Ipswich vs Southampton Prediction 1 February 2025

🔊 Which of the Premier League underdogs will secure a victory in the 24th round? Bookmakers' predictions favor Ipswich Town, who will host their opponent at “Portman Road.” They have a better chance of retaining their place in the EPL. A victory could allow them to move out of the relegation zone as soon as this weekend. Southampton, however, seems doomed. It's enough to say that they trail Ipswich by 10 points, so a potential win won't significantly improve the “Saints'” position.

📊 Head-to-head

In the span of six head-to-head matches, all three outcomes were evenly distributed. The last time the opponents met was in September. Back then, at “St Mary's,” they ended in a draw (1:1). Tyler Dibling's goal in the fifth minute was answered by Ipswich Town in stoppage time. Sam Morsy scored the equalizer for his team, marking his only goal in the EPL. Notably, Southampton has not lost by more than one goal in any of the head-to-head matches in the considered span. Therefore, it is worth considering a bet on the visitors with a handicap (+1.5).

🚜 Ipswich Town

Ipswich Town entered the EPL with a weak squad. However, the team has good chances of retaining their place. Understanding this, the club is looking for ways to strengthen in January. Players have already been acquired for each line. Ipswich Town loaned Ben Godfrey (Atalanta), whose career in Italy didn't go well. Jayden Philogene-Bidace, who didn't meet expectations at Aston Villa, was bought. Julio Enciso moved from Brighton until the end of the season in search of playing time. All three players have already debuted for their new team, but haven't brought any points yet. As a result, Ipswich Town approaches the upcoming match with a series of three defeats. However, it was hardly expected otherwise in matches against Manchester City (0:6) and Liverpool (1:4). The only goal against the Merseysiders was scored by the “Tractor Boys” in the very end. Enciso provided an assist, partially solving the problem with injured forwards (Conor Chaplin, Chiedozie Ogbene).

🌳 Southampton

Southampton changed their coach during the season. However, under Ivan Jurić, they haven't earned a single point in the EPL. At least the team has started scoring. They managed to score in three consecutive matches, but conceded three goals in each case. The “Saints” were closest to victory against Nottingham (2:3). However, they scored their second goal only in stoppage time. Last weekend, Southampton opened the scoring in the 10th minute against Newcastle, but were trailing by halftime. In the current transfer window, the club signed Wellington and Joakim Sandu, and also loaned Albert Gronbaek from Rennes. However, none of the newcomers have even made it to the EPL match squad yet. Tyler Dibling, who is of interest to Tottenham, will not play in the upcoming match due to injury. Aaron Ramsdale's participation is also doubtful as he missed the last round.

🟨 Referee and yellow cards

The main referee for the match is Michael Oliver. This season he has already officiated 17 Premier League matches. In this span, he averaged 22 fouls and showed five yellow cards.

Southampton has an advantage in yellow cards this season - 2.8 versus 2.6. In matches involving them, there are an average of 4.6 warnings, while Ipswich's average is even lower (4.2). In 10 consecutive games for the “Saints,” no more than five yellow cards have been shown. In such a situation, it is worth choosing a bet on total yellow cards under 5.5.

⚽️ Prediction on goals

Ipswich has a rather weak defense. The team has conceded 47 goals in 23 matches. In a span of 19 Premier League games, they managed to keep a clean sheet only once. Notably, Southampton failed to score only against Brentford in a span of five matches. Therefore, we can expect a goal from the visitors in the upcoming match.

🚩 Prediction on corners

Southampton has an advantage on corners this season - 4.4 versus 4.2. However, Ipswich Town is considered the favorite for the upcoming match by this measure. However, in nine consecutive home matches in the Premier League, they haven't had more than six corners. Therefore, as a potential bet, we note total home corners under 6.5.

📝 Match prediction

Ipswich Town is considered the favorite for the upcoming match as they fight for survival. It's more important for them to earn points than for Southampton, who are doomed to relegation. Therefore, we note a potential exact score of 2:1.

On the other hand, Ipswich Town has conceded in 18 out of their last 19 Premier League matches. They also failed to keep a clean sheet in the first-round head-to-head match. Therefore, as a key bet, we suggest - both teams to score (Yes).