Guimaraes vs Moreirense Prediction 30 January 2026
🔊 Vitória Guimarães are set to host Moreirense in the Primeira Liga, and this clash promises to be intriguing. The home side are in good form, although they've stumbled in recent rounds. Their defense has become more organized, leading to improved results. Moreirense have also been delivering respectable performances, particularly on the road, where they often pick up points. Both teams aim to solidify their positions in the top half of the table and have ambitions of competing for European spots. It will be interesting to see their head-to-head, considering their contrasting styles: Vitória favor ball control, while Moreirense excel on the counterattack.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 23 August 2025, ending with a 2-0 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the statistics from that encounter (Moreirense were the home side):
- possession: 48% vs 52%;
- corners: 3 vs 7;
- fouls: 17 vs 17;
- yellow cards: 5 vs 2;
- shots on target: 4 vs 4.
📊 Statistical preview of the official encounters between Vitória Guimarães and Moreirense:
- 31 matches played;
- home wins - 17, away wins - 5, draws - 9;
- goals scored - 46 to 29;
- average first-half total - 1.06, second-half - 1.35;
- average total goals per match - 2.42.
Head-to-head statistics Guimaraes - Moreirense
Vitoria SC Guimaraes Team Overview
The last official match took place on in the Primeira Liga, featuring Estoril at home against Vitória Guimarães. The game concluded with a scoreline of 4-2.
Here are the match statistics (Vitória Guimarães vs Estoril):
- possession percentage: 45% vs 55%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 4;
- fouls: 19 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
- shots on target: 4 vs 6.
Vitória Guimarães have dropped points in recent matches, but they remain in good shape. Currently sitting in 9th place on the table, their goal is to climb higher. The team is known for their ball control and organized defense, which helps minimize errors. In their last ten matches, they have secured four wins and suffered four losses, averaging about one goal per game. In their most recent head-to-head encounter, the score was 2-0 in favor of Moreirense. Despite some inconsistency in form, Vitória typically perform confidently at home.
Match Results: Vitoria SC Guimaraes
Moreirense Team Overview
The last official match for the current visitors took place on in the Primeira Liga (Moreirense were the hosts, Santa Clara the visitors). The match ended with a scoreline of 1-0.
Here are the match statistics (Moreirense vs Santa Clara):
- possession: 49% vs 51%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 5;
- fouls: 13 vs 22;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 1 vs 0.
Moreirense, currently sitting 6th in the standings, are showing decent form and aim to solidify their position. The team has secured four wins and three draws in their last ten matches. However, their defense occasionally falters, as seen in the number of goals conceded. They average 1.3 goals scored and conceded per game, indicating a balanced approach between attack and defense. The "Greens" are particularly effective on the counterattack, especially against opponents who dominate possession. In their most recent head-to-head encounter, Moreirense secured a 2-0 victory, boosting their confidence ahead of the upcoming match.
Match Results: Moreirense
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 31;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 6; for visitors away - 0; number of draws - 8;
- Average first-half total: 1.06;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.68, while the visitors net 0.39.
First-Half Stats: Vitoria SC Guimaraes (home) vs Moreirense (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 10 vs 10;
- wins: 1 (10%) vs 3 (30%);
- losses: 2 (20%) vs 1 (10%);
- draws: 7 (70%) vs 6 (60%);
- Average goals scored: 1.2 vs 0.9;
- Average goals conceded: 0.6 vs 0.3.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 2 vs 2;
- losses: 4 vs 3;
- draws: 4 vs 5;
- Average first-half total: 0.9 (scored - 0.3, conceded - 0.6) vs 0.8 (scored - 0.4, conceded - 0.4).
- Vitoria SC Guimaraes have drawn in the 1st half in last 6 games against Moreirense (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 31;
- home team wins - 17, away team wins - 5, draws - 9.
Statistics: Vitoria SC Guimaraes vs Moreirense
- matches played in the tournament: 19 vs 19;
- wins: 7 vs 9;
- win percentage: 37% vs 47%;
- losses: 8 vs 7;
- draws: 4 vs 3.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 4 vs 4;
- losses: 4 vs 3;
- draws: 2 vs 3.
- Vitoria SC Guimaraes have won in 10 of last 11 home games against Moreirense (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.48, the guests - 0.94;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.42;
- both teams scored: overall - 16; at the home team's field - 5.
Statistics: Vitoria SC Guimaraes vs Moreirense
- average total in the tournament: 2.47 vs 2.74;
- average total goals scored: 1.05 vs 1.37;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.53 vs 0.47;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.53 vs 0.89;
- Vitoria SC Guimaraes: average total at home in the tournament - 1.4;
- Moreirense: average total away in the tournament - 1.2;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1 (home - 0.83) vs 1.3 (away - 1.5).
- Under 2.5 goals scored in 7 of last 8 Vitoria SC Guimaraes home games against Moreirense (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on corners
Vitoria SC Guimaraes: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.37; at home field - 4.6;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.6; at home field - 5.
Moreirense: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.95, away - 3.3;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.9; away - 3.5.
- Moreirense have taken over 2.5 corners in 6 of last 7 away games against Vitoria SC Guimaraes (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 31;
- both teams scored all-time - 16 times;
- on the home team’s field - 5 times.
Statistics: Vitoria SC Guimaraes vs Moreirense
- number of matches played in the tournament: 19 vs 19;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 7 vs 9;
- number of BTTS matches for Vitoria SC Guimaraes at home - 6 (60%);
- number of BTTS matches for Moreirense away - 4 (40%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for Vitoria SC Guimaraes at home - 3 (50%);
- BTTS matches for Moreirense away - 3 (50%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 0:1 (18/171, 10.5%);
- Vitoria SC Guimaraes at home most often finish matches: 1:1 , 2:1 (2/10, 20%);
- Moreirense away most often play: 0:2 , 2:1 (2/10, 20%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 13.18% (odds 5.8)
1:0 - 11.56% (odds 5.9)
0:0 - 9.1% (odds 7.4)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Considering the current form and statistics of the teams, the upcoming match between Vitória Guimarães and Moreirense promises to be intense. The home side have recently displayed confidence on their turf, though their form has been somewhat inconsistent. Moreirense have also been performing well on the road, adding intrigue to the clash. However, there's a notable trend: Vitória Guimarães have won 10 of their last 11 home head-to-heads against this opponent. Based on this, backing the hosts for a win seems like a well-founded prediction. Nonetheless, given the potential for low scoring in such encounters, considering the under 2.5 goals market as an alternative prediction could be wise. The choice is yours, but we're opting for the latter.
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Betting Tips: Vitoria SC Guimaraes - Moreirense
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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