Murphy vs Williams Prediction 12 September 2026

    ENG
    Shaun Murphy
    WAL
    Mark Williams
    5
    6
    63
    66
    61
    128
    5
    74
    0
    61
    29
    52
    28
    24
    62
    30
    0
    71
    51
    82
    74
    63
    65
    78

    πŸ”Š Shaun Murphy emerges as a clear favourite to win the English Open, with no tricky opponents left in his draw. Up next for him is Mark Williams. Bookmakers are offering generous odds for this clash, and below you'll find a prediction for the match. Let’s break it down.

    Head-to-Head

    πŸ“Š Murphy holds a slight edge over his opponent in their head-to-head meetings.

    Head-to-head statistics Murphy - Williams

    55%
    6 Wins
    45%
    5 Wins
    12.09.26
    English Open
    Shaun Murphy
    Shaun Murphy
    Mark Williams
    Mark Williams
    5
    6
    13.10.25
    Xi'an Grand Prix
    Shaun Murphy
    Shaun Murphy
    Mark Williams
    Mark Williams
    3
    10
    13.08.25
    Saudi Arabia Snooker Masters
    Shaun Murphy
    Shaun Murphy
    Mark Williams
    Mark Williams
    1
    6
    17.05.25
    Helsinki International Snooker Cup
    Mark Williams
    Mark Williams
    Shaun Murphy
    Shaun Murphy
    4
    3
    21.07.23
    Championship League
    Shaun Murphy
    Shaun Murphy
    Mark Williams
    Mark Williams
    3
    0
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Shaun Murphy Player Overview

    Shaun has struggled at the start of the new season, and this tournament marks his first real chance to find consistency over a longer stretch. Murphy has suffered too many defeats lately, so he’s desperate for a strong run to rebuild his confidence. The World Championship is now well in the rear-view mirror - it’s time to look ahead.

    Two matches from this week stand out in particular. Murphy battled hard to claim gritty wins over Pang Junxu and Judd Trump in the last two rounds. This kind of resilience is unusual for Murphy - deciding frames have rarely been his strong suit. Yet against Trump, Shaun clinched the decider with a composed 67 break. In the quarter-finals, he fired in three breaks of 50-plus, including a century, underlining his return to form.

    Match Results: Shaun Murphy

    18.10.26
    Northern Ireland Open
    Shaun Murphy
    Shaun Murphy
    Liam Davies
    Liam Davies
    2
    4
    L
    02.10.26
    Shenzhen Open
    Shaun Murphy
    Shaun Murphy
    Wu Yize
    Wu Yize
    4
    5
    L
    01.10.26
    Shenzhen Open
    Shaun Murphy
    Shaun Murphy
    Elliot Slessor
    Elliot Slessor
    5
    1
    W
    30.09.26
    Shenzhen Open
    Shaun Murphy
    Shaun Murphy
    Hossein Vafaei
    Hossein Vafaei
    5
    1
    W
    29.09.26
    Shenzhen Open
    Shaun Murphy
    Shaun Murphy
    Marco Fu
    Marco Fu
    5
    1
    W
    Empty
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    Mark Williams Player Overview

    It's great to see Mark at this stage after a turbulent spell in his career. Success has eluded him for far too long, and this season Williams hasn't really displayed top form. Even earlier this week, he only scraped through the opening two rounds, but things have looked much better since then.

    In the last two rounds, Mark Williams dispatched Barry Hawkins and Liam Davies - the latter currently enjoying a red-hot run of form. It was in the quarterfinals where Williams’ experience truly shone through: although his potting accuracy wasn't at its best, his safety play was outstanding, and he clinched the decisive frame with a century break.

    Match Results: Mark Williams

    22.10.26
    Northern Ireland Open
    Mark Williams
    Mark Williams
    Martin O'Donnel
    Martin O'Donnel
    4
    0
    W
    21.10.26
    Northern Ireland Open
    Zhang Anda
    Zhang Anda
    Mark Williams
    Mark Williams
    2
    4
    W
    20.10.26
    Northern Ireland Open
    Mark Williams
    Mark Williams
    Robbie Williams
    Robbie Williams
    4
    2
    W
    28.09.26
    Shenzhen Open
    Mark Williams
    Mark Williams
    Fan Zhengyi
    Fan Zhengyi
    4
    5
    L
    18.09.26
    International Championship
    Mark Williams
    Mark Williams
    Andrew Higginson
    Andrew Higginson
    6
    4
    W
    Empty
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    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Still, Murphy look much more convincing here. He has reached this stage far more frequently in recent times, while Williams, unfortunately, rarely makes it to the semi-finals these days. Shaun excels both in break-building and tactical, scrappy snooker, whereas Mark remains something of an enigma. The head-to-head factor shouldn’t be ignored either - it may be a small sample, but it’s not insignificant. Our pick: Shaun Murphy to win.

    Shaun Murphy to Win
    Odds-172
    Published: 12/09/2026, 06:01
    Yaroslav Saplenkov
    Yaroslav Saplenkov
    Snooker and football expert
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    Statistics for October 2026

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    Betting Tips: Shaun Murphy - Mark Williams

    Under 9.5 frames:
    murphy-shaunin 7 of last 8 Shaun Murphy games.
    williams-markin last 8 Mark Williams games.
    williams-markin last 5 Mark Williams games (English Open).
    Total frames Under (9,5)
    -137
    Over 99.5 points in the 1st frame:
    williams-markin last 5 Mark Williams games (English Open).
    1st Frame, Total Over (99,5)
    -179
    Mark Williams has won with a +2.5 frames handicap:
    murphy-shaunwilliams-markin 6 of last 7 matches against Shaun Murphy.
    williams-markin 7 of last 8 matches.
    Mark Williams Handicap (+2,5)
    -227