Porto vs Moreirense Prediction 2 May 2025
🔊 The upcoming clash between Porto and Moreirense will kick off the 32nd round of the Primeira Liga. Porto, currently sitting fourth, are looking to solidify their spot in the European competition zone, while Moreirense are fighting to maintain their mid-table position. An intense game is expected from both sides: the hosts have been delivering solid performances at home, while the visitors have the ability to surprise opponents with their unpredictability.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 21 December 2024 and ended with a score of 0:3. Let's compare the statistics from that encounter: Porto vs Moreirense
- ball possession percentage: 44% vs 56%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 4;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 4;
- shots on target: 2 vs 6;
- fouls: 18 vs 10.
📊 Statistical preview of the official encounters between Porto and Moreirense:
- 33 matches played;
- home victories - 24, away wins - 3, draws - 6;
- goals scored - 72 to 23;
- average goals in the 1st half - 1.21, in the 2nd half - 1.67;
- average total goals per match - 2.88.
Head-to-head statistics Porto - Moreirense

Porto Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Primeira Liga tournament (home team - Estrela, away team - Porto). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:0.
Here's the game statistics (Porto vs Estrela):
- ball possession: 68% vs 32%;
- corner kicks: 11 vs 5;
- fouls: 14 vs 17;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 5;
- shots on target: 3 vs 5.
Porto, a team with a storied history and serious ambitions, currently sit fourth in the league, a position that clearly doesn't satisfy them. Their average goal-scoring stats indicate a stable attacking game, especially on home turf. However, heading into their matchup against Moreirense, the mood isn't at its peak, as they've only secured victory in half of their last ten matches. Nonetheless, on their home ground, the "Dragons" often play effectively and dominate thanks to skilled ball control and efficient finishing.
Match Results: Porto

Moreirense Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Primeira Liga tournament (home team - Moreirense, away - Nacional de Madeir). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:1.
Here are the match stats (Moreirense vs Nacional de Madeir):
- ball possession: 58% vs 42%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 5;
- fouls: 10 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 0;
- shots on target: 3 vs 4.
The "Green and Whites" are delivering an average performance this season, currently sitting in tenth place in the Primeira Liga standings. The team exhibits inconsistent form, with just three wins in their last ten matches. Their style is marked by counter-attacking play, but defense remains a weak spot, as they frequently concede more than one goal per game (having done so three times in their last five matches).
Match Results: Moreirense
Latest news
Porto
🔗 The "Dragons" risk missing out on a top-3 finish and a Europa League spot after suffering a surprising clean-sheet defeat to relegation-battling Estrela in the last round. Backup goalkeeper Claudio Ramos, making his first appearance since January due to Diogo Costa's injury, conceded two goals and could have let in more, given the opponent's xG of 2.41.
❌ Diogo Costa, Vasco Sousa, and Marko Grujić will miss the upcoming match due to injuries. Alan Varela is also unavailable due to an accumulation of yellow cards.
Moreirense
❌ Moreirense will be missing four players. Guilherme Liberato, Hernâni Infande, and Lawrence Ofori are sidelined due to injuries, while Bernardo is out because of a suspension.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 33;
- home team wins - 24, away team wins - 3, draws - 6.
Statistics: Porto vs Moreirense
- number of matches played in the tournament: 31 vs 31;
- number of wins: 19 vs 9;
- win percentage: 61% vs 29%;
- number of losses: 7 vs 13;
- number of draws: 5 vs 9.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 5 vs 3;
- number of losses: 4 vs 3;
- number of draws: 1 vs 4.
- Moreirense won with a +2.5 handicap in 39 of last 40 games.
- Moreirense won with a +2.5 handicap in 35 of last 36 games (Liga Portugal).
- Moreirense won with a +2.5 handicap in last 20 away games.
- Moreirense won with a +2.5 handicap in last 17 away games (Liga Portugal).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 2.18, the guests - 0.7;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.88;
- both teams scored: overall - 14; at the home team's field - 4.
Statistics: Porto vs Moreirense
- average total in the tournament: 2.74 vs 2.61;
- average total goals scored: 1.84 vs 1.16;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.68 vs 0.52;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.16 vs 0.65;
- Porto: average total at home in the tournament - 2.2;
- Moreirense: average total away in the tournament - 1.07;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.3 (home - 1.5) vs 1.1 (away - 0.75).
- Over 2.5 goals scored in last 9 Porto home games against Moreirense (Liga Portugal).
Prediction on corners
Porto: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.55; at home field - 6.47;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.3; at home field - 4.
Moreirense: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.1, away - 3.07;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.6; away - 1.5.
- Under 9.5 corners in 6 of last 7 Porto home games (Liga Portugal).
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 2.48 (1.24 for home team and 1.24 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 2.33 (0.8 for home team and 1.53 for away team).
Porto: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.39; at home - 1.93;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.9; at home - 2.75.
Moreirense: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.32, away - 2.2;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.8; away - 3.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 33;
- both teams scored all-time - 14 times;
- on the home team’s field - 4 times.
Statistics: Porto vs Moreirense
- number of matches played in the tournament: 31 vs 31;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 12 vs 19;
- number of BTTS matches for Porto at home - 7 (47%);
- number of BTTS matches for Moreirense away - 9 (60%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for Porto at home - 3 (75%);
- BTTS matches for Moreirense away - 2 (50%).
- Porto have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 home games.
Editor's Prediction
The match promises to be eventful, given the attacking prowess of both teams and the defensive vulnerabilities of the visitors. Considering the head-to-head stats and current season trends, betting on over 2.5 goals seems a reasonable choice. This bet has come through in the last nine meetings between the teams at "Dragão".