Cagliari vs Lazio Prediction 3 February 2025

🔊 Can Lazio secure 3 points in the Monday match of Serie A's 23rd round? The "Eagles" definitely need a reset. The team, engaged in a tense battle for the top-4, hasn't performed well in recent games and has allowed direct competitors to catch up. Cagliari, hovering around the relegation zone, also needs points. We recommend checking out our prediction before placing a bet on the match that will take place at the "Unipol Domus."

📊 Head-to-head

In head-to-head encounters, Lazio holds a total advantage in results. Over a stretch of 33 matches, Cagliari has recorded 5 victories, while the "Eagles" have defeated their opponent a whopping 24 times. The game that took place in the 11th round did not bring many surprises - 2-1 in favor of Marco Baroni's team.

🔴 Cagliari

Cagliari had a solid January. Last month, the team managed to earn 7 out of a possible 12 points, which is an excellent result considering they had previously suffered 6 consecutive defeats. Thanks to this successful stretch, Davide Nicola's team was able to climb out of the relegation zone, but it's too early to celebrate - there's still half a season ahead. The only match where the "Islanders" lost was against Torino (0-2) in the previous round. Surprisingly, Cagliari showed an extremely weak performance both in defense and attack. In 90 minutes of play, the team made only 6 shots towards the opponent's goal, with an expected goals count of 0.36. Regarding the upcoming match, the participation of only Zito Luvumbo (in the infirmary since mid-December) and Giuseppe Ciocci (reserve goalkeeper) is in question.

⚪ Lazio

Lazio, on the other hand, is not in its best form. The "Eagles" have lost the stability that was their hallmark in the first part of the season. The team has started playing inconsistently - after a couple of successful matches follows a series of two or three games without wins. For example, last weekend, Marco Baroni's team surprisingly lost at home to Fiorentina (2-1), who hadn't tasted victory in 7 matches. Lazio had a real chance to secure fourth place by distancing themselves from direct competitors but created problems for themselves out of nowhere. Moreover, on January 30th, the team lost for the first time in this season's Europa League, falling to Braga with a score of 0-1. Regarding the upcoming match, the coaching staff will not be able to rely on 5 players, including the league's top assistant Nuno Tavares (0+8, muscle injury) and key midfielder Manuel Lazzari (knee injury).

⚽️ Goals Prediction

In the upcoming match, both teams should score at least one goal. Lazio plays bright football in attack, troubling their opponents' goalkeepers multiple times per game. However, the team itself doesn't always manage to perform adequately in defense. In only 1 of their last 10 matches has Lazio kept a clean sheet. Cagliari is also in decent form, so in this situation, the most reasonable decision would be to opt for both teams to score (yes).

🚩 Corners Prediction

Corners are one of the few statistical parameters where Lazio is the best team in Serie A. The "Eagles" average 6.1 corner kicks per match, which is 0.2 more than Napoli and Inter, who follow with an average of 5.9 corners (as of the end of the 22nd round). Considering Marco Baroni's team's superiority over their opponents, we can expect them to play more aggressively in attack. Therefore, our betting option is Lazio total corners over 4.5.

📝 Editorial Prediction

According to bookmakers, Lazio is a slight favorite in the upcoming match. After analyzing all the pros and cons, we agree with their assessment. The key difference between these teams is their potential and current goals. While the "Eagles" display bright football aiming for the highest positions in Italy's championship table and to win the Europa League, Cagliari is fighting to maintain its place in the top division and values every point as if it were manna from heaven. Moreover, the "Islanders" are completely unable to compete on equal terms with more serious opponents. For example, Cagliari lost heavily at home to Inter (0-3) and Napoli (0-4), and couldn't put up a decent fight against Juventus (0-4) and Bologna (0-2) away. Only matches against an unstable Milan were exceptions (1-1 away and 3-3 at home). We believe the upcoming match will end with a score of 1-2. But in any case, it's better to play it safe and take a more reliable bet - Lazio win with a handicap (0).