Lille vs Nantes Prediction

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The main thing

    🔊 Can Lille translate their European success into domestic triumphs? On Sunday, the Mastiffs host one of the league's underdogs, Nantes. Bookmakers are quite confident in a home victory, but is everything as straightforward as it seems? Read our prediction for this matchup in our article.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Lille and Nantes tend to have low-scoring encounters, with both teams rarely finding the back of the net against each other. In their last five head-to-head meetings, the under 2.5 goals bet has hit four times.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    60%
    25 Wins
    26%
    11 Draws
    14%
    6 Wins
    Total games
    42
    Total Goals Avg
    1.98
    Both teams scored
    36%
    1.4
    Total average
    0.57
    1.52
    Yellow cards
    1.93
    Last matches
    01.03.26
    Ligue 1
    Lille
    Lille
    Nantes
    Nantes
    0.73
    0.23
    4
    1
    11
    15
    3
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0.73
    0.23
    4
    1
    11
    15
    3
    1
    19.10.25
    Ligue 1
    Nantes
    Nantes
    Lille
    Lille
    0.64
    3.08
    5
    9
    1
    0
    1
    4
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0.64
    3.08
    5
    9
    1
    0
    1
    4
    15.03.25
    Ligue 1
    Nantes
    Nantes
    1
    Lille
    Lille
    2.01
    2.45
    3
    5
    9
    15
    2
    3
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    2.01
    2.45
    3
    5
    9
    15
    2
    3
    04.01.25
    Ligue 1
    Lille
    Lille
    Nantes
    Nantes
    1.13
    1.07
    2
    0
    3
    10
    1
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1.13
    1.07
    2
    0
    3
    10
    1
    2
    12.05.24
    Ligue 1
    Nantes
    Nantes
    Lille
    Lille
    -
    -
    5
    4
    18
    7
    4
    2
    1
    2
    0
    2
    1
    0
    -
    -
    5
    4
    18
    7
    4
    2
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    Lille Team Overview

    🔵 Lille have been highly inconsistent this season, with their performances resembling a tumultuous sea. At times, they score a flurry of goals and defeat formidable opponents, only to then stumble against mid-table teams and underdogs. Recently, the "Les Dogues" secured their spot in the Europa League Round of 16 by overcoming Red Star Belgrade in extra time. This European success is crucial for the club, especially as things aren't going as planned in Ligue 1.

    🔴 In Ligue 1, Lille are struggling to find consistency. In their last match, Bruno Génésio's side narrowly defeated Angers with a 1-0 victory, ending a frustrating six-match winless streak. It's worth noting that Lille's scoring efficiency has significantly dropped lately, contributing to their frequent point losses in the league. However, there's a glimmer of improvement, and their Europa League playoff victory further underscores this positive trend.

    Match Results: Lille

    Last matches
    17.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Lille
    Lille
    Auxerre
    Auxerre
    1.64
    0.39
    4
    2
    9
    16
    3
    2
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    1.64
    0.39
    4
    2
    9
    16
    3
    2
    L
    10.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Monaco
    Monaco
    Lille
    Lille
    0.3
    0.42
    5
    2
    13
    10
    1
    3
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0.3
    0.42
    5
    2
    13
    10
    1
    3
    W
    03.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Lille
    Lille
    Havre
    Havre
    1.71
    0.15
    14
    5
    9
    15
    2
    3
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1.71
    0.15
    14
    5
    9
    15
    2
    3
    D
    26.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Paris
    Paris
    1
    Lille
    Lille
    1.35
    1.69
    7
    3
    12
    10
    4
    3
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    1.35
    1.69
    7
    3
    12
    10
    4
    3
    W
    18.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Lille
    Lille
    Nice
    Nice
    0.56
    0.17
    5
    3
    9
    10
    3
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0.56
    0.17
    5
    3
    9
    10
    3
    1
    D
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    Nantes Team Overview

    🟡 Nantes are highly likely to exit the top tier of French football this year and head to Ligue 2. Despite their recent 2-0 victory over Le Havre, the Canaries' chances of survival are slim. Currently, under the relatively new guidance of Ahmed Kantari, they sit second from bottom in the league standings, trailing the safety zone by six points.

    🟢 Reflecting on Nantes' Ligue 1 campaign, it's worth noting their recent five-match losing streak, which was only halted in the last round. Their win against Le Havre was somewhat fortuitous, featuring an own goal and a penalty. With just 29% possession and a defensive setup, Kantari's squad managed to secure a vital three points.

    Match Results: Nantes

    Last matches
    08.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Lens
    Lens
    Nantes
    Nantes
    1.03
    1.24
    8
    3
    15
    15
    2
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1.03
    1.24
    8
    3
    15
    15
    2
    1
    L
    02.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Nantes
    Nantes
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    2.06
    1.44
    7
    8
    12
    11
    1
    3
    3
    0
    0
    0
    3
    0
    2.06
    1.44
    7
    8
    12
    11
    1
    3
    W
    26.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Stade Rennes
    Stade Rennes
    Nantes
    Nantes
    1.36
    2.22
    6
    8
    15
    15
    3
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    1.36
    2.22
    6
    8
    15
    15
    3
    2
    L
    22.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Nantes
    Nantes
    2.08
    1.2
    7
    6
    11
    8
    2
    1
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    2.08
    1.2
    7
    6
    11
    8
    2
    1
    L
    19.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Nantes
    Nantes
    2
    Stade Brest
    Stade Brest
    0.97
    0.33
    11
    0
    13
    17
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0.97
    0.33
    11
    0
    13
    17
    2
    2
    D
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    Latest news

    Lille

    ❌ In the upcoming match, Lille will take the field without several key players. Igmane Hamza and Ousmane Touré are sidelined due to knee issues. Ethan Mbappé and Osame Sahraoui remain out of action. Alexandr, Marc-Aurèle Caillard, and Thomas Meunier might be able to support their teammates.

    Nantes

    ❌ Nantes face no significant losses in their ranks, with no injuries to key players. However, defender Kelvin Amian Adou is serving a suspension. The coaching staff of the "Canaries" can call upon all other players for the match against Lille.

    🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

    The upcoming match will be officiated by Thomas Leonard, who averages 3.67 yellow cards per game over his last 100 matches, with 24 fouls per game. In Ligue 1, across 23 matches, Lille average 2 yellow cards per game, while Nantes average 2.1. Both teams have not been frequent offenders this season, so a bet on total yellow cards under 4.5 seems reasonable.

    ⚽️ Goal Prediction

    Lille's average individual total in the French championship is 1.6 goals per match, whereas Nantes average just 1. Considering this statistic and their historically low-scoring head-to-head encounters, we suggest looking at a bet on total match goals under 2.5.

    🚩 Corner Prediction

    In 23 Ligue 1 matches, Lille have averaged 6.3 corners per game, while Nantes have averaged 3.3. Bruno Génésio's side tend to earn more corner kicks than their opponents and display above-average league stats in this regard, so we recommend betting on Lille to win the corner count.

    Editor's Prediction

    Lille appear to be emerging from the slump they found themselves in at the start of the year, with two consecutive victories reinforcing this belief. Nantes, despite their win in the last round, remain in decline as they lack players capable of leading the team forward. We believe the visitors stand little chance in the upcoming match and are backing a Lille victory. Our predicted score is 2-0!

    Our choice
    Lille Win at odds of -217*
    Bovada
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (28 February 2026, 08:28)

    Betting Tips: Lille - Nantes

    Lille have drawn in the 2nd half
    lille-oscin last 6 games.
    2nd Half Draw
    Everygame
    +165
    Nantes have lost the 1st half
    fc-nantesin 6 of last 7 games.
    1st Half Lille Win
    Bovada
    +103
    Lille have not lost
    lille-oscfc-nantesin 20 of last 21 games against Nantes.
    lille-oscfc-nantesin 19 of last 20 games against Nantes (Ligue 1).
    lille-oscfc-nantesin 16 of last 17 home games against Nantes (Ligue 1).
    Lille will not lose
    Everygame
    -909
    Under 3.5 goals scored
    lille-oscfc-nantesin last 21 Lille home games against Nantes.
    lille-oscfc-nantesin last 18 Lille home games against Nantes (Ligue 1).
    lille-oscfc-nantesin last 13 Lille games against Nantes (Ligue 1).
    lille-oscin 6 of last 7 Lille games (Ligue 1).
    in 6 of last 7 Thomas Leonard games.
    Total goals Under (3.5)
    Everygame
    -303
    View more facts

    Lille - Nantes Table position

    Ligue 1 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    2.
    Lens
    Lens
    34224866-3570
    3.
    Lille
    Lille
    34187952-3761
    4.
    Olympique Lyon
    Olympique Lyon
    341861053-4060
    16.
    Nice
    Nice
    347111637-6032
    17.
    Nantes
    Nantes
    33582029-5223
    18.
    Metz
    Metz
    34382332-7617

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    6 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    2 - Loses
    Win - 1
    Draws - 3
    Loses - 6
    10 matches
    Scored - 14
    Conceded - 7
    +7
    -5
    7 - Scored
    12 - Conceded
    6
    Wins
    1
    2
    Draws
    3
    2
    Loses
    6
    Goal difference
    14
    Scored
    7
    7
    Conceded
    12
    2.1
    Match goals average
    1.9
    1.4
    Goals scored per match on average
    0.7
    0.7
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.2
    3
    Both teams scored
    3
    64'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    129'
    View all stats