Cerrito vs Maldonado Prediction 2 September 2026
🔊 Cerrito and Deportivo Maldonado meet in the Copa Uruguay. Both sides have shown low scoring output over their last ten matches. They rarely score more than one goal per game, and the hosts' defensive record averages fewer than one goal conceded. The visitors are also not inclined to open play away from home, as their goals total statistics confirm.
Head-to-Head
📊 In official meetings, Cerrito and Deportivo Maldonado have faced each other 15 times. The hosts have won four of those matches, the visitors nine, with two draws. The goal tally stands at 10 for Cerrito against 20 for Deportivo Maldonado. The last time the two sides met was in 2025, with Maldonado winning 1-0.
Head-to-head statistics Cerrito - Maldonado
Cerrito Team Overview
Serrito come into this match on a run of one win, two draws and two defeats from their last five games. Over their last ten matches, they have managed three wins, four draws and three defeats, which points to inconsistent results. Their defensive numbers are more respectable, though - conceding an average of 0.7 goals per game suggests the backline is reasonably well organised. Going forward, the figures are more modest, with 0.8 goals scored per match indicating difficulties in creating and converting chances. Serrito's home form is particularly notable: they have gone ten matches in a row without a defeat at home, which keeps them competitive even against solid opposition.
Match Results: Cerrito
Deportivo Maldonado Team Overview
Deportivo Maldonado have shown slightly more consistent form, with three wins, five draws and two defeats in their last ten matches - a record that reflects a decent balance between results and defensive solidity. They are marginally more effective in front of goal, averaging 1.3 goals scored per match while conceding at a relatively modest rate of 0.9. Away from home, though, Deportivo Maldonado tend to be cautious: seven of their last eight away matches have finished with under 2.5 goals, which underlines the closed nature of their games on the road.
Match Results: Deportivo Maldonado
Match Result Prediction
Cerrito have covered the +1.5 handicap in 8 of their last 9 head-to-head meetings with Deportivo Maldonado, which suggests they rarely lose by more than one goal in this fixture. This season, Cerrito are unbeaten at home (3 wins and 2 draws, no defeats), while Deportivo Maldonado have won just 2 away matches. This supports the idea that the hosts tend to be well-organised and rarely suffer heavy home defeats. Our pick: Cerrito - Handicap +1.5 at odds of 1.34*.
Total Goals Prediction
Under 2.5 goals has landed in 7 of Deportivo Maldonado's last 8 away matches, pointing to consistently low-scoring outcomes when they play on the road. In addition, 14 of the last 15 head-to-head meetings between these two sides have seen under 3.5 goals, which reinforces the cautious nature of their encounters. The scoring averages are also modest: Cerrito average 1.4 goals per home game, while Deportivo Maldonado average 1.4 per away game, and both teams concede around one goal or fewer. Taken together, these factors provide a solid basis for a low-scoring prediction. Our selection: Total Goals - Under 2.5 at 1.62*.
Risky Bet
Cerrito have scored in seven consecutive home matches, which points to their ability to find the net regularly on their own ground. Their average home scoring rate is 1.4 goals per game. However, there is a conflict: in their last 3 head-to-head home matches against Deportivo Maldonado, Cerrito failed to score, and in 7 consecutive head-to-head meetings they have not gone past the 1.5-goal mark. The bet on Cerrito Team Total - Over 1 at 2.65* is therefore a risky one and the contradictions need to be taken into account.
Reliable Bet
Total Goals - Under 3.5 has landed in 14 of the last 15 head-to-head meetings between Cerrito and Deportivo Maldonado, which highlights the consistently low scoring in their matches. Both teams' season statistics also point to modest average output: Cerrito score 1.4 goals per home game, Deportivo Maldonado 1.4 per away game. This option offers the greatest stability for a cautious bet. The pick is Total Goals - Under 3.5 at odds of 1.19*.
Correct Score Prediction
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm identifies three most likely scorelines: 0-1 (14.1%), 1-0 (11.54%) and 1-1 (11.5%). The probabilities are fairly close, though 0-1 edges ahead of the others and is the most likely outcome of those listed.
*Odds are indicative and may vary depending on the bookmaker.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The statistics for both sides point to a cautious match with an emphasis on defensive organisation and few clear-cut chances at either end. Cerrito have shown a solid defensive record both across the season as a whole and in their home matches, which allows them to pick up points regularly without needing to score freely. Deportivo Maldonado stay organised away from home, and the trends confirm that low-scoring outcomes are common in their away matches. Taking these factors into account, the editorial selection is Total Goals - Under 2.5.
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Betting Tips: Cerrito - Deportivo Maldonado
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