Guimaraes vs Alverca Prediction 28 February 2026
🔊 In the upcoming match, Vitoria Guimaraes will host Alverca. Both teams are eager to climb the league standings, with the hosts currently in 9th place and the visitors in 11th. Vitoria Guimaraes have shown inconsistent form, alternating between wins and losses in their last five matches. Meanwhile, Alverca are struggling with scoring but are focused on maintaining a solid defense. This sets up an intriguing dynamic ahead of their clash.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 28 September 2025 and ended with a 2-0 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown from that encounter (Alverca were the home side):
- possession percentage: 43% vs 57%;
- corners: 1 vs 6;
- fouls: 15 vs 17;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 0;
- shots on target: 4 vs 3.
📊 Officially, Vitória Guimarães and Alverca have faced each other just once. The encounter took place on 28 September 2025 at Alverca's ground and ended with a 2-0 scoreline.
Head-to-head statistics Guimaraes - Alverca

Vitoria SC Guimaraes Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Primeira Liga, with Braga hosting Vitória Guimarães. The game ended in a 3-2 victory.
Here are the match stats (Vitória Guimarães vs Braga):
- possession percentage: 54% vs 46%;
- corners: 2 vs 0;
- fouls: 11 vs 17;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
- shots on target: 4 vs 7.
Vitória Guimarães are showing inconsistent form. In their last five matches, the club have secured two wins and suffered three defeats. Vitória aim to play aggressively, but this often leads to frequent defensive errors, with an average of 1.48 goals conceded per game. Despite their erratic results, the team can surprise opponents with their attacking potential, boasting an average of 1.17 goals per match. To achieve more consistent results, they need to enhance both their defensive quality and their finishing efficiency.
Match Results: Vitoria SC Guimaraes

Alverca Team Overview
The visitors' last official match took place on in the Primeira Liga, with Alverca hosting Santa Clara. The match ended in a 1-1 draw.
Here are the match stats (Alverca vs Santa Clara):
- possession: 50% vs 50%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 2;
- fouls: 0 vs 1;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 1 vs 0.
Alverca are showing inconsistent form, yet they are striving to build a solid defense. Over their last five matches, the team have drawn three times and suffered two defeats. Known for their resilience on the pitch, Alverca often struggle to convert their attacks into goals, averaging just 0.8 goals per game. Currently sitting in 11th place, they are eager to climb higher in the standings. While their attacking efficiency is lacking, the players' tenacity in defense is evident, although they still concede an average of 1.65 goals per match. To achieve success, Alverca need to bolster their offensive efforts and find a balance between defense and attack.
Match Results: Alverca
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 1;
- home team wins - 0, away team wins - 1, draws - 0.
Statistics: Vitoria SC Guimaraes vs Alverca
- matches played in the tournament: 23 vs 23;
- wins: 9 vs 7;
- win percentage: 39% vs 30%;
- losses: 10 vs 11;
- draws: 4 vs 5.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 5 vs 2;
- losses: 4 vs 5;
- draws: 1 vs 3.
- Alverca have not won in 8 of last 9 away games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 0, the guests - 2;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2;
- both teams scored: overall - 0; at the home team's field - 0.
Statistics: Vitoria SC Guimaraes vs Alverca
- average total in the tournament: 2.65 vs 2.65;
- average total goals scored: 1.17 vs 1;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.57 vs 0.43;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.61 vs 0.57;
- Vitoria SC Guimaraes: average total at home in the tournament - 1.42;
- Alverca: average total away in the tournament - 1.09;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.5 (home - 1.4) vs 0.8 (away - 0.6).
- Vitoria SC Guimaraes have conceded in 8 of last 9 games.
Prediction on corners
Vitoria SC Guimaraes: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.57; at home field - 5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.3; at home field - 5.
Alverca: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.52, away - 2.91;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.3; away - 3.6.
- Vitoria SC Guimaraes have taken under 6.5 corners in 10 of last 11 games.
- Vitoria SC Guimaraes have taken under 6.5 corners in 9 of last 10 games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 1;
- both teams scored all-time - 0 times;
- on the home team’s field - 0 times.
Statistics: Vitoria SC Guimaraes vs Alverca
- number of matches played in the tournament: 23 vs 23;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 10 vs 12;
- number of BTTS matches for Vitoria SC Guimaraes at home - 7 (58%);
- number of BTTS matches for Alverca away - 7 (64%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 7 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for Vitoria SC Guimaraes at home - 3 (60%);
- BTTS matches for Alverca away - 3 (60%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (21/207, 10.1%);
- Vitoria SC Guimaraes at home most often finish matches: 2:1 (3/12, 25%);
- Alverca away most often play: 2:1 (3/11, 27.3%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 12.46% (odds 6.5)
1:0 - 10.96% (odds 6.5)
2:1 - 9.69% (odds 8)
- Alverca drew 1:1 in 3 of last 4 games (Primeira Liga).