Paris vs Nice Prediction

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The main thing

    🔊 What will be the outcome when two underdogs clash in the 24th round of the French League? Nice travel to the French capital, Paris, to face the namesake team at the "Jean Bouin" stadium. In the league standings, these rivals sit close together, separated by just a single point, with only the relegation zone below them. Who will emerge as the best among the worst? Let's delve into it.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 The head-to-head history between Paris and Nice is rather sparse, as the hosts have returned to France's top division for the first time in 46 years. The first and only match between these teams took place last September, ending in a 1-1 draw.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    50%
    1 Win
    50%
    1 Draw
    0%
    0 Wins
    Total games
    2
    Total Goals Avg
    1.5
    Both teams scored
    50%
    1
    Total average
    0.5
    6.5
    Corner
    5.5
    3
    Yellow cards
    2
    10.5
    Fouls
    11
    Last matches
    01.03.26
    Ligue 1
    Paris
    Paris
    1
    Nice
    Nice
    1.16
    1.01
    8
    6
    7
    8
    4
    3
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1.16
    1.01
    8
    6
    7
    8
    4
    3
    28.09.25
    Ligue 1
    Nice
    Nice
    Paris
    Paris
    1.08
    1.75
    5
    5
    14
    14
    1
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1.08
    1.75
    5
    5
    14
    14
    1
    1
    Empty
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    Paris Team Overview

    ⚫ As we've noted, the Parisians have returned to the top flight for the first time in nearly half a century. However, the club failed to bolster their squad effectively during the transfer windows, putting them at risk of dropping out of Ligue 1 again. Currently, the team sits 15th in the table with 23 points. They are six points clear of the relegation zone-a gap that can be closed in just two matches, leaving Paris fans understandably on edge.

    🔵 Underdogs often have weaknesses across all areas of play, and Paris is no exception. The main issue is their defense: they rank third in goals conceded, with a total of 40-only Metz at the bottom and Nice have allowed more. While their attack is slightly better, there's still room for improvement: they've scored 27 goals, which is not bad for a league newcomer, but still leaves much to be desired.

    Match Results: Paris

    Last matches
    17.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Paris
    Paris
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    1.9
    0.72
    3
    3
    8
    9
    2
    0
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    1
    1.9
    0.72
    3
    3
    8
    9
    2
    0
    W
    10.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Stade Rennes
    Stade Rennes
    Paris
    Paris
    1.69
    1.54
    8
    2
    13
    11
    0
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    1
    1.69
    1.54
    8
    2
    13
    11
    0
    1
    L
    03.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Paris
    Paris
    Stade Brest
    Stade Brest
    1.59
    0.75
    7
    3
    10
    8
    2
    1
    4
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    1.59
    0.75
    7
    3
    10
    8
    2
    1
    W
    26.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Paris
    Paris
    1
    Lille
    Lille
    1.35
    1.69
    7
    3
    12
    10
    4
    3
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    1.35
    1.69
    7
    3
    12
    10
    4
    3
    L
    19.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Metz
    Metz
    Paris
    Paris
    0.95
    1.36
    6
    5
    9
    8
    2
    2
    1
    3
    1
    1
    0
    2
    0.95
    1.36
    6
    5
    9
    8
    2
    2
    W
    Empty
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    Nice Team Overview

    🔴 Nice are facing their own set of challenges this season. They have just one point more than Paris, and their goal difference is identical. In November, the team endured a dreadful run of nine consecutive defeats. This led to a scandal: Nice's fans expressed their dissatisfaction, and some players even faced physical attacks. Following this turmoil, head coach Franck Haise was dismissed.

    ⚫ With Claude Puel's arrival, the "red and blacks" have seen some improvement, suffering only one loss in their last five matches. The team's main issue remains their poor defensive play. They rank second in the league for goals conceded-a staggering 43-and it's indeed a worrying figure. Thus, Nice's season has been quite an emotional rollercoaster so far.

    Match Results: Nice

    Last matches
    29.05.26
    LI1
    Nice
    Nice
    Saint Etienne
    Saint Etienne
    3.70
    2.15
    6
    4
    10
    5
    2
    0
    4
    1
    0
    0
    4
    1
    3.70
    2.15
    6
    4
    10
    5
    2
    0
    W
    26.05.26
    LI1
    Saint Etienne
    Saint Etienne
    Nice
    Nice
    0.11
    0.24
    6
    6
    10
    7
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0.11
    0.24
    6
    6
    10
    7
    1
    0
    D
    22.05.26
    Coupe
    Lens
    Lens
    Nice
    Nice
    1.09
    1.48
    9
    7
    16
    12
    2
    2
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1.09
    1.48
    9
    7
    16
    12
    2
    2
    L
    17.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Nice
    Nice
    Metz
    Metz
    1.83
    0.98
    10
    4
    11
    15
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1.83
    0.98
    10
    4
    11
    15
    2
    1
    D
    10.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Auxerre
    Auxerre
    Nice
    Nice
    1.01
    1.48
    10
    1
    15
    9
    1
    0
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    1.01
    1.48
    10
    1
    15
    9
    1
    0
    L
    Empty
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    Latest news

    Paris

    🎩 A major development for the Parisians is the change in their managerial staff. Following a string of unsatisfactory results, Stéphane Gilli has been dismissed, paving the way for Antoine Kombouaré to take charge. Antoine brings a wealth of coaching experience within France, having managed Strasbourg, Lens, Toulouse, Nantes, and even PSG from 2009 to 2011. To support his efforts, the club has managed to sign the renowned Italian forward Ciro Immobile.

    ❌ Paris are dealing with a slew of injuries. Sofiane Alakouch, Lamine Gueye, Rémy Riou, and Pierre-Yves Hamel will miss the match, though none are considered key players. Among the main squad, defender Samir Chergui, who hasn't played since late November, and defender Hamari Traoré, sidelined with a knee injury for a month, will be absent.

    Nice

    🎙 Recently, Jérémie Boga, who is currently on loan at Juventus, spoke about the terrifying incident with Nice fans: "Every morning, I thank my lucky stars for being here after what happened in Nice. It was a difficult time for me and my family-I can't go into details yet, but I spent two months at home with my coach and wife. It was tough, but I'm glad it's over."

    ❌ Nice are also dealing with some setbacks ahead of our match. Key players like midfielder Isak Jansson and forward Elie Wahi are sidelined due to injuries sustained in the last round. Among the non-starters, defenders Mohamed Abdelmonem and Moise Bombito, as well as midfielder Youssouf Ndayishimiye, will not be participating in the game.

    🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

    Paris and Nice players approach tackles with extreme caution. They aim for precision, resulting in a low average of yellow cards: the hosts at 1.5 and the visitors around two. Given that the main referee, Hakim Ben El Salem Hadj, is not particularly strict (averaging 2.57 cards per match), a flurry of bookings is unlikely. We suggest betting on total yellow cards under 4.5.

    ⚽️ Goal Prediction

    When it comes to scoring, both sides are struggling. The hosts have netted just once in their last four matches, while the visitors have scored three in three games. With new coaches still figuring out how to enhance their teams' attacking play, a goal fest seems improbable. We recommend placing a bet on total goals under 2.5. This bet was successful in their head-to-head earlier this season.

    🚩 Corner Prediction

    Paris average 5.4 corners at home. Nice manage 4.7 corner kicks on the road. An interesting trend emerges here: in six consecutive matches involving the "Eagles," there have been at least 10 corners recorded. We believe the likelihood of the bet total corners over 9.5 is very high.

    Editor's Prediction

    Let's determine the likely outcome of this match. Both teams are almost identical in most aspects, with their attacking plays leaving much to be desired: for the Parisians, scoring a goal is a significant event, while the visitors have shown more attacking ideas in recent games, yet their execution falters. A reasonable bet here would be on total goals under 2.5. It's plausible to predict a 1-0 win for Nice, as they have appeared more confident than their opponents in recent encounters.

    Our choice
    Total goals Under (2.5) at odds of -112*
    Bovada
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (28 February 2026, 04:23)

    Betting Tips: Paris - Nice

    Nice have lost the 2nd half
    ogc-nicein 11 of last 12 away games (Ligue 1).
    2nd Half Paris Win
    Everygame
    +165
    Nice have lost
    ogc-nicein 6 of last 7 away games (Ligue 1).
    Paris Win
    Everygame
    +140
    Nice have not won
    ogc-nicein 12 of last 13 games (Ligue 1).
    ogc-nicein 9 of last 10 away games.
    Paris will not lose
    Everygame
    -256
    Paris have not won
    paris-fc-98-in 11 of last 12 games (Ligue 1).
    paris-fc-98-in last 8 home games (Ligue 1).
    paris-fc-98-in last 6 games.
    Nice will not lose
    Everygame
    -196
    View more facts

    Paris - Nice Table position

    Ligue 1 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    10.
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    331281347-4644
    11.
    Paris
    Paris
    3411111247-5044
    12.
    Stade Brest
    Stade Brest
    341091543-5539
    15.
    Auxerre
    Auxerre
    348101634-4434
    16.
    Nice
    Nice
    347111637-6032
    17.
    Nantes
    Nantes
    33582029-5223

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    5 - Wins
    3 - Draws
    2 - Loses
    Wins - 2
    Draws - 6
    Loses - 2
    10 matches
    Scored - 19
    Conceded - 10
    +9
    +2
    11 - Scored
    9 - Conceded
    5
    Wins
    2
    3
    Draws
    6
    2
    Loses
    2
    Goal difference
    19
    Scored
    11
    10
    Conceded
    9
    2.9
    Match goals average
    2
    1.9
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.1
    1
    Goals conceded per match on average
    0.9
    7
    Both teams scored
    6
    47'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    82'
    View all stats