Norway vs Sweden Prediction 1 June 2026
๐ In recent years, this Scandinavian derby has played out in the context of the UEFA Nations League and European Championship qualifiers, but this time, itโs a pure friendly with no tournament implications. Both sides are using the match as preparation ahead of their World Cup campaigns, so the result itself takes a back seat. Still, with such a fierce rivalry on the line, this is one clash at Ullevaal you wonโt want to miss. Our editorial team has put together a comprehensive match analysis.
Head-to-Head
๐ The numbers highlight Norway's dominance. During the Euro 2020 qualifiers, the teams played out two draws, but in the 2022 Nations League group stage, the Norwegians prevailed twice (2-1; 3-2). The difference-maker was exactly who you'd expect - Erling Haaland netted a brace in both encounters.
Head-to-head statistics Norway - Sweden
Norway Team Overview
The standings may not carry much weight in a friendly, but Norway have found a lethal rhythm in official matches. They cruised through World Cup qualifying, winning all eight games with an aggregate score of 37-5. This remarkable run turned heads across Europe, as the Vikings left Italy trailing in their wake-thrashing the Azzurri twice (3-0, 4-1) in the process.
However, their momentum slowed soon after: a defeat to the Netherlands (1-2) and a goalless draw with Switzerland during the March international break. Stรฅle Solbakken made significant changes to his lineup, and as a result, his side managed just 10 shots across those two fixtures-by comparison, they fired off 13 attempts in a single match at San Siro. Without a clear incentive, Norway tend to ease off the gas, but derby context is different: they havenโt lost to Sweden since 2013 and never back down in this rivalry.
Match Results: Norway
Sweden Team Overview
Sweden pulled off a remarkable escape to reach the World Cup. After a disastrous qualifying campaign that cost Jon Dahl Tomasson his job, the Blue and Yellows only made it to the playoffs thanks to their Nations League performance. Under Graham Potter, they then saw off two tough opponents - Ukraine (3-1) and Poland (3-2).
Alexander Isak missed the March fixtures due to injury. Instead, Viktor Gyรถkeres stole the spotlight in the playoffs. The Arsenal striker netted a hat-trick against Ukraine and fired home the late winner in the 88th minute versus Poland. In both matches, Sweden saw just 33% of possession, but that played right into their hands. Quick counter-attacks are this teamโs trademark, and Potterโs side are at their most dangerous when playing on the break.
Match Results: Sweden
Latest news
Norway
๐ซ Martin รdegaard will miss this match. Head coach Stรฅle Solbakken has confirmed that the national team captain will be given a โbreakโ after the Champions League final on May 30 and will join the squad later in the United States.
Sweden
โ Viktor Gyรถkeres will be unavailable-like รdegaard, he will be fighting for Arsenal in the Champions League final. Dejan Kulusevski has been sidelined since May 2025 with a serious patellar injury, has undergone several surgeries, and will miss the World Cup.
โฝ Goals Prediction
Norway put on a show during World Cup qualifying, netting 37 goals, but their recent March friendlies saw them look rather uninspired. In fact, they've scored under 1.5 goals in each of their last five friendlies. Sweden, meanwhile, will be without their main striker, which makes a bet on under 3.5 total goals at odds of 1.40* look appealing. This wager has landed in eight of Norwayโs last nine matches and in eight of Swedenโs previous nine away friendlies.
๐ฉ Corners Prediction
Across their last ten matches in all competitions, both teams have averaged roughly five corners per game. The key difference lies in how many corners they allow their opponents: Sweden concede an average of 5.1, while Norway keep that figure down to just 2.5. With Haaland and company playing on home soil, we expect Solbakkenโs side to be more aggressive in attack and are backing Norway to win the corner count.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.
Editors' Prediction
A Scandinavian derby in a friendly setting rarely brings the same intensity, but it does open up more space for attacking stars to shine. Both sides are capable of finding the net, yet clean sheets are a rarity for either team. Norway, with Haaland and Sรธrloth leading the line, have enough firepower to break down even the most organized defense, while Sweden-despite missing Gyรถkeres-are always dangerous on the counterattack. A narrow home win, 2-1, looks like a reasonable prediction here. The safest bet in this matchup is both teams to score (yes), especially considering this wager has landed in each of the last five head-to-head meetings.
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Betting Tips: Norway - Sweden
in 13 of last 14 home games (Int. Friendly Games).
in 19 of last 20 games (Int. Friendly Games).in 13 of last 14 home games (Int. Friendly Games).in 9 of last 10 away games (Int. Friendly Games).in 13 of last 15 Norway games (Int. Friendly Games).in 16 of last 18 Sweden games (Int. Friendly Games).in 6 of last 7 Sweden away games (Int. Friendly Games).
in 6 of last 7 Balazs Berke games.in last 7 Norway home games (Int. Friendly Games).in 8 of last 9 Sweden away games (Int. Friendly Games).Comparison of Teams Stats
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