Leon vs Necaxa Prediction 1 March 2026
💥 In the upcoming Liga MX round, we have an intriguing clash between León and Necaxa. León are grappling with inconsistency, which is evident in their current form. The team sit in 13th place, struggling to deliver strong performances both at home and away. On the other hand, Necaxa are positioned higher in the standings, holding the 10th spot. They have shown more stability in recent matches, winning five out of their last ten games. Both teams have a tendency towards open play, which could lead to a high-scoring encounter.
Head-to-Head
📊Statistical preview of the official encounters between León and Necaxa:
- 28 matches played;
- home victories - 17, away victories - 7, draws - 4;
- goals scored - 48 for León, 32 for Necaxa;
- average total in the first half - 1.07, in the second half - 1.79;
- average total goals per match - 2.86.
Head-to-head statistics Leon - Necaxa
Leon Team Overview
The most recent official match took place in the Liga MX tournament with León as the home team and Santos Laguna as the visitors. The match concluded with a 2-1 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (León vs Santos Laguna):
- possession: 47% vs 53%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 6;
- fouls: 14 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 5 vs 1;
- shots on target: 4 vs 4.
Lyon are facing significant challenges this season-they struggle to secure consistent victories and display shaky defensive performances. In their last five matches, they have managed just one win alongside four defeats. On average, the team concedes 1.71 goals per game while scoring less than one goal per match (0.88). At home, their matches often feature high-scoring affairs, with over 2.5 goals recorded in seven of their last eight home games. This highlights the pressing need for defensive improvements.
Match Results: Leon
Necaxa Team Overview
The visitors' last official match took place in Liga MX, with Necaxa as the hosts and Toluca as the visitors. The match concluded with a 0-3 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Necaxa vs Toluca):
- possession: 45% vs 55%;
- corners: 3 vs 7;
- fouls: 8 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 3;
- shots on target: 6 vs 6.
Necaxa are showing more consistent form compared to their opponents, with five wins and four losses in their last ten matches, indicating a positive trend in their performance. They sit in 13th place, bolstered by a decent attack, scoring an average of 1.8 goals per game while conceding 1.6 goals over the same period. In their recent head-to-head, Necaxa secured a 2-1 victory over León, further underscoring their strength against this opponent.
Match Results: Necaxa
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 28;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 5; for visitors away - 5; number of draws - 3;
- Average first-half total: 1.07;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.54, while the visitors net 0.54.
First-Half Stats: Leon (home) vs Necaxa (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 12 vs 12;
- wins: 4 (33.33%) vs 1 (8.33%);
- losses: 2 (16.67%) vs 8 (66.67%);
- draws: 6 (50%) vs 3 (25%);
- Average goals scored: 1.33 vs 2;
- Average goals conceded: 0.58 vs 1.42.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 3 vs 3;
- losses: 4 vs 4;
- draws: 3 vs 3;
- Average first-half total: 1.1 (scored - 0.5, conceded - 0.6) vs 1.6 (scored - 0.7, conceded - 0.9).
- Necaxa conceded in the 1st half in 9 of last 10 away games (Liga MX).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 28;
- home team wins - 17, away team wins - 7, draws - 4.
- Necaxa won with a +1.5 handicap in last 8 games against Leon (Liga MX).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.71, the guests - 1.14;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.86;
- both teams scored: overall - 15; at the home team's field - 8.
Statistics: Leon vs Necaxa
- average total in the tournament: 2.58 vs 3.17;
- average total goals scored: 0.88 vs 1.38;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.46 vs 0.63;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.42 vs 0.75;
- Leon: average total at home in the tournament - 1.42;
- Necaxa: average total away in the tournament - 1.5;
- last 10 matches (average total): 0.9 (home - 1.4) vs 1.8 (away - 2).
- Necaxa have scored under 1.5 goals in 11 of last 12 away games against Leon.
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 1.72 (0.86 for home team and 0.86 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 1.62 (0.62 for home team and 1 for away team).
Leon: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.42; at home - 2.58;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.3; at home - 3.
Necaxa: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.38, away - 2.42;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.9; away - 1.6.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 28;
- both teams scored all-time - 15 times;
- on the home team’s field - 8 times.
- Leon have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 games against Necaxa (Liga MX).
- Leon have scored and conceded in last 7 home games (Liga MX).
- Necaxa have scored and conceded in 7 of last 8 away games (Liga MX).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (25/232, 10.8%);
- Leon at home most often finish matches: 1:1 , 1:2 , 2:1 (2/12, 16.7%);
- Necaxa away most often play: 1:1 , 3:0 , 3:1 (2/12, 16.7%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 11.54% (odds 6.5)
2:1 - 8.71% (odds 9)
1:0 - 7.77% (odds 9)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Considering the current trends and team statistics, betting on both teams to score appears to be the most reasonable choice for this match. The trend indicates a high probability that both clubs will find opportunities to get on the scoresheet: Leon consistently delivers high-scoring performances at home, while Necaxa boasts a formidable attack even against strong opponents (this increases the likelihood of plenty of goals from both sides).
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Betting Tips: Leon - Necaxa
in 6 of last 7 games against Leon (Liga MX).
in 15 of last 17 games (Liga MX).
in 11 of last 12 home games against Necaxa.in last 7 home games against Necaxa (Liga MX).in last 8 games against Necaxa (Liga MX).in 39 of last 40 games.in 36 of last 37 games (Liga MX).in 17 of last 18 home games (Liga MX).
Comparison of Teams Stats
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