Casa Pia vs Moreirense Prediction 1 March 2026
🔊 In the upcoming clash between Casa Pia and Moreirense, we will witness a battle of contrasting playing styles. Casa Pia, sitting 13th in the table, have shown inconsistent results in recent matches. Their defense frequently makes errors, leaving the club vulnerable. Meanwhile, Moreirense, currently in 8th place, display a more confident game and aim to solidify their position in the upper half of the table.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 27 September 2025 and ended with a 2-1 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of that encounter (Moreirense were the home side):
- possession: 54% vs 46%;
- corners: 6 vs 8;
- fouls: 13 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 5 vs 4;
- shots on target: 4 vs 4.
📊 Statistical preview of the official encounters between Casa Pia and Moreirense:
- 5 matches played;
- home team wins - 2, away team wins - 3, draws - 0;
- goals scored - 10 against 8;
- average total in the first half - 2.2, in the second half - 1.4;
- average total goals per match - 3.6.
Head-to-head statistics Casa Pia - Moreirense

Casa Pia Team Overview
The last official match took place on in the Primeira Liga, with Famalicão as the home side and Casa Pia as the visitors. The match ended with a 2-0 victory.
Here are the game statistics (Casa Pia vs Famalicão):
- possession percentage: 38% vs 62%;
- corners: 7 vs 7;
- fouls: 16 vs 17;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
- shots on target: 1 vs 7.
Casa Pia have been showing inconsistent form this season. The club faces defensive issues, conceding an average of 1.87 goals per match. In their last five outings, they've managed two victories and two draws, indicating some improvements. However, their attacking prowess remains modest, with an average of 1.09 goals scored per game. This limits their ability to compete against stronger opponents and raises questions about the need to strengthen the squad to achieve more consistent results.
Match Results: Casa Pia

Moreirense Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in the Primeira Liga, facing Moreirense away from home. Sporting secured a 3-0 victory.
Here are the match statistics (Moreirense vs Sporting):
- possession: 38% vs 62%;
- corners: 1 vs 8;
- fouls: 11 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 2 vs 8.
Moreirense are showcasing stability and confidence. The team has delivered decent performances in recent matches, securing two wins alongside three losses. Their attacking line has been quite effective, averaging 1.26 goals per game. However, their defense has shown vulnerabilities, conceding an average of 1.43 goals per match. In their most recent head-to-head, Moreirense managed to edge out their opponent with a narrow 2-1 victory. The "Greens" aim to solidify their position in the upper part of the table and deliver a high-scoring performance against their rivals.
Match Results: Moreirense
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 5;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 0; for visitors away - 2; number of draws - 0;
- Average first-half total: 2.2;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.8, while the visitors net 1.4.
First-Half Stats: Casa Pia (home) vs Moreirense (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 11 vs 12;
- wins: 4 (36.36%) vs 3 (25%);
- losses: 4 (36.36%) vs 1 (8.33%);
- draws: 3 (27.27%) vs 8 (66.67%);
- Average goals scored: 1.64 vs 0.92;
- Average goals conceded: 0.82 vs 0.33.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 3 vs 1;
- losses: 3 vs 2;
- draws: 4 vs 7;
- Average first-half total: 1.2 (scored - 0.6, conceded - 0.6) vs 0.5 (scored - 0.2, conceded - 0.3).
- Moreirense have drawn in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 5;
- home team wins - 2, away team wins - 3, draws - 0.
Statistics: Casa Pia vs Moreirense
- matches played in the tournament: 23 vs 23;
- wins: 5 vs 10;
- win percentage: 22% vs 43%;
- losses: 11 vs 10;
- draws: 7 vs 3.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 3 vs 4;
- losses: 4 vs 5;
- draws: 3 vs 1.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 2, the guests - 1.6;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.6;
- both teams scored: overall - 4; at the home team's field - 1.
Statistics: Casa Pia vs Moreirense
- average total in the tournament: 2.96 vs 2.7;
- average total goals scored: 1.09 vs 1.26;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.52 vs 0.43;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.57 vs 0.83;
- Casa Pia: average total at home in the tournament - 1.36;
- Moreirense: average total away in the tournament - 1.17;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.2 (home - 1.8) vs 0.8 (away - 1).
- Casa Pia have conceded in 16 of last 17 home games.
- Casa Pia have conceded in 15 of last 16 home games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on corners
H2H
- average Over/Under corners in H2H matches - 9 (5 - for home team and 4 - for away team);
- average Over/Under corners at home team's field - 7.5 (4.5 - for home team and 3 - for away team).
Casa Pia: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.7; at home field - 3;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.4; at home field - 2.4.
Moreirense: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.7, away - 3.25;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.4; away - 3.4.
- Casa Pia have taken under 4.5 corners in last 5 home games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 5;
- both teams scored all-time - 4 times;
- on the home team’s field - 1 times.
Statistics: Casa Pia vs Moreirense
- number of matches played in the tournament: 23 vs 23;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 11 vs 11;
- number of BTTS matches for Casa Pia at home - 7 (64%);
- number of BTTS matches for Moreirense away - 5 (42%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 3;
- BTTS matches for Casa Pia at home - 4 (80%);
- BTTS matches for Moreirense away - 2 (40%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (21/207, 10.1%);
- Casa Pia at home most often finish matches: 0:2 (3/11, 27.3%);
- Moreirense away most often play: 0:2 , 2:1 (2/12, 16.7%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 13.09% (odds 6)
1:0 - 9.51% (odds 7)
0:1 - 9.15% (odds 7)
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Given the current form of both teams, the clash between Casa Pia and Moreirense promises to be action-packed. Casa Pia are struggling defensively, making them vulnerable. This is evident as they have conceded at home in 16 of their last 17 matches. On the other hand, Moreirense show consistency in attack and are capable of exploiting their opponent's weaknesses. Considering the trends and overall playing style of both sides, the most likely outcome is over 1.5 goals.