Boston Riv. vs Liverpool Prediction

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    🔥 Matchday three of the Uruguayan Torneo Intermedio promises a fascinating Group A clash as Boston River host Liverpool Montevideo. The home side have already picked up three points and are eager to build on that momentum as they push for a spot at the top of the table. Liverpool, meanwhile, have struggled out of the gate, collecting just a single point so far-meaning the visitors will be going all out for a win in this one. With both teams desperate for points, neither side is likely to sit back or settle for a draw. Check out our prediction for this showdown below.

    Head-to-Head

    The most recent official clash between these sides ended in a 1-0 victory. Here’s a comparative look at the stats from that match (Boston River played at home):

    • Possession: 49% vs 51%;
    • Corners: 3 vs 1;
    • Yellow cards: 5 vs 2.

    📊Analytical review of previous official meetings between Boston River and Liverpool Montevideo:

    • The sides have faced each other 24 times;
    • The hosts have claimed 5 wins, while the visitors have secured 12 victories, with 7 matches ending in a draw;
    • Goals scored (home/away): 26 to 40;
    • The average total goals per match stands at 2.75.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    20%
    5 Wins
    28%
    7 Draws
    52%
    13 Wins
    Total games
    25
    Total Goals Avg
    2.68
    Both teams scored
    56%
    1.04
    Total average
    1.64
    2.8
    Yellow cards
    2.28
    Last matches
    01.06.26
    Primera Division
    Boston River
    Boston River
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Liverpool Montevideo
    -
    -
    2
    5
    -
    -
    4
    6
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    2
    5
    -
    -
    4
    6
    10.03.26
    Primera Division
    Boston River
    Boston River
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Liverpool Montevideo
    -
    -
    3
    1
    -
    -
    5
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    3
    1
    -
    -
    5
    2
    27.09.25
    Primera Division
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Boston River
    Boston River
    -
    -
    4
    8
    -
    -
    1
    4
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    4
    8
    -
    -
    1
    4
    29.03.25
    Primera Division
    Boston River
    Boston River
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Liverpool Montevideo
    0
    0
    4
    2
    0
    0
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    4
    2
    0
    0
    2
    1
    29.09.24
    Primera Division
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Boston River
    Boston River
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    1
    1
    Empty
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    Boston River Team Overview

    Their most recent official fixture took place in the Copa Sudamericana, with São Paulo playing host to Boston River. The match ended in a 2-0 victory for São Paulo.

    Here are the key match statistics (Boston River vs São Paulo):

    • Possession: 38% vs 62%
    • Corners: 4 vs 7
    • Fouls: 13 vs 6
    • Yellow cards: 2 vs 1
    • Shots on target: 0 vs 6

    Boston River have been erratic of late, suffering three defeats alongside two wins in their last five outings. The coaching staff’s main concern is a glaringly fragile defense that continues to let the side down. Over their previous ten matches, Boston River are conceding a worrying average of 2.1 goals per game-completely undermining the efforts of their forwards. Offensively, however, Boston River are holding their own, averaging 1.4 goals per match as they try to make up for defensive lapses. This clear imbalance between attack and defense makes the hosts one of the most unpredictable and entertaining teams in the Uruguayan top flight.

    Match Results: Boston River

    Last matches
    07.06.26
    Primera Division
    Defensor Sporting
    Defensor Sporting
    Boston River
    Boston River
    -
    -
    4
    4
    -
    -
    4
    2
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    4
    4
    -
    -
    4
    2
    D
    01.06.26
    Primera Division
    Boston River
    Boston River
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Liverpool Montevideo
    -
    -
    2
    5
    -
    -
    4
    6
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    2
    5
    -
    -
    4
    6
    L
    26.05.26
    Copa Sudamericana
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    Boston River
    Boston River
    1.59
    0.66
    7
    4
    6
    13
    1
    2
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    1.59
    0.66
    7
    4
    6
    13
    1
    2
    L
    23.05.26
    Primera Division
    Cerro Largo
    Cerro Largo
    Boston River
    Boston River
    1
    -
    -
    1
    4
    -
    -
    2
    2
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    1
    4
    -
    -
    2
    2
    L
    20.05.26
    Copa Sudamericana
    Boston River
    Boston River
    O´Higgins
    O´Higgins
    1.40
    1.58
    4
    7
    11
    11
    2
    2
    3
    2
    2
    0
    1
    2
    1.40
    1.58
    4
    7
    11
    11
    2
    2
    W
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    Liverpool Montevideo Team Overview

    The visitors played their most recent official fixture in the Primera, with Liverpool Montevideo hosting Racing Montevideo. The match ended in a goalless draw, 0-0.

    Here’s a breakdown of the key stats from the game (Liverpool Montevideo vs Racing Montevideo):

    • Possession: 43% vs 57%;
    • Corners: 3 vs 7;
    • Yellow cards: 6 vs 3;
    • Shots on target: 1 vs 3.

    Liverpool Montevideo are also going through a rough patch, struggling to find any real winning momentum in recent fixtures. Over their last five matches, the visitors have picked up just one victory, played out three draws, and suffered one defeat. However, looking at the season as a whole, the team appear far more organized, averaging 1.33 goals per game. Defensively, Liverpool have been more reliable than their rivals, conceding an average of 1.5 goals across their last ten outings. Given their current position in the standings, the team are under pressure to take risks and play more aggressively up front if they want to climb higher on the table.

    Match Results: Liverpool Montevideo

    Last matches
    08.06.26
    Primera Division
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Cerro Largo
    Cerro Largo
    -
    -
    5
    1
    -
    -
    1
    4
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    5
    1
    -
    -
    1
    4
    D
    01.06.26
    Primera Division
    Boston River
    Boston River
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Liverpool Montevideo
    -
    -
    2
    5
    -
    -
    4
    6
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    2
    5
    -
    -
    4
    6
    W
    22.05.26
    Primera Division
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Racing Montevideo
    Racing Montevideo
    -
    -
    3
    7
    -
    -
    6
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    3
    7
    -
    -
    6
    3
    D
    16.05.26
    Primera Division
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    1
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Liverpool Montevideo
    -
    -
    2
    2
    -
    -
    3
    3
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    2
    2
    -
    -
    3
    3
    L
    08.05.26
    Primera Division
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Liverpool Montevideo
    -
    -
    4
    4
    -
    -
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    4
    4
    -
    -
    2
    2
    L
    Empty
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    Match Outcome Prediction

    Head-to-head record:

    • Matches played - 24;
    • Home wins - 5, Away wins - 12, Draws - 7.

    Stats: Boston River vs Liverpool Montevideo

    • Matches in the competition: 15 vs 15;
    • Wins: 6 vs 5;
    • Win percentage: 35% vs 33%;
    • Losses: 9 vs 5;
    • Draws: 2 vs 5.

    Last 10 matches:

    • Wins: 4 vs 2;
    • Losses: 6 vs 4;
    • Draws: 0 vs 4.
    Trends
    • Boston River have failed to win in their last 12 head-to-head meetings with Liverpool Montevideo in the Primera.
    • Boston River are winless at home in their last 6 head-to-head clashes in the Primera.
    👉Prediction: Liverpool Montevideo will not lose (odds: 1.31)

    Total Goals Prediction

    Head-to-head (average total goals):

    • Home side - 1.08, Away side - 1.67;
    • Overall head-to-head average - 2.75;
    • Both teams scored: overall - 14 times; at Boston River’s ground - 5 times.

    Average total goals stats: Boston River vs Liverpool Montevideo

    • In the competition: 2.47 vs 2.53;
    • Goals scored: 1.06 vs 1.33;
    • First half: 0.35 vs 0.87;
    • Second half: 0.71 vs 0.47;
    • Boston River at home in the competition - 1.33;
    • Liverpool Montevideo away in the competition - 1.43;
    • Last 10 matches: 1.4 (home - 2.4) vs 1.4 (away - 1.4).
    Trends
    • Boston River have scored under 1.5 goals in each of their last 8 head-to-head games against Liverpool Montevideo in the Primera.
    👉Prediction: Boston River Total goals Under (1.5) (odds: 1.35)

    Corner Kicks Prediction

    Boston River: Stats

    • This season: average corners per game - 3.12; at home - 3.56;
    • Last 10 matches: average corners - 4.1; at home - 3.8.

    Liverpool Montevideo: Stats

    • This season: average corners per game - 3.93; away - 3.43;
    • Last 10 matches: average corners - 3.4; away - 3.4.
    Trends
    • Liverpool Montevideo have delivered fewer than 4.5 corners away from home in each of their last eight head-to-head matches in the Primera.
    • Liverpool Montevideo have recorded under 4.5 corners in seven consecutive league games.
    • Liverpool Montevideo have registered under 4.5 corners away from home in six of their last seven league fixtures.
    👉Prediction: Corners - Liverpool Montevideo Total Under (4.5) (odds: 1.76)

    Both Teams to Score Prediction

    Head-to-head:

    • Matches played - 24;
    • Both teams have scored overall - 14 times;
    • At Boston River’s ground - 5 times.

    Stats: Boston River vs Liverpool Montevideo

    • Matches played in the competition: 15 vs 15;
    • Matches this season with both teams scoring (BTTS): 8 vs 7;
    • Boston River BTTS at home - 4 (44%);
    • Liverpool Montevideo BTTS away - 4 (57%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • BTTS games: 6 vs 5;
    • Boston River BTTS at home - 4 (80%);
    • Liverpool Montevideo BTTS away - 3 (60%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes) (odds: 1.83)

    Correct Score Prediction

    Most frequent scorelines this season:

    • The most common score in the league: 0-1 (19/129, 14.7%);
    • Boston River’s most frequent home results: 0-1, 4-1 (2/9, 22.2%);
    • Liverpool Montevideo’s most frequent away results: 0-1, 0-2, 1-0, 1-1, 1-2, 2-1, 3-3 (1/7, 14.3%).

    Based on statistical models and probability distribution, the algorithm projects the top three outcomes:

    1-1 - 12.86% (odds: 5.5)
    0-1 - 9.75% (odds: 5.5)
    1-2 - 8.84% (odds: 7.5)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Given Boston River’s persistent defensive struggles-conceding over two goals per game in recent outings-a clean sheet seems highly unlikely here. The visitors from Montevideo are certain to exploit the hosts’ defensive frailties, but they themselves are unlikely to keep their goal untouched under pressure from a highly motivated opponent. With both sides desperate for points, expect an open contest with plenty of space opening up on either end. In such an end-to-end battle, backing over 2.5 goals stands out as a logical and well-founded prediction.

    Our choice
    Total goals Over (2.5) at odds of +113*
    Bovada
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (30 May 2026, 05:37)

    Betting Tips: Boston River - Liverpool Montevideo

    Boston River have not won
    ca-boston-riverliverpool-m-in last 12 games against Liverpool Montevideo (Primera Division).
    ca-boston-riverliverpool-m-in last 6 home games against Liverpool Montevideo (Primera Division).
    Liverpool Montevideo will not lose
    Everygame
    -312
    Boston River have conceded
    ca-boston-riverliverpool-m-in last 12 games against Liverpool Montevideo (Primera Division).
    ca-boston-riverliverpool-m-in last 6 home games against Liverpool Montevideo (Primera Division).
    ca-boston-riverin 15 of last 16 games.
    ca-boston-riverin 9 of last 10 home games.
    Liverpool Montevideo will score goal
    Everygame
    -357
    Under 3.5 goals scored
    ca-boston-riverliverpool-m-in last 7 Boston River games against Liverpool Montevideo (Primera Division).
    liverpool-m-in 12 of last 13 Liverpool Montevideo away games.
    liverpool-m-in 11 of last 12 Liverpool Montevideo away games (Primera Division).
    liverpool-m-in last 5 Liverpool Montevideo games (Primera Division).
    in 12 of last 13 Jose Burgos games.
    in 8 of last 9 Jose Burgos games (in the Primera Division).
    Total goals Under (3.5)
    Everygame
    -455
    Boston River have scored under 1.5 goals
    ca-boston-riverliverpool-m-in last 8 games against Liverpool Montevideo (Primera Division).
    Boston River Total goals Under (1.5)
    Everygame
    -303
    View more facts

    Boston Riv. - Liverpool Table position

    Primera Division 2026
    gWDLGDPForm
    8.
    Defensor Sporting
    Defensor Sporting
    1556413-1121
    9.
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Liverpool Montevideo
    1555520-1820
    10.
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Montevideo Wanderers
    1562716-2120
    12.
    Cerro Largo
    Cerro Largo
    1552816-1917
    13.
    Boston River
    Boston River
    1552814-2017
    14.
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    1543817-2215

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    3 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    6 - Loses
    Wins - 3
    Draws - 3
    Loses - 4
    10 matches
    Scored - 13
    Conceded - 19
    -6
    0
    9 - Scored
    9 - Conceded
    3
    Wins
    3
    1
    Draws
    3
    6
    Loses
    4
    Goal difference
    13
    Scored
    9
    19
    Conceded
    9
    3.2
    Match goals average
    1.8
    1.3
    Goals scored per match on average
    0.9
    1.9
    Goals conceded per match on average
    0.9
    6
    Both teams scored
    3
    69'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    100'
    View all stats