Shenzhen Bogang vs Chongqing Prediction 2 August 2026
🔊 The two sides arrive at this round in very different moods. Chongqing Tonglianglong have quietly established themselves among the league's frontrunners and keep showing that their strong start was no fluke. Shenzhen Peng City have a different problem - they need to put more distance between themselves and the relegation zone. So don't expect either side to sit back: points matter just as much to one as to the other.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between these two sides took place on 17 April 2026 and ended 2-0. Here's the comparative stats from that game (Chongqing Tonglianlunng were the home side):
- possession: 68% vs 32%;
- corners: 11 vs 1;
- fouls: 6 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 2;
- shots on target: 4 vs 1.
📊 In the first leg of the current season, Chongqing Tonglianglong beat their opponents comfortably at home - 2-0. Things shifted after Shenzhen Peng City's defender Filip Benkovic was sent off, and both goals came in the second half. That win is the only previous meeting between the sides this season, and it gives the visitors a confidence boost going into this one.
Head-to-head statistics Shenzhen Bogang - Chongqing
Shenzhen Bogang Team Overview
The team's last official match was played on in the Super League (Yunnan Yukun at home, Shenzhen Peng City away). Final score: 4-3.
Match stats (Shenzhen Peng City vs Yunnan Yukun):
- possession: 46% vs 54%;
- corners: 5 vs 3;
- fouls: 11 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- shots on target: 5 vs 5.
The hosts are still above the relegation zone, but the position is fragile. Two defeats on the bounce, and the same old problem - too many mistakes at the back. A goal difference of 28:37 tells you everything about where Shenzhen Peng City's weaknesses lie. Going forward, they can still create chances. Wesley Moraes remains the main threat, with Albion Ademi driving the attacks. But the defensive instability keeps undoing whatever they manage to build up front.
Match Results: Shenzhen Bogang
Chongqing Tonglianglong Team Overview
The away side's last official match was played in the Superliga (Wuhan Three Towns as hosts, Chongqing Tonglianlunng as visitors). The match ended 1-0.
Match stats (Chongqing Tonglianlunng vs Wuhan Three Towns):
- possession: 62% vs 38%;
- corners: 4 vs 5;
- fouls: 11 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 0;
- shots on target: 3 vs 4.
For a Super League newcomer, this season has gone better than expected. Second place after twenty rounds speaks for itself. Even the defeat to Wuhan Shanwen doesn't undo what came before - Chongqing took points off league leaders Chengdu and drew with Zhejiang Professional. They don't look to dominate possession, but they're comfortable sitting back and playing on the counter. Micheal Ngadeu-Ngadjui handles the defensive duties, Ibrahim Amadou controls the midfield, and up front the danger comes from Landry Dimata and Xiang Yuwan, who already scored in the first meeting between these two sides.
Match Results: Chongqing Tonglianglong
Total Prediction
Head-to-head (average total):
- at home: 0, away: 2;
- in head-to-head matches: 2;
- both teams scored: all time: 0 times; at the home team's ground: 0 times.
Average total stats: Shenzhen Peng City vs Chongqing Tonglianlunng
- in the tournament: 3.25 vs 2.25;
- goals scored: 1.4 vs 1.15;
- 1st half: 0.75 vs 0.4;
- 2nd half: 0.65 vs 0.75;
- Shenzhen Peng City: at home in the tournament: 2;
- Chongqing Tonglianlunng: away in the tournament: 0.9;
- last 10 matches: 1.8 (home: 2.25) vs 1.1 (away: 1).
- Shenzhen Peng City have conceded in 13 of their last 14 matches.
- Shenzhen Peng City have conceded in 11 of their last 12 matches (Super League).
- Chongqing Tonglianlunng have scored in 8 of their last 9 matches.
Corners Prediction
Shenzhen Peng City: Stats
- season: average total in the tournament: 5.15; at home: 5.5;
- last 10 matches: average total: 5.4; at home: 6.75.
Chongqing Tonglianluneng: Stats
- season: average total in the tournament: 3.75, away: 2.8;
- last 10 matches: average total: 3.1; away: 2.2.
- Shenzhen Peng City have taken more than 4.5 corners in 7 of their last 8 matches (Super League).
- Shenzhen Peng City have taken more than 4.5 corners at home in 5 matches in a row (Super League).
Both Teams To Score Prediction
Head-to-head:
- matches played - 1;
- both teams scored in all-time meetings - 0 times;
- at the home team's ground - 0 times.
Stats: Shenzhen Peng City vs Chongqing Tonglianluneng
- matches played this season: 20 vs 20;
- season matches with both teams scoring (BTTS): 11 vs 11;
- Shenzhen Peng City: BTTS at home - 6 (60%);
- Chongqing Tonglianluneng: BTTS away - 5 (50%).
Last 10 matches:
- BTTS matches: 7 vs 4;
- Shenzhen Peng City: BTTS at home - 3 (75%);
- Chongqing Tonglianluneng: BTTS away - 2 (40%).
Correct Score Prediction
Most frequent scorelines this season:
- most common result in the tournament: 1-1 (22/156, 14.1%);
- Shenzhen Peng City at home most often finish matches: 1-0 (2/10, 20%);
- Chongqing Tonglianglong away most often play: 0-1, 1-0, 3-1 (2/10, 20%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1-1 - 12.92% (odds 6.5)
1-0 - 9.47% (odds 7.5)
2-1 - 9.3% (odds 8.5)
⭐️ Editor's Prediction
Shenzhen Peng City are unlikely to abandon their attacking approach, especially at home. The problem is that style tends to leave space at the back - and opponents have been happy to exploit it. For Chongqing Tonglianglong, that's a comfortable setup. They've picked up points more than once by staying organized and hitting on the counter. The hosts can score despite their defensive issues, but the visitors look more settled right now. That's why Chongqing to avoid defeat (X2) looks like the most justified call here.
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Betting Tips: Shenzhen Bogang - Chongqing Tonglianglong
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in last 10 Shenzhen Bogang games.in last 8 Shenzhen Bogang games (Chinese Super League).in last 5 Shenzhen Bogang home games (Chinese Super League).in 23 of last 24 home games (Chinese Super League).in 8 of last 9 games (Chinese Super League).in last 5 away games (Chinese Super League).
Comparison of Teams Stats
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