Selby vs Guodong Prediction

    ENG
    Mark Selby
    CHN
    Xiao Guodong
    2
    6
    0
    40
    0
    3
    118
    94
    17
    30
    95
    65
    76
    77
    14
    0
    118
    53

    🔊 The formidable Mark Selby capped off 2025 with a triumphant finish, securing two titles towards the year's end. A new year brings new challenges as the legend prepares to compete in the Masters in London. His opponent is China's Xiao Guodong, who has seen a dip in form since the start of the season, but remains a threat not to be underestimated. Here's our prediction for the matchup. Let's consider where the smart money might go.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Selby holds a dominant head-to-head advantage over his opponent. The snooker players have faced each other frequently on the tour.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    65%
    11 Wins
    35%
    6 Wins
    19.01.26
    Championship League
    Mark Selby
    Mark Selby
    Xiao Guodong
    Xiao Guodong
    3
    1
    11.01.26
    The Masters
    Mark Selby
    Mark Selby
    Xiao Guodong
    Xiao Guodong
    2
    6
    24.11.25
    Crucible Cup
    Mark Selby
    Mark Selby
    Xiao Guodong
    Xiao Guodong
    6
    2
    05.02.25
    Championship League
    Mark Selby
    Mark Selby
    Xiao Guodong
    Xiao Guodong
    3
    2
    14.11.24
    Champion of Champions
    Mark Selby
    Mark Selby
    Xiao Guodong
    Xiao Guodong
    5
    6
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Mark Selby Player Overview

    Mark holds the 6th spot in the rankings, despite dropping out of the top 10 at the end of November 2025. This seemed to ignite a fire in him, as he went on to capture the Tournament of Champions and the UK Open titles. Selby might have shone in Scotland too, but he was halted by a prime-time Chang Bingyu, who eventually reached the event's final. Selby wrapped up the previous year with just one defeat in ten matches.

    He is arguably one of the most consistent break builders on the tour right now. In his recent outings, he has shown no signs of faltering. However, we must consider the impact of the break. It's uncertain how the Christmas holidays might have affected each player.

    Match Results: Mark Selby

    26.04.26
    World Championship
    Mark Selby
    Mark Selby
    Wu Yize
    Wu Yize
    11
    13
    L
    22.04.26
    World Championship
    Mark Selby
    Mark Selby
    Jak Jones
    Jak Jones
    10
    2
    W
    02.04.26
    Tour Championship
    Mark Selby
    Mark Selby
    John Higgins
    John Higgins
    8
    10
    L
    17.03.26
    World Open
    Mark Selby
    Mark Selby
    Michael Holt
    Michael Holt
    -
    -
    L
    23.02.26
    Welsh Open
    Mark Selby
    Mark Selby
    Jiang Jun
    Jiang Jun
    3
    4
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Xiao Guodong Player Overview

    The Chinese player maintains a high ranking (11th), but it's doubtful he's currently performing at that level. Xiao, after early season successes, has faltered and is displaying inconsistent snooker, often struggling in his matches. He particularly finds it tough against top-tier opponents. By the end of 2025, there was frankly nothing to hold onto.

    Godun decided to kick off 2026 by playing extensively. He participated in the Champions League. Should we pay attention to such matches? Partially, yes. Xiao secured several intriguing victories, showcasing his fighting spirit. This is something we must take note of. However, the format... In the Masters, you have to play 11 frames, not just five. The length of the match can make a significant difference.

    Match Results: Xiao Guodong

    23.04.26
    World Championship
    Xiao Guodong
    Xiao Guodong
    Shaun Murphy
    Shaun Murphy
    3
    13
    L
    18.04.26
    World Championship
    Xiao Guodong
    Xiao Guodong
    Zhou Yuelong
    Zhou Yuelong
    10
    6
    W
    18.03.26
    World Open
    Zhang Anda
    Zhang Anda
    Xiao Guodong
    Xiao Guodong
    5
    2
    L
    17.03.26
    World Open
    Julien Leclercq
    Julien Leclercq
    Xiao Guodong
    Xiao Guodong
    2
    5
    W
    16.03.26
    World Open
    Xiao Guodong
    Xiao Guodong
    Ben Mertens
    Ben Mertens
    5
    3
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Editor's Prediction

    There are significant doubts about whether Godun can handle the titan. Game practice is unlikely to help here. Selby holds a massive advantage in head-to-heads, and rest could work in his favor this time around. Godun's inconsistency is a liability, especially against Mark. If the form from 2025 continues, the Chinese player has limited chances. The English legend outperforms in all aspects of the game. Our pick is Mark Selby to win with a handicap (-2.5).

    Our choice
    Mark Selby Handicap (-2.5) at odds of -110*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (10 January 2026, 08:49)

    Betting Tips: Mark Selby - Xiao Guodong

    Mark Selby has won
    selby-markin 8 of last 9 matches.
    Mark Selby Win
    -357
    Under 8.5 frames
    selby-markguodong-xiaoin 13 of last 14 Mark Selby games against Xiao Guodong.
    guodong-xiaoin last 26 Xiao Guodong games.
    Total frames Under (8.5)
    +150
    Under 9.5 frames
    selby-markin 10 of last 11 Mark Selby games.
    Total frames Under (9.5)
    -164
    Over 101.5 points in the 1st frame
    selby-markin last 6 Mark Selby games.
    1st Frame, Total Over (101.5)
    -122
    View more facts