Ajax vs PSV Prediction 2 May 2026
🔊 Will PSV's winning streak in the Eredivisie continue? As the league leaders, they eased up slightly towards the end of the season, but slip-ups from their rivals allowed them to clinch the title despite their own defeats. With the pressure off, the "Red and Whites" have started winning again, securing nine points in their last three matches. On matchday 32, they travel to Amsterdam to face Ajax, who are desperately trying to reclaim their lost third spot. Who needs the points more in this upcoming clash? Our editorial team will answer this and other questions in our prediction.
Head-to-Head
📊 Over the last 10 league matches, Ajax hold a slight edge in victories with four wins compared to PSV's three. The teams have also drawn three times. Notably, the Amsterdam side are currently on a four-match unbeaten streak.
Head-to-head statistics Ajax - PSV
Ajax Amsterdam Team Overview
Ajax ended the first half of the season among the top three in the league. However, after the winter break, the Amsterdam club quickly ran into challenges that ultimately saw them slip to 5th place in the Eredivisie and led to the dismissal of head coach Fred Grim. Oscar Garcia took over and, in five matches, suffered only one defeat. The rest of the results included three wins and one draw, allowing the team to climb to 4th place in the league.
In their last two matches, Ajax secured emphatic victories with a combined score of 5-0. In the previous round, they faced NAC Breda, the league's second-to-last team, who hosted the Amsterdam side and statistically matched their illustrious opponents: 57% to 43% in possession and 21 to 8 in shots. Nevertheless, the difference in class favored the visitors. Ajax made better use of their chances (1.9 xG compared to 1.82 xG), resulting in two unanswered goals (2-0).
Match Results: Ajax Amsterdam
PSV Team Overview
Peter Bosz's PSV seized the top spot in the Eredivisie from the 12th round and gradually extended their lead over the competition. Up until the 23rd week of the championship, the team remained unbeaten, dropping points only once due to a draw. Yes, in recent months, the "red and whites" eased off a bit, but this didn't stop them from securing the official championship on April 5.
The title lifted a weight off the players' shoulders, and in the last three rounds, they seemed to return to their former form. In their last three matches, the Eindhoven side claimed three victories with an aggregate score of 12-4. Particularly impressive was their recent home triumph over Zwolle. The hosts controlled possession for 67% of the time and outshot the visitors nearly threefold (17 to 6). The "red and whites'" finishing was extraordinary - six goals from an xG of 2.02. The visitors managed just 0.51 xG, which was only enough for a single goal.
Match Results: PSV
Latest news
Ajax Amsterdam
❌ In the last 10 rounds, Ajax's injury list has grown by five players. Winter signing Oleksandr Zinchenko and Liverpool loanee goalkeeper Vitezslav Jaros are confirmed to be out for the rest of the season. They were later joined by Davy Klaassen and Kian Fitz-Jim. However, the most significant loss might be the team's top scorer Mika Godts, who registered a goal and an assist in the previous round before picking up an injury just before the final whistle. The medical staff is currently assessing the striker's condition.
PSV
❌ Since the start of the season, two summer signings, Ruben van Bommel and Alassane Pléa, have been sidelined with injuries. Recent setbacks include the losses of Sergiño Dest, Jerdy Schouten, and the team's top scorer, Ismael Saibari. All three players have been ruled out over the last four matchdays. Additionally, Ivan Perišić will miss the upcoming game due to an accumulation of yellow cards.
🟨 Yellow Card Prediction
The "De Topper" derby traditionally brings a high level of intensity. Time and again, both teams prove this regardless of their league standings. In 4 out of the last 6 encounters, there have been four or more bookings. Yes, both clubs have significant injury lists, but as the season wraps up, especially for Ajax who are still fighting for a Champions League spot, counting losses is the least of their concerns. Given these circumstances, it's reasonable to consider a total of over 3.5 yellow cards.
⚽️ Goal Prediction
PSV are by far the most prolific team in the Eredivisie with 90 goals in 31 matches (their closest rival has 73). Even during their less successful spells, the "Red and Whites" maintained their attacking standards, as evidenced by scoring at least two goals in 7 of the last 8 Eredivisie rounds. Moreover, in 3 out of 5 head-to-heads at the Johan Cruyff Arena, the Eindhoven side scored at least 1.5 goals. Considering Ajax's defensive struggles throughout the season, a bet on PSV to score over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.79* seems highly likely.
🚩 Corner Prediction
With the arrival of a new coach, Ajax's formation has remained largely unchanged, sticking with a 4-3-3 setup. However, Oscar Garcia places greater emphasis on positional play, focusing more on the midfield. As a result, their average number of corners has suffered; under the Spanish coach, Ajax have yet to earn more than five corners in a match. Throughout the season, their corner count hasn't been impressive either-averaging 4.77 over 31 games. A bet on Ajax to have under 4.5 corners at odds of 1.82* seems like a safe choice.
Editor's Prediction
Ajax, under their new head coach, may not have embarked on a consistent winning streak yet, but they have certainly become harder to beat. Yes, the Amsterdam side still drop points with concerning frequency, but avoiding losses has brought them closer to the coveted Champions League spots-a prospect that seemed out of reach at the season's start.
PSV, having already secured the Eredivisie title, are finding it increasingly difficult to maintain tournament motivation. On one hand, as recent results suggest, this might relieve the players of some pressure; on the other, this scenario might not play out well against top clubs, as evidenced by their recent defeat to NEC Nijmegen.
Moreover, Ajax have proven to be a particularly challenging opponent for PSV: in their home encounters, the Amsterdam side have avoided defeat in eight of their last nine meetings with Eindhoven's team. Given these factors, we're inclined to back the hosts and suggest betting on Ajax not to lose. The derby's status promises entertainment, so a high-scoring draw with a 2-2 scoreline would be a fair outcome.
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Betting Tips: Ajax Amsterdam - PSV
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