Independiente del Valle vs LDU Quito Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 1 November 2026
🔊 Independiente Del Valle could clinch the Ecuadorian title in this very match - a month and a half before the end of the season. Macara's slip the day before, combined with a win in the upcoming fixture, would secure them a comfortable run through to December. LDU Quito come into this match with their own motivation - the club are among four sides competing for the remaining Copa Libertadores place next year. This is arguably the standout fixture of the fifth round of the Serie A championship group.
LDU Quito have won twice as often
📊 In the most recent meeting between the sides, Independiente Del Valle beat LDU Quito 2-0 away in a Serie A match on 08 August 2026. The hosts had the greater share of possession (58%) and won seven corners to two, but managed only one shot on target compared to two for the visitors.
Across 58 official meetings, LDU Quito have the upper hand: 28 wins to Independiente Del Valle's 13, with 17 draws. On Independiente Del Valle's ground, however, the visitors' advantage is much narrower - 10 wins to nine.
Head-to-head statistics Independiente del Valle - LDU Quito
Championship Already Sewn Up
Independiente Del Valle's away trip to Delfín in the Ecuador Cup ended in a 3-0 win. In that match they had 15 shots to their opponents' six, with nine of those on target. The return leg against a side fighting for survival will be a formality.
The next six weeks or so could all be a formality, really. Independiente Del Valle are not going to surrender the title to anyone. The only question is whether they can wrap it up this weekend. Depending on how Macara's match goes the day before, a draw might even be enough for Independiente Del Valle. The team are averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Their overall seasonal figures are even higher - an average of 2.27 goals per match, with a fairly solid defence conceding 1.06 per game.
Match Results: Independiente del Valle
LDU Quito in the hunt for the top three
In their previous Copa Ecuador match on , LDU Quito drew 2-2 away to Universidad Católica. Trailing 0-1 at half-time, they came back to level both the score and the shots on target - 6-6.
LDU Quito have gone three matches without a win - a worrying sign for a side with Copa Libertadores ambitions. Any further dropped points could leave them well outside the top three. The visitors are averaging 1.09 goals per game this season, with a relatively low goals-against figure of 0.85 per game. However, over their last ten matches that figure has risen to 1.2 goals conceded per game.
Match Results: LDU Quito
Prediction for the 1st half
LDU Quito have conceded in the first half in six consecutive matches. We're backing Independiente Del Valle to Score in the 1st Half at 1.66.
Match Result Prediction
LDU Quito have covered the handicap (+1.5) in 31 of their last 32 matches. Independiente Del Valle have won 12 of their 17 home matches this season, but that figure alone says nothing about winning by a two-goal margin. We're going with LDU Quito - Handicap +1.5 at 1.38.
Total Goals Prediction
No more than three goals have been scored in each of Independiente Del Valle's last six matches. In recent home games, the team have averaged 1.25 goals scored, while LDU Quito have averaged 1.5 in their recent away matches. We're going with Total Goals - Under 3.5 at odds of 1.36.
Corners Prediction
Independiente Del Valle have earned at least five corners in 17 of their last 18 home Serie A matches. We're backing Independiente Del Valle Team Total Corners - Over 4.5 at odds of 1.35.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
LDU Quito have scored and conceded in seven consecutive matches, while Independiente Del Valle have conceded in 8 of their last 9 Serie A games. We're going with Both Teams to Score - Yes at 1.73.
Safer Bet
Independiente Del Valle have scored in 22 of their last 24 Serie A matches. Their average home scoring rate this season is 2.24 goals, and LDU Quito have conceded in seven consecutive matches. We're backing Independiente Del Valle to Score at 1.17.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the top three most likely scorelines are 1-1 (11.53%), 1-0 (11.15%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The 1-1 scoreline has the highest probability. The difference between the 1-1 and 1-0 probabilities is 0.38 percentage points.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Independiente Del Valle's consistent form is combined with strong attacking output at home - they are capable of converting chances even against a well-organised defence. They will naturally want to clinch the title on home soil. But the visitors have their own motivation. LDU Quito's unbeaten run has been built on scoring regularly. The editor's main prediction is Both Teams to Score - Yes.
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Betting Tips: Independiente del Valle - LDU Quito
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