Malmo vs Hammarby Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 1 November 2026
🔊 Malmo FF host Hammarby IF in the closing stages of the season. The hosts have almost certainly missed out on European football, so the remaining four rounds are largely a formality for them. Hammarby IF, on the other hand, cannot afford to relax - they are still chasing Sirius and sit three points behind the Swedish league leaders. The contrast between the visitors' high motivation and the hosts' relaxed position could be the defining factor in how this match plays out.
Malmo FF hoping for home revenge
📊 In their most recent meeting, Hammarby IF beat Malmo FF 4-1 at home in the Allsvenskan 17 May 2026. The hosts led 3-1 at half-time and had 28 shots to Malmo FF's 10 across the full match, with 11 on target compared to three.
Across 41 official meetings, Malmo FF have won 18, Hammarby IF 13, with 10 draws. The difference is particularly pronounced at Malmo FF's ground, where the hosts have won 13 of 21 matches and scored 52 goals to their opponents' 28.
Head-to-head statistics Malmo - Hammarby
Malmo FF without motivation
In their previous Allsvenskan match on 28 October 2026, Malmo FF beat Halmstad away 3-0, despite being outshot 8-18. With expected goals almost level - 1.30 against 1.31 - the visitors scored three times while the hosts failed to convert any of their five shots on target.
Malmo FF are seeing out the season without any real pressure, sitting comfortably in mid-table with a healthy gap above the danger zone. They have won five of their last ten matches. Their average of 1.4 goals scored and just 0.8 conceded per game points to decent defensive reliability by league standards. At home, though, Malmo FF have tended to be involved in low-scoring affairs: six of their last seven home league matches have ended with three goals or fewer.
Match Results: Malmo
One win off the top
In their most recent Allsvenskan match at home against Sirius on 29 October 2026, Hammarby IF won 2-0. Sirius had more shots - 15 to 13 - and a higher xG figure: 2.22 against 1.93. Hammarby IF kept a clean sheet despite their opponents registering five shots on target.
The win over Sirius was an important step in the title race. Momentum is now with Hammarby IF - they simply need to do their job and win their remaining four matches, hoping for another slip from their rivals. In their last ten matches, Hammarby IF have won seven and lost just twice. Their average output is high - scoring 1.7 goals per game while keeping a solid defensive record of 0.6 conceded.
Match Results: Hammarby
Match Result Prediction
Hammarby IF have gone unbeaten in 7 of their last 8 away matches. Taking into account their more recent results and motivation, we are backing a Hammarby IF win at odds of 1.69.
Total Goals Prediction
In 6 of Malmo FF's last 7 home matches, no more than three goals were scored. Over their last 10 home matches, the team averaged 1.0 goals, while Hammarby IF have averaged 1.67 goals in their recent away matches. We're going with Total Goals - Under 3.5 at odds of 1.54.
Corners Prediction
In 10 of Malmo FF's last 11 matches, the two sides combined for at least ten corners. We're going with Total Corners - Over 9.5 at odds of 1.88.
High-Risk Bet
Hammarby IF have kept clean sheets in three consecutive away matches, conceding an average of 0.67 goals per game in their recent away fixtures. The bet remains a risky one, because Malmo FF have scored in 16 of their last 17 home head-to-head meetings with this opponent. Nevertheless, we are going with Malmo FF to Score: No at odds of 2.74.
Safer Bet
In 18 of Hammarby IF's last 19 matches, no more than four goals were scored. Six of Malmo FF's last seven home matches ended with fewer than 3.5 goals. We're going with Total Goals - Under 4.5 at 1.21 as the reliable option here.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the top three most likely scorelines are: 1-1 (10.8%), 0-1 (10.3%), and 1-2 (10.21%).
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Given Hammarby IF's high motivation to fight for first place, an attacking and result-oriented approach from the visitors can be expected. However, Malmö FF's home record suggests the hosts are capable of controlling the flow of the game and rarely allow it to go beyond a moderate scoring level. The trend towards under 3.5 goals is supported by six of Malmö FF's last seven home league matches. That caution should play a key role given the pressure on the visitors. The pick is Total Goals - Under 3.5.
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Betting Tips: Malmo - Hammarby
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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