Girona vs Las Palmas Prediction 3 February 2025

🔊 Will the "Girona" justify their status as nominal favorites for the match? The final match of the 22nd round of the Spanish La Liga will be a clash between Girona and Las Palmas at the "Montilivi Municipal Stadium". Both teams are not in the best form, which only increases interest in the upcoming game. The main referee is already known: it will be Mario Melero Lopez. Despite the unconvincing football displayed by the "red-and-whites" this season, bookmakers predict their ultimate success: Girona win - 1.58, Las Palmas victory - 5.6.

📊 H2H

In the first round of the current championship, Las Palmas secured a narrow victory over Girona at "Gran Canaria" - 1:0. Interestingly, this success was the first for the "palms" in head-to-head encounters with the "red-and-whites" since the 2014/15 season. It should be noted that the team from the Canary Islands has yet to score against the "Girona" in matches within Spain's top division at the "Montilivi" arena.

🔴 GIRONA

Once again this season, Girona is demonstrating a series of setbacks. Currently, Michel's team has lost 4 matches in a row. The defeat to Rayo Vallecano (1:2) in the last round of La Liga was particularly painful. After a goal by Bryan Gil, the "Girona" ceded initiative to their opponent, leading to a brace by Randy Nteka. Now, they are 4 points behind the European competition zone. In this La Liga campaign, Girona continues to employ their famous attacking formation - 3-2-5. However, confusion in the pivot area leads to many counterattacks on Paulo Gazzaniga's goal. As a result, the "red-and-whites" coach often uses a cautious and easily transformable defensive scheme of 4-3-3. The key player for the club from the eponymous city remains Venezuelan midfielder Yangel Herrera. He is largely the link between defense and attack, performing a significant amount of hard work. On average per match this season, the 27-year-old midfielder makes 2.3 tackles, 1.2 interceptions, and regains possession for his team about 4 times.

🟡 LAS PALMAS

Diego Martinez is experiencing his first crisis in results at the helm of Las Palmas. In 2025, the "palms" have not yet delighted their fans with a victory. Nevertheless, past achievements allow the team from the Canary Islands to sit in 15th place, with a 3-point cushion from the relegation zone. It should be noted that the Spanish specialist places great emphasis on midfield density. Firstly, the "yellows" regularly shift to a 4-5-1 formation, simplifying ball control and complicating opponents' attacks through the center. Moreover, Javier Munoz often plays the role of an inverted wing-back, helping with ball distribution on their half of the field. Note that in this setup, attention is given to the advanced forward who is constantly seeking free spaces. At Las Palmas, this is Fabio Silva. Incidentally, it was through such tactical vision that Claudio Ranieri once led Leicester to a Premier League title. Among unavailable players for the upcoming match are Jose Campaña, Marvin, Viti (all due to injuries), and Dario Essugo (suspension).

⚽️ GOAL PREDICTION

Las Palmas under Diego Martinez employs quite cautious football, not intensifying situations on the opponent's half of the field. Note that on average per match, the "palms" score 1.2 times. It is unlikely that current Girona will also choose an overly attacking plan, considering major issues in their pivot area and rather "stingy" counterattacks from their opponent. We'll note this trend: in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head encounters, no more than two goals were scored. Our bet is total under 3 goals.

🚩 CORNER PREDICTION

Neither team is particularly sharp in flank attacks. One reason is the absence of strong dribblers who excel in one-on-one situations. This season, the "red-and-whites" average 4.9 corners per match, while the "palms" only 3.9. It's important to note a very telling trend: in each of the last 10 head-to-head matches, there were no more than 10 corner kicks observed. We settle on total corners under 9.5.

📝 MATCH PREDICTION

Las Palmas had several more days of rest ahead of this match due to the absence of a European campaign. This factor may play a key role in such an energy-intensive encounter. Moreover, Diego Martinez is adept at preparing his team for meetings with crisis-stricken teams, skillfully exploiting their weaknesses. Our editorial team expects a serious fight from the "palms" and does not believe in a convincing victory for "Girona". A final score of 1:1 seems quite realistic. The key bet is Las Palmas win with a handicap (+1.5).