Selby vs Murphy Prediction

    ENG
    Mark Selby
    ENG
    Shaun Murphy
    6
    3
    89
    4
    73
    97
    105
    32
    0
    127
    127
    23
    131
    68
    39
    0
    66
    94
    7
    0

    πŸ”Š Welcome to York, England. It's too soon to leave just yet. The UK Championship is reaching its climax, with only a few matches left to play. Let's focus on the semi-final: Mark Selby will face Shaun Murphy. Two legendary players will battle it out for a spot in the final. What could be more exciting? Let's delve into what you can bet on. Here’s our prediction for the matchup.

    Head-to-Head

    πŸ“Š Seven wins to five. Mark Selby holds the edge in their head-to-head clashes. This season, the snooker players have faced each other twice, each securing a dominant victory. It's an intriguing balance.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    62%
    8 Wins
    38%
    5 Wins
    06.12.25
    UK Championship
    Mark Selby
    Mark Selby
    Shaun Murphy
    Shaun Murphy
    6
    3
    27.09.25
    British Open
    Mark Selby
    Mark Selby
    Shaun Murphy
    Shaun Murphy
    1
    6
    29.07.25
    Shanghai Masters
    Mark Selby
    Mark Selby
    Shaun Murphy
    Shaun Murphy
    6
    0
    14.11.24
    Champion of Champions
    Mark Selby
    Mark Selby
    Shaun Murphy
    Shaun Murphy
    4
    2
    19.07.24
    Shanghai Masters
    Mark Selby
    Mark Selby
    Shaun Murphy
    Shaun Murphy
    8
    10
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Mark Selby Player Overview

    It's great to see Mark in his prime right now. He's been playing brilliantly, losing just one of his last ten matches. His stunning victory at the Champions Tournament has carried over to York. There, he's won three matches, each with the same scoreline of 6-2.

    The question isn't about the level of his opponents, but rather that they stood no chance. Neither Peifan nor Yuelong came close to Selby. Even his friend, Barry Hawkins, succumbed, relinquishing his role as a finalist. Incidentally, this was the quarter-final match, which Mark had fully under control. The accuracy of the snooker players was undoubtedly low (46 percent for Hawkins and 55 for Selby), but it wasn't necessary. Mark played smart in his defensive shots and consistently took what was his. The only bright spot for Hawkins in this match was a century break of 138 points.

    Match Results: Mark Selby

    26.04.26
    World Championship
    Mark Selby
    Mark Selby
    Wu Yize
    Wu Yize
    11
    13
    L
    22.04.26
    World Championship
    Mark Selby
    Mark Selby
    Jak Jones
    Jak Jones
    10
    2
    W
    02.04.26
    Tour Championship
    Mark Selby
    Mark Selby
    John Higgins
    John Higgins
    8
    10
    L
    17.03.26
    World Open
    Mark Selby
    Mark Selby
    Michael Holt
    Michael Holt
    -
    -
    L
    23.02.26
    Welsh Open
    Mark Selby
    Mark Selby
    Jiang Jun
    Jiang Jun
    3
    4
    L
    Empty
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    Shaun Murphy Player Overview

    Shaun has suffered three defeats in his last ten matches. He's regained his form after a bit of a slump. Are there chances for a title? That's the big question. Murphy is a player full of intrigue and unpredictability. And not always in a positive way. But not in York. Here, he's already showcased both class and character.

    Of course, the match against John Higgins in the last 16 is one to remember for a long time, but unfortunately, that's in the past. Murphy has already moved past Zhang Anda in the quarterfinals. The Chinese player's heroics have officially come to an end. The first frame of this match might have set the tone for what followed. Murphy took the opening frame by snookering his opponent. The score then stretched to 4-1. Zhang managed a brief rally, but couldn't catch up. Murphy managed just three breaks over 50 points in this match, which is quite typical. The UK Championship has accustomed us to this level of consistency.

    Match Results: Shaun Murphy

    15.05.26
    Snooker 900
    Shaun Murphy
    Shaun Murphy
    Joe Perry
    Joe Perry
    3
    5
    L
    03.05.26
    World Championship
    Shaun Murphy
    Shaun Murphy
    Wu Yize
    Wu Yize
    17
    18
    L
    30.04.26
    World Championship
    Shaun Murphy
    Shaun Murphy
    John Higgins
    John Higgins
    17
    15
    W
    28.04.26
    World Championship
    Zhao Xintong
    Zhao Xintong
    Shaun Murphy
    Shaun Murphy
    10
    13
    W
    23.04.26
    World Championship
    Xiao Guodong
    Xiao Guodong
    Shaun Murphy
    Shaun Murphy
    3
    13
    W
    Empty
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    Editorial Prediction

    This is an intriguing and challenging match to predict, with no option standing out as optimal. We have two top-notch snooker players, yet their head-to-head results this season show a wide range of outcomes. Here's our take: we're backing Mark Selby to win. Now for the reasoning: Mark has been more consistent throughout the tournament compared to his opponent, typically capitalizing on his advantages without faltering. Murphy, on the other hand, has had to fight his way back into matches, as seen against Higgins. Moreover, we haven't seen perfect consistency in this tournament, which is a recurring theme in every match, leaving Murphy without this trump card. In a tactical battle, we believe Selby holds a significant edge, as Shaun tends to be overly aggressive.

    Our choice
    Mark Selby Win at odds of -149*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (6 December 2025, 06:37)

    Betting Tips: Mark Selby - Shaun Murphy

    Mark Selby has won
    selby-markin 8 of last 9 matches.
    Mark Selby Win
    -172
    Under 9.5 frames
    selby-markin last 5 Mark Selby games.
    murphy-shaunin 8 of last 9 Shaun Murphy games.
    Total frames Under (9.5)
    -137
    Over 99.5 points in the 1st frame
    murphy-shaunin 6 of last 7 Shaun Murphy games.
    1st Frame, Total Over (99.5)
    -172
    Under 99.5 points in the 1st frame
    selby-markmurphy-shaunin 6 of last 7 Mark Selby games against Shaun Murphy.
    1st Frame, Total Under (99.5)
    +125
    View more facts