aleksey Shpilevskiy, Pari made a decent start to the second half of the championship with two wins in three rounds. However, they then fell into a prolonged slump, failing to secure a victory in six consecutive matches. These unsatisfactory results led to the dismissal of the Belarusian coach. Vadim Garanin, coming straight from the Media League, has been called up to take over. Yet, the former Lit Energy coach faces a tough challenge: the Nizhny Novgorod side sits in the direct relegation zone, trailing four points behind the safe 12th place.
Shpilevskiy's final match at the helm of Pari was a home clash against Spartak. The Nizhny Novgorod team started strongly, scoring in the 28th minute, but the visitors managed to equalize in stoppage time of the first half. Spartak's dominance only grew from there: they held 65% possession and had nearly twice as many chances (11 shots with 1.29 xG compared to 6 shots with 0.69 xG). This led to a logical goal for the "Red and Whites" in the 72nd minute. The score remained 2-1 until the final whistle.
Match Results: Pari NN
Latest news
Akhmat Grozny
❌ Akhmat will only miss Turpal-Ali Ibyshev. The defender, although he played the full 90 minutes in the last two matches, is not a guaranteed starter. He will sit out the upcoming game due to an accumulation of yellow cards.
Pari NN
❌ Unlike the coaching staff, Paris's medical team is doing an outstanding job. The Nizhny Novgorod squad is gearing up for the next game with a full roster. The only absentee is Alexander Ektov. Last summer, the defender was diagnosed with chronic knee issues, which have kept him off the field this season.
🟨 Prediction on Yellow Cards
Under Stanislav Cherchesov, Akhmat play a highly physical style of football. While they are well-organized defensively, they prefer to meet their opponents with tough challenges. Trips to Chechnya for Paris have consistently been "heated": in 5 out of the last 6 encounters, the number of yellow cards exceeded 4.5. Current odds allow for a slight adjustment, suggesting taking a total of over 3.5 yellow cards at 1.5*.
⚽️ Prediction on Goals
Neither team is particularly prolific in front of goal. Akhmat are adept at maximizing even minimal opportunities. Many of their positive results have come from pragmatic football, with a solid defense and a restrained attack that hasn't scored more than one goal at home in their last five matches. Paris's attack struggles with away performances, scoring less than 1.5 goals in 14 out of 16 matches. Given these factors, it seems reasonable to take a total of under 2.5 goals with odds of 1.79*.
🚩 Prediction on Corners
Akhmat prefer to defend with a low block. Their 4-2-3-1 formation allows them to quickly transition into attack and play on the counter from deep. However, Cherchesov also occasionally employs a 3-4-2-1 setup, especially against less formidable teams.
The challenge is that their flank play relies heavily on the wing-backs, who often struggle to cover the distance to the corner flags for set-pieces. This is reflected in the stats: Akhmat have taken no more than five corners in ten consecutive RPL matches. We believe it's a safe bet to take Akhmat's total corners under 5.5 at 1.64*.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
Editorial Prediction
Both teams have been struggling for wins in the Russian Premier League for quite some time now. However, Akhmat's lackluster results can at least be attributed to a tough schedule, as they faced four of the top five teams in the league over their last five matches. On the other hand, it's harder to justify Pari NN's poor run, especially with a new coach from the Media League, making any expectations on the road quite challenging. Given these circumstances, a victory for Akhmat seems more likely. We anticipate the hosts will secure all three points in their usual fashion with a 1-0 scoreline.
Betting Tips: Akhmat Grozny - Pari NN
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Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
