Boca Juniors vs Gimnasia Prediction 28 February 2026
📢 What to expect from the clash between Boca Juniors and Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza in the 8th round of the Primera? Both teams sit mid-table, yet they exhibit varying levels of consistency. Boca boasts a solid defense, especially at home where they rarely concede goals. Meanwhile, Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza have shown mixed results on the road. The match promises to be intriguing from a tactical standpoint for both sides.
Head-to-Head
⚠ These teams have never faced each other before.
Head-to-head statistics Boca Juniors - Gimnasia
Boca Juniors Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Copa Argentina tournament (home team - Boca Juniors, away team - Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:0.
Here's the game statistics (Boca Juniors vs Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy):
- ball possession: 78% vs 22%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 0;
- fouls: 10 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 6;
- shots on target: 8 vs 0.
Boca Juniors are renowned for their solid defense and ability to keep clean sheets. In their last five matches, they have secured two wins, drawn twice, and suffered one defeat. Over the past ten games, they have claimed five victories and only three losses, indicating the team is in good form. They average 0.83 goals scored per match, while conceding just 0.67. Currently sitting in ninth place in the standings, they are eager to climb higher.
Match Results: Boca Juniors
Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Primera Division tournament (home team - Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza, away - Independiente). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:1.
Here are the match stats (Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza vs Independiente):
- ball possession: 47% vs 53%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 4;
- fouls: 12 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- shots on target: 4 vs 3.
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza currently sit in 13th place on the table, displaying inconsistent form both at home and away. Over their last five matches, they have managed just one win, alongside three losses and a draw. Their scoring average is low, with only 0.57 goals per game, while they concede an average of 1.29 goals.
Match Results: Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza
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Boca Juniors
The hosts face numerous absences. Alan Velasco and Carlos Palacios are sidelined with knee injuries, while Angel Romero and Juan Barinaga remain doubtful due to muscle issues. Edinson Cavani will miss the match with a back injury, and Exequiel Zeballos is out with a hamstring injury. Milton Jimenez won't play due to a groin injury until the end of March. Rodrigo Battaglia is unavailable until summer due to an Achilles tendon injury.
Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza
The visitors are also facing squad issues. Brian Andrada and Nicolas Romano are not at their best following injuries, while Cesar Rigamonti will miss the match due to illness. Thomas O’Connor is sidelined with a knee injury and is expected to return to action only by mid-March.
Prediction on the outcome
Statistics: Boca Juniors vs Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza
- matches played in the tournament: 6 vs 7;
- wins: 2 vs 2;
- win percentage: 33% vs 29%;
- losses: 2 vs 4;
- draws: 2 vs 1.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 5 vs 4;
- losses: 3 vs 4;
- draws: 2 vs 2.
- Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza won with a +1.5 handicap in 13 of last 15 away games.
- Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza won with a +1.5 handicap in 10 of last 11 games.
- Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza won with a +1.5 handicap in 6 of last 7 games (Primera Division).
Prediction on the over/under
Statistics: Boca Juniors vs Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza
- average total in the tournament: 1.5 vs 1.86;
- average total goals scored: 0.83 vs 0.57;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.17 vs 0.43;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.67 vs 0.14;
- Boca Juniors: average total at home in the tournament - 0.75;
- Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza: average total away in the tournament - 0.67;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1 (home - 1) vs 0.7 (away - 0.8).
- Under 2.5 goals scored in last 9 Boca Juniors home games (Primera Division).
- Under 2.5 goals scored in 18 of last 20 Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza away games.
- Under 2.5 goals scored in 14 of last 16 Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza games.
Prediction on BTTS
Statistics: Boca Juniors vs Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza
- number of matches played in the tournament: 6 vs 7;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 2 vs 2;
- number of BTS matches for Boca Juniors at home - 0 (0%);
- number of BTS matches for Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza away - 1 (33%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 2 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for Boca Juniors at home - 0 (0%);
- BTTS matches for Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza away - 3 (60%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 0:0 (16/102, 15.7%), 1:0 (16/102, 15.7%);
- Boca Juniors at home most often finish matches: 0:0 (2/4, 50%);
- Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza away most often play: 0:1 , 2:1 , 4:0 (1/3, 33.3%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 22.1% (odds 4.75)
2:0 - 15.28% (odds 5.5)
0:0 - 13.82% (odds 6.5)
Editor's Prediction
Boca Juniors are the clear favorites in this clash, thanks to their superior squad depth and quality. Meanwhile, the visitors are well aware of the gap in class and will likely focus on defense, aiming to slow down the game as much as possible. It's worth noting that the total under 2.5 goals has occurred in 18 of Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza's last 20 away matches. In this scenario, betting on that outcome seems a logical choice.
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Betting Tips: Boca Juniors - Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza
in 8 of last 9 home games (Primera Division).in 8 of last 9 away games.
in last 9 Boca Juniors home games (Primera Division).in 18 of last 20 Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza away games.in 14 of last 16 Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza games.in 20 of last 21 home games.in 18 of last 19 home games (Primera Division).in last 13 games.in last 12 games (Primera Division).in 8 of last 9 home games (Primera Division).
Comparison of Teams Stats
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