Aberdeen vs Hearts Prediction 1 August 2026
🔊 The first round of the new Scottish Premiership season opens with Aberdeen taking on Hearts at Pittodrie, where the hosts have traditionally been a much harder side to beat. Both clubs are among the contenders for a top-six finish, so dropping points this early would be an unwelcome start. There's an added edge to this one - last season the two sides split the results between them, and most of their meetings have been tight affairs.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the sides took place on 28 February 2026 and ended 1-0. Here's the key stats from that game (Hearts were the home side):
- possession: 54% vs 46%;
- corners: 7 vs 4;
- fouls: 7 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 5;
- shots on target: 7 vs 0.
📊 Statistical preview based on official meetings between Aberdeen and Hearts:
- 50 matches played;
- home wins - 18, away wins - 20, draws - 12;
- goals - 50 vs 61;
- average first-half total - 1, second-half - 1.22;
- average match total - 2.22.
Head-to-head statistics Aberdeen - Hearts
Aberdeen Team Overview
Their last official match was played on in the Scottish League Cup (Aberdeen at home, Kelty Hearts away). The match ended 3-0.
Match stats (Aberdeen vs Kelty Hearts):
- possession: 71% vs 29%;
- corners: 13 vs 0;
- fouls: 11 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 2;
- shots on target: 6 vs 0.
The club is still managed by Steven Robinson, who oversaw four pre-season friendlies this summer - two wins, two defeats. In the Scottish League Cup, Aberdeen made a confident start: four wins, top of Group A, through to the Round of 16 without much fuss. They scored at least two goals in each of those four games, and three of them went over.
Aberdeen have a strong record at Pittodrie against Hearts - 10 wins from their last 11 home league meetings with them. The chances of the hosts getting at least one goal past the Scottish runners-up look pretty good.
Match Results: Aberdeen
Heart of Midlothian Team Overview
Their last official match was in the Champions League (Hearts at home, Sturm Graz away). The match ended 0:2.
Match stats (Hearts vs Sturm Graz):
- possession: 64% vs 36%;
- corners: 8 vs 2;
- fouls: 10 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
- shots on target: 4 vs 9.
Last season's finale was brutal for the Maroons. Hearts led the table for most of the campaign under Derek McInnes, then collapsed at the finish line - losing 1:3 to Celtic on the final day and handing them the title. A first championship since 1959/60, gone.
McInnes left after that, and from July 1st the club has been managed by Wouter Vrancken, previously in charge of Belgian side Sint-Truiden. Pre-season brought four friendlies - three wins, one defeat. But the competitive start was rough. In Champions League qualifying, Hearts were brushed aside by Austrian side Sturm, losing both legs without a fight: 0:4 away, 0:2 at home. The managerial change, the hangover from last season's collapse, and that qualifying exit all give reason to doubt whether the Maroons can push Celtic and Rangers for the title again.
Match Results: Heart of Midlothian
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-head record:
- matches played - 50;
- first-half wins for the home side - 8; for the away side - 2; draws - 13;
- average first-half total: 1;
- today's hosts average 0.46 first-half goals, the away side - 0.54.
- Aberdeen have scored in the first half in 9 of their last 10 matches.
- Hearts have conceded in the first half away from home in 7 matches in a row.
- Hearts have conceded in the first half away from home in 6 consecutive matches (Premiership).
Total Prediction
Head-to-head matches (average total):
- home side - 1, away side - 1.22;
- in head-to-head matches - 2.22;
- both teams scored: all time - 20 times; at the home team's ground - 7 times.
- Aberdeen have scored under 1.5 goals in 5 consecutive head-to-head matches between these sides (Premiership).
Corners Prediction
Trends- Aberdeen have taken fewer than 4.5 corners in 12 of the last 14 head-to-head meetings between these sides (Premiership).
Both Teams To Score Prediction
Head-to-head:
- matches played - 50;
- both teams scored - 20 times overall;
- at the home team's ground - 7 times.
- Hearts have scored and conceded in 6 of their last 7 matches (Premiership).
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-head:
- played - 50;
- home wins - 18, away wins - 20, draws - 12.
Stats: Aberdeen vs Hearts
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 7 vs 5;
- losses: 2 vs 3;
- draws: 1 vs 2.
- Aberdeen cover the +1.5 handicap at home in 16 consecutive head-to-head matches between these sides (Premiership).
- Aberdeen cover the +1.5 handicap in 6 of their last 7 head-to-head meetings.
- Aberdeen cover the +1.5 handicap at home in 11 of their last 12 matches.
- Aberdeen cover the +1.5 handicap in 9 of their last 10 matches.
- Aberdeen cover the +1.5 handicap at home in 7 of their last 8 matches (Premiership).
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Aberdeen enter the new season in a more favorable position. The hosts are on a four-match winning streak and have historically performed very successfully at home against this opponent. Hearts, meanwhile, have started their rebuild under a new manager unsuccessfully, so expecting consistent performances from the visitors already in the opening round is difficult.
The "Reds" are capable of playing aggressively, taking control of the game and creating enough chances in front of the opponent's goal. However, Hearts have enough quality to compete and find opportunities in attack, meaning their goal cannot be completely ruled out. Editor's prediction: Both Teams to Score - Yes. Predicted score: 1:1.
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Betting Tips: Aberdeen - Heart of Midlothian
in 10 of last 11 home games against Heart of Midlothian (Premiership).
in 7 of last 8 games (Premiership).in last 14 home games against Heart of Midlothian (Premiership).in 7 of last 8 away games.in 14 of last 15 Aberdeen games.in 11 of last 12 Aberdeen home games (Premiership).in 10 of last 11 Aberdeen home games.in 9 of last 10 Aberdeen games (Premiership).in last 9 Heart of Midlothian games.in last 7 Heart of Midlothian games (Premiership).in last 5 Heart of Midlothian away games.
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