Lille vs Saint Etienne Prediction 1 February 2025

🔊 Will Saint-Étienne challenge the rampaging Lille? In the 20th round of Ligue 1, these teams will meet at the “Pierre Mauroy” stadium. The hosts are considered the clear favorites in this match, which is not surprising. The “Dogs” have been showing quality football all season and are coping even with the giants of world football, while the “Saints” are trailing in the lower part of the French championship standings. Let's try to analyze all the statistical data and choose the optimal prediction for this confrontation.

📊 Head-to-Head

In head-to-head meetings, Lille has a slight advantage with four wins in the last ten matches. Saint-Étienne managed to win only twice during this period. This confrontation is known for its “drought,” with Lille and Saint-Étienne scoring less than three goals combined in six of their last seven meetings. So, one might consider the following scenario: Total goals under 2.5.

🔴 Lille

Although Lille suffered two consecutive defeats, this was not a harbinger of a crisis for the team. The “Dogs” demonstrated this with their spectacular game against Feyenoord (6:1), impressing with their pressure and aggression on the opponent's half. Such a result allowed them to secure a direct ticket to the Round of 16 in the Champions League. After such a grand success, the team will enter the next match in high spirits and continue their fight for prize places in Ligue 1. Currently, Lille is in fifth place, but the gap from most competitors seems insignificant and can be quickly closed.

And this is happening despite significant losses in the club's lineup. Currently, five players are in Lille's infirmary: defenders Ismaily, Santos, and Umtiti, midfielder Bentaleb, and forward Fernandez Pardo.

🟢 Saint-Étienne

There has been some progress in Saint-Étienne's game, as the team has at least managed to escape the relegation zone. In the last four rounds, the “Saints” have earned five points, losing only to PSG (1:2). Compared to the results the team showed earlier, this indeed looks like a miracle. Saint-Étienne now has 18 points, placing them in 15th position in Ligue 1.

There aren't too many players in Saint-Étienne's infirmary, which means that their lineup is close to optimal. Only midfielder Moueffek and forward Old are listed there. Another attacking player, Sissoko, continues to serve his suspension.

⚽️ Prediction on Goals

At their home arena, Lille has scored in every match of the 2024/25 season, and in four of their last five games, players from this team have scored at least two goals. Saint-Étienne has one of the worst records in Ligue 1 for goals conceded (39 after 19 rounds). Therefore, it's worth betting on Lille's individual total goals over 1.5.

🚩 Prediction on Corners

Lille and Saint-Étienne have extremely impressive statistics, with an average of 10.8 and 11 corners respectively in matches involving them. Such statistics clearly suggest that one can bet on Total corners over 9.5.

📝 Match Prediction

Even though Saint-Étienne has started earning points, it does not mean that this team can pose serious problems for Lille. Considering recent head-to-head meetings, it would be reasonable to assume that the visitors could hold on for a draw. But Lille showed incredibly bright attacking play against Feyenoord and generally regularly performs well in home matches. Therefore, we predict that Lille will win with a score of 2:1.

And we have every reason to expect at least a couple of goals from the “Dogs.” Saint-Étienne rarely earns points away and concedes a lot. Meanwhile, Lille is very effective at “Pierre Mauroy,” scoring 16 goals in nine home matches in Ligue 1. So our editorial team advises betting on Lille's individual total goals over 1.5.