Stuttgart vs Monchengladbach Prediction 1 February 2025

🔊 Will the "Swabians" be able to redeem themselves for last week's failures? The 20th round of the Bundesliga offers us a clash between Stuttgart and Borussia Mönchengladbach. A mutually attacking football game is predicted, where the intrigue will remain for most of the match. The hosts are capable of playing from a position of strength, but their habit of overplaying on the opponent's half gives opportunities for Kleindienst and company to systematically create goal-scoring situations. The "MHP" Arena will witness another football thriller involving its favorites.

📊 HEAD-TO-HEAD

The last encounter was won by Stuttgart players (3:1). Notably, in the last 7 head-to-head games, opponents have scored at least 3 goals.

⚪ STUTTGART

Despite being 4th in the Bundesliga, Stuttgart hasn't looked very good lately. While the 1:4 defeat to PSG in the Champions League isn't a major failure, the loss to Mainz (0:2) disappointed all the home fans. We understand that slumps happen to everyone, so progress in attack is expected. Moreover, the team is among the best in actions on the opponent's half - 36 goals in 19 matches. There are no critical lineup issues. Undav, Demirović, and Führich are capable of consistently generating chances at the opponent's goal. On average, they create 3.05 goal-scoring situations per game. Playing as the dominant side (58.8%) not only allows for much creativity but also implies counterattacks from the opponent. The "Swabians" often get burned by the opponents' fast breaks. This even happens with clear underdogs - for example, St. Pauli (0:1).

⚫ BORUSSIA MÖNCHENGLADBACH

Looking at Gladbach's game, it's hard to highlight anything good. Certainly, they managed to deal with Bochum last week (3:0). But before that came a series of uninspiring matches - against Bayer (1:3), Wolfsburg (1:5), and Bayern (0:1). The team doesn't have serious lineup issues, except Borges Sanches is questionable. But importantly, their main scorer Kleindienst (11+5) can take the field. On average, Gladbach scores less than their opponent - 1.58 per game. However, their counter-attacking model can lead to decent results. Even in the last head-to-head match, despite losing, Gladbach managed to create chances worth 2.12 goals according to xG. In terms of goals scored and conceded, the visitors are mid-table in the championship (30:29). Therefore, the likelihood of another high-scoring encounter involving Borussia is again high.

⚽️ GOALS PREDICTION

Stuttgart scores an average of 1.89 goals per match. Considering they've failed to reach this figure in two consecutive games, a so-called "compensation" might occur. All key players are fit, the team creates many chances (xG/90 1.91), and they have home field advantage - ideal conditions for 2+ goals. Gladbach will try to respond with counterattacks - in open play they often look very interesting. The average total for Stuttgart games is 3.36 goals. Gladbach's figures are slightly more modest - 3.11. However, this doesn't prevent a bet on over 2.5 goals.

🚩 CORNERS PREDICTION

Stuttgart loves to play under pressure, which is associated with a large number of set pieces. On average, the "Swabians" take 5.37 corners. Gladbach isn't far behind - 5.11. Since the match might be played without much midfield action, each team will constantly have opportunities to earn set pieces. For counter-attacking Gladbach, this component can become a key tool in attack. For this reason, we find it appropriate to bet on over 9.5 corners.

📝 EDITORIAL PREDICTION

The home field factor is of great significance in this matchup. Therefore, bookmakers consider Stuttgart favorites. Despite failures in recent games, the "Swabians" are capable of consistently generating attacking moments. Given the players' quality, the probability of several goals looks high. But we shouldn't forget about the defensive errors of the "Swabians" - Gladbach is counting not only on scoring one goal but also on gaining points. There is no vast gap in squad quality, which means we are in for mutually entertaining football with plenty of bright moments. We assume that the match will end with a score of 3:1. Our editorial suggests trying a bet on over 2.5 goals.