Parma vs Lecce Prediction 31 January 2025

🔊 Who will luck smile upon in the upcoming clash? The 23rd round of Serie A will kick off with a match between Parma and Lecce, who are fighting for survival. Both teams have 20 points each, so in the head-to-head, there should be a battle on every part of the field. In such a situation, we will try to analyze all the strengths and weaknesses of the opponents to provide you with an accurate prediction for the game, which will take place at "Ennio Tardini".

📊 Head-to-Head

In head-to-head confrontations, Parma holds a slight advantage. Over the past 10 years, the teams have played 8 official matches, and in 4 cases, the "Crusaders" celebrated victory. However, in the match that took place in the first round, a draw was recorded (2-2), with Parma heroically saving the game - they equalized thanks to goals in the 93rd and 95th minutes.

⚫ Parma

The recent matches are hard to count as successes for Parma. Over a stretch of 8 matches, the team managed to earn only 5 points, which placed them in the relegation zone. It must be admitted that the "Crusaders" could have shown more acceptable results, but due to lack of experience, they either failed to finish off their opponents or lost seemingly won matches. In the previous round, for example, Parma suffered a defeat from Milan (2-3), although they were leading until the 92nd minute. It is completely unclear how many more rounds/days Fabio Pecchia will remain as head coach of this club with such performances. The upcoming clash might even be his last if the "Crusaders" lose to a direct competitor in the fight for survival. Notably, 8 players, including Enrico Del Prato (suspension) and Dennis Man (muscle injury), will be unable to participate.

🟡 Lecce

Lecce, on the other hand, also approaches the upcoming confrontation not in the best mood. In the last 6 matches, the team has achieved only 1 victory while suffering 4 losses. The "Salentians" would particularly like to forget the results of games against Cagliari (1-4) and Inter (0-4), which took place in the previous two Serie A rounds. Lecce not only conceded 4 goals each time but also displayed very weak football content-wise. According to statistics, in the match against "Nerazzurri", Marco Giampaolo's wards did not create a single dangerous moment at the opponent's goal despite an abnormal number of shots (17). Only by additional indicators is the team not in the relegation zone. As for the upcoming clash, the coaching staff will not be able to count on 5 players, including Filip Marchwinski, who tore his cruciate ligaments on January 22 and is out for the season.

⚽️ Prediction for Goals

One of the weakest areas for both Parma and Lecce is defense. The teams make quite a few blunders on their half of the field, and goalkeepers do not always save their partners. In this Serie A season, the "Crusaders" and "Salentians" have conceded 39 and 40 goals respectively, and only Verona has worse numbers (48). We believe Parma and Lecce will exchange goals, so we bet on both teams to score (yes).

🚩 Prediction for Corners

Lecce has serious problems not only with defense but also in attack. The team prefers to play as the second number, so they rarely threaten opponents' goals. It is not surprising that the "Salentians" are among the worst teams in Serie A in terms of corners earned. Marco Giampaolo's wards approach the corner flag an average of 3.8 times per game, and only Monza (3.6) and Venezia (3.5) have lower figures. Considering that the "Salentians" will play away, a bet on Lecce's total corners under 4.5 should go through without any issues.

📝 Editorial Prediction

According to bookmakers, Parma is a slight favorite in the upcoming confrontation. Despite not being in optimal form, we agree with them on this matter. Firstly, Lecce is also not showing high-quality football. The "Salentians" rarely even draw games, and two heavy defeats in a row from Cagliari (1-4) and Inter (0-4) do not contribute to improving players' morale. Secondly, Fabio Pecchia's wards themselves play relatively well but lack a bit of luck - there were many matches where they could have avoided defeat or even taken three points. We believe the hosts will still manage to achieve a positive result in the upcoming meeting; however, to minimize risks, we advise opting for Parma's win with a handicap (0). We expect to see a scoreline of 2-1 on the scoreboard after 90 minutes.