Metz vs Brest Prediction
🔊 Resilient Brest head to the struggling Metz: the match is set for the 24th round of the French Ligue 1 at the Stade Saint-Symphorien. Will the "Pirates" manage to take home all three points, or will the hosts secure their first victory of 2026? Let's explore these questions in our prediction.
Head-to-Head
📊 In their head-to-head encounters, Brest have shown complete dominance. The last time Metz came out on top was in 2021, after which they suffered four consecutive defeats. At the end of November, in the first-round match, Éric Roy's side secured a 3-2 victory.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Metz Team Overview
🔴 Benoît Taveno's team are likely to exit the top tier of French football. They falter in every aspect of the game: defenders make costly errors, and the forwards rarely find the back of the net. It's likely that even the fans have come to terms with these issues and are simply waiting for the season to end.
⚪ Metz sit hopelessly at the bottom of the league table with only 13 points to their name. Their goal difference is alarming at 22:52. The team tops all negative rankings. The outlook is grim, and it's unclear how they might turn things around for the better.
Match Results: Metz
Stade Brest Team Overview
🔴 Overall, Eric Roy's team is holding its ground. They currently sit 11th in the league standings with 30 points. The "Pirates" perform well offensively, having scored 31 goals, but their defense can be shaky at times, conceding 34. Brest's key asset is forward Romain Del Castillo, who has netted 7 goals so far.
⚪ It's worth noting that Brest struggle in away matches. Out of their eight victories this season, only two have come on the road, while they have suffered six defeats away from home. To improve their standings, the team needs to learn how to secure results on foreign turf.
Match Results: Stade Brest
Latest news
Metz
🖋 During the winter transfer window, the team bolstered their squad with several additions: defender Bouna Sarr, who previously played for Metz from 2011 to 2015, returned, and forwards Giorgi Kvilitaia and Luca Michal were signed. These players aren't the strongest, and some weren't regular starters at their previous clubs. However, given the club's current situation, they can't rely on star signings.
❌ The upcoming match will see the absence of the team's top scorer En Gauthier and midfielder Benjamin Stambouli due to injuries sustained in recent games. Additionally, less pivotal players like goalkeeper Pap Si and forward Joseph Mangondo will also miss out.
Stade Brest
🖋 This winter, several players left the team. Defender Justin Burgo went on loan to Nancy, while Julien Le Cardinal signed with Saint-Étienne. Neither of these players were key figures for Éric Roy, so their departures are unlikely to impact Brest's future significantly.
❌ As expected, Brest are dealing with injuries. Forward Mama Baldé will miss the match due to an injury he sustained in early January.
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
The teams are not known for their rough play. On average, Metz at home and Brest away receive fewer than two yellow cards per game. The main referee for this match, Jérémy Stinat, is also not eager to penalize players, averaging 3.6 cards shown per match. Three warnings per game is relatively low, and we believe the teams can surpass this mark. We suggest betting on total yellow cards over 2.5.
⚽️ Goal Prediction
Brest currently boasts a creative attack, having scored in each of their last four matches. They should have no issues against a defense like Metz's. Can the hosts find the net? They managed to do so twice in the first round. Overall, Benoît Tavenot's squad averages a goal per game at home, and Brest concedes quite a few on the road. We believe that both teams will score in this encounter.
🚩 Corner Prediction
Both teams have rather low corner stats. Metz has delivered a maximum of 4 corners in 10 of their last 11 matches. Brest isn't far off these numbers, averaging 4.2 corner kicks. Therefore, expecting a high number of corner kicks at the Stade Saint-Symphorien seems unlikely. We recommend betting on total corners under 9.
Editor's Prediction
Let's determine the outcome of the match. We don't see how Metz could snatch points from Brest. The hosts might have a decent chance of scoring a goal, but securing points seems unlikely. The visitors shouldn't face issues finding the net; Metz's defense is too weak, while the "Pirates" have injected creativity into their attack, suggesting a potential final score of 2-1 in Brest's favor. Eric Roy's team is on a solid run: they defeated a strong Marseille (2-0) in their last match and remain unbeaten in four games overall. We believe Brest will add three points to their tally and recommend betting on a victory for the visitors.
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Betting Tips: Metz - Stade Brest
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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