01.02.25

15:30

Ended

Nacional vs Arouca Prediction 1 February 2025

🔊 The battle in the Primeira Liga between Nacional de Madeira and Arouca promises to be thrilling. Both teams are in the middle of the table, aiming to strengthen their positions. Nacional, playing at home, is showing decent form with recent victories, but Arouca, though not winning often, demonstrates resilience on the road. Adding to the intrigue is the statistic: Arouca has not lost in the last three away matches against Nacional, and the total under 2.5 goals has played out in six of Nacional's last seven home matches. The odds for a win by the visitors and the hosts are almost equal, which only heightens the anticipation of an unexpected outcome.

Head-to-Head

📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Nacional de Madeir and Arouca:

played 12 matches;
number of wins for the home team - 2, for the away team - 5, draws - 5;
number of goals - 12 against 17;
average total in the 1st half - 1.42, in the 2nd half - 1;
average total goals in the match - 2.42.

The last game took place on 25 August 2024 at the home ground of Arouca and ended with a score of 1:0.

Head-to-head statistics Nacional - Arouca

13%

2 Wins

33%

5 Draws

53%

8 Wins

Total games

Total Goals Avg

2.53

Both teams scored

47%

0.93

Total average

1.6

2.53

Yellow cards

2.27

Last matches

21.02.26

Primeira Liga

Arouca

Nacional de Madeir

1.65

1.6

1.65

1.6

20.09.25

Primeira Liga

Nacional de Madeir

Arouca

2.44

1.1

2.44

1.1

01.02.25

Primeira Liga

Nacional de Madeir

Arouca

0.77

1.57

0.77

1.57

25.08.24

Примейра-лига

Arouca

Nacional de Madeir

06.05.18

Segunda Liga

Arouca

Nacional

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Nacional de Madeir Team Overview

🏆Throughout the Primeira Liga season, the team Nacional de Madeir has engaged in 19 fixtures, resulting in:

5 wins,
10 losses,
4 draws.

📈Currently, Nacional de Madeir stands at a mid-tier position within the Primeira Liga standings, with a win percentage of 25% and a loss percentage of 55%.

⚽️Nacional de Madeir has scored a total of 16 goals. On the defensive end, Nacional de Madeir has allowed 28 goals over the season.

Match Results: Nacional de Madeir

Last matches

23.08.26

liga portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes

Nacional de Madeir

2.81

0.63

2.81

0.63

16.08.26

liga portugal

Nacional de Madeir

Estoril Praia

2.08

0.74

2.08

0.74

10.08.26

liga portugal

Santa Clara Azores

Nacional de Madeir

1.5

1.25

1.5

1.25

01.08.26

Club Friendly Games

Maritimo Madeira

Nacional de Madeir

23.07.26

Club Friendly Games

Estrela

Nacional de Madeir

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Arouca Team Overview

🏆Throughout the Primeira Liga season, the team Arouca has engaged in 19 fixtures, resulting in:

5 wins,
10 losses,
4 draws.

📈Currently, Arouca stands at a mid-tier position within the Primeira Liga standings, with a win percentage of 26% and a loss percentage of 53%.

⚽Arouca has scored a total of 16 goals. On the defensive end has allowed 30 goals over the season.

Match Results: Arouca

Last matches

23.08.26

liga portugal

Porto

Arouca

2.72

0.45

2.72

0.45

16.08.26

liga portugal

Arouca

Moreirense

1.72

0.74

1.72

0.74

08.08.26

liga portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes

Arouca

2.38

0.31

2.38

0.31

01.08.26

Club Friendly Games

Lusitania

Arouca

25.07.26

Club Friendly Games

Santa Clara Azores

Arouca

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Prediction on the outcome

H2H:

number of encounters - 12;
home team wins - 2, away team wins - 5, draws - 5.

Statistics: Nacional de Madeir vs Arouca

number of matches played in the tournament: 19 vs 19;
number of wins: 5 vs 5;
win percentage: 25% vs 26%;
number of losses: 11 vs 10;
number of draws: 4 vs 4.

Last 10 matches:

number of wins: 3 vs 3;
number of losses: 5 vs 4;
number of draws: 2 vs 3.

Trends

Nacional de Madeir has not won in 8 of the last 9 games against Arouca.
Nacional de Madeir has not won in each of their last 6 Primeira Liga games against Arouca.

👉Prediction: Arouca will not lose(odds: 1.48)

Prediction on the over/under

H2H

today's home team scores on average - 1, the guests - 1.42;
average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.42;
both teams scored: overall - 5; at the home team's field - 3.

Statistics: Nacional de Madeir vs Arouca

average total in the tournament: 2.2 vs 2.42;
average total goals scored: 0.8 vs 0.84;
average total in the 1st half: 0.6 vs 0.37;
average total in the 2nd half: 0.2 vs 0.47;
Nacional de Madeir: average total at home in the tournament - 1.1;
Arouca: average total away in the tournament - 1;
last 10 matches (average total): 1 (home - 1.2) vs 1.1 (away - 1.4).

Trends

There have been over 1.5 goals scored in 7 of the last 8 Nacional de Madeir games against Arouca in the Primeira Liga.
There have been over 1.5 goals scored in 20 of the last 22 Nacional de Madeir home games.
There have been over 1.5 goals scored in each of the last 6 Nacional de Madeir in the Primeira Liga games.

👉Prediction: Total goals Over (1,5)(odds: 1.37)

Prediction on cards

H2H

average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 4.5 (2.25 for home team and 2.25 for away team);
average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 6 (2.6 for home team and 3.4 for away team).

Nacional de Madeir: Statistics

season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.95; at home - 1.7;
last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1; at home - 0.6.

Arouca: Statistics

season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.79, away - 2.9;
last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.3; away - 3.2.

👉Prediction: Yellow Cards - Total Under (4,5)

Prediction on BTTS

H2H:

number of encounters - 12;
both teams scored all-time - 5 times;
on the home team’s field - 3 times.

Statistics: Nacional de Madeir vs Arouca

number of matches played in the tournament: 19 vs 19;
number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 6 vs 9;
number of BTTS matches for Nacional de Madeir at home - 2 (20%);
number of BTTS matches for Arouca away - 6 (60%).

Last 10 matches:

number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 6;
BTTS matches for Nacional de Madeir at home - 1 (20%);
BTTS matches for Arouca away - 4 (80%).

👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (No)(odds: 1.88)

Editor's Prediction

The match between Nacional de Madeira and Arouca promises to be tense and unpredictable. The head-to-head history shows that Arouca has a slight advantage, having won five of the last twelve matches. However, Nacional, playing at home, will aim to leverage the home field advantage to achieve a positive result. Considering that the total under 2.5 goals has occurred in six of Nacional's last seven home matches, and the fact that Arouca often scores away, the prediction for this match is a total under 2.5 goals. The confidence level in this prediction is at 65%, as both teams tend to play a more defensive game.

Total goals Under (2,5)

Published: 30/01/2025, 16:20