Newell's vs Union Santa Fe Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 1 November 2026
📢 Newell's Old Boys sit sixth in their group and are looking to hold their place in the Clausura play-off positions. The hosts favour a cautious approach and rarely produce high-scoring matches. Union de Santa Fe are tenth and still in contention for a top-eight finish, though they have been inconsistent, alternating between good results and poor ones. With two rounds of the regular phase remaining, both sides need points, so this match carries significant importance in the table.
Head-to-Head
Newell's Old Boys beat Union de Santa Fe away 3-2 in a Primera División match on 17 April 2026, despite the hosts having 73% possession and taking 28 shots to five. All three of Newell's Old Boys' shots on target went in, and their goalkeeper made eight saves.
Across 24 official meetings, Newell's Old Boys have won nine, Union de Santa Fe six, with nine draws. At Newell's Old Boys' ground the home advantage is more pronounced: five wins and two defeats in 12 matches, with a goal difference of 17-7.
Head-to-head statistics Newell's - Union Santa Fe

Solid defence makes up for a lack of attacking threat
In their last Primera División match on 24 October 2026, Newell's Old Boys drew 0-0 away at San Lorenzo. Shots on target were level at 4-4, and both sides had expected goals figures below one: 0.94 for the visitors against 0.74 for the hosts.
Newell's Old Boys sit sixth in their group with 21 points and remain well placed to reach the play-offs. Their recent form has been decent enough: across their last five matches, they have won two, drawn two and lost one. The defining feature of Newell's Old Boys remains their low scoring. Over ten matches, they average just 0.9 goals per game and rarely score more than one. Defensively, though, they look considerably more solid, conceding at a rate of just 0.5 goals per game.
Match Results: Newell´s Old Boys

Attack scoring freely, but defence keeping pace
In their previous Primera División match on 26 October 2026, Union de Santa Fe beat Estudiantes La Plata 3-1 at home, having trailed 0-1 at half-time. Despite holding just 36% possession, the hosts had more shots on target - 6 to 4 - and significantly outperformed their opponents in expected goals: 1.8 to 0.61.
Union de Santa Fe sit tenth in the table with 17 points and are still pushing for a top-eight finish. Their form has been inconsistent, though: over their last ten matches they have won four, drawn one and lost five. A recent run of three consecutive defeats was particularly difficult, and they ended it with a win in their previous game. Union de Santa Fe are reasonably productive in attack, averaging 1.6 goals per match, but their defence concedes at exactly the same rate, which means their attacking output does not always translate into the results they want.
Match Results: Union de Santa Fe
Safer Bet
Union de Santa Fe have conceded in 21 consecutive matches. In their last 10 away matches they have conceded an average of 1.6 goals, while Newell's Old Boys have scored an average of 1.4 goals in their last 10 home matches. These figures support Newell's Old Boys Team Total - Over 0.5 Goals at odds of 1.23*.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the probability model, the top three most likely scorelines are 1-1 (13.05%), 1-0 (12.64%) and 2-1 (9.5%), with 1-1 the most probable outcome.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The bookmakers have Newell's Old Boys as favourites, but a comfortable home win is far from certain. The team favour cautious football and struggle for goals, rarely scoring more than one even at home. Union de Santa Fe are also not particularly effective in attack, and the need to fight for a play-off place is unlikely to encourage the visitors to take unnecessary risks. Given both sides' styles of play and the importance of the result, we are expecting a restrained contest with few goals. The editorial's main prediction is Total Goals - Under 2.5.
