South Africa vs Australia Prediction 23 August 2025

    South Africa
    South Africa
    Australia
    Australia
    30
    22
    20
    10
    10
    12

    On August 23, the South African national team will play their second Rugby Championship match against Australia. Just a week earlier, the Wallabies pulled off a sensational victory over the world champions in Johannesburg, ending their streak of poor results on South African soil. Will the visitors manage to replicate their success in Cape Town, or will the hosts reassert their status as favorites? Find out in our prediction.

    Head-to-Head

    South Africa and Australia have faced each other 28 times, recording two draws, 12 victories for the Africans, and 14 wins for the Australians.

    Head-to-head statistics South Africa - Australia

    45%
    13 Wins
    7%
    2 Draws
    48%
    14 Wins
    23.08.25
    The Rugby Championship
    South Africa
    South Africa
    Australia
    Australia
    30
    22
    20
    10
    10
    12
    16.08.25
    The Rugby Championship
    South Africa
    South Africa
    Australia
    Australia
    22
    38
    22
    5
    0
    33
    17.08.24
    The Rugby Championship
    Australia
    Australia
    South Africa
    South Africa
    12
    30
    9
    11
    3
    19
    10.08.24
    The Rugby Championship
    Australia
    Australia
    South Africa
    South Africa
    7
    33
    0
    21
    7
    12
    08.07.23
    The Rugby Championship
    South Africa
    South Africa
    Australia
    Australia
    43
    12
    17
    5
    26
    7
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    South Africa Team Overview

    The first-round defeat prompted an immediate response from the coaching staff. Rassie Erasmus made ten changes to the lineup, strengthening both the scrum and the backline. A significant adjustment sees captain Siya Kolisi taking the number 8 position to add power and control during contact. Leadership remains with Etzebeth and Du Toit, while the attack focuses on a more versatile game with Libbok at fly-half. In Cape Town, the Springboks traditionally play with greater confidence, and the full support of the home crowd should help the team regain their balance.

    Match Results: South Africa

    27.09.26
    Int. Friendly Games
    Australia
    Australia
    South Africa
    South Africa
    42
    38
    24
    17
    18
    21
    L
    12.09.26
    Rugbys Greatest Rivalry
    South Africa
    South Africa
    New Zealand
    New Zealand
    43
    28
    17
    14
    26
    14
    W
    05.09.26
    Rugbys Greatest Rivalry
    South Africa
    South Africa
    New Zealand
    New Zealand
    29
    24
    12
    12
    17
    12
    W
    29.08.26
    Rugbys Greatest Rivalry
    South Africa
    South Africa
    New Zealand
    New Zealand
    33
    26
    24
    14
    9
    12
    W
    22.08.26
    Rugbys Greatest Rivalry
    South Africa
    South Africa
    New Zealand
    New Zealand
    16
    33
    13
    12
    3
    21
    L
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    Australia Team Overview

    The Wallabies arrive buoyed by a historic victory. However, Joe Schmidt's squad hasn't escaped unscathed: captain Harry Wilson is sidelined with an injury, and Rob Valetini returns to the number eight position. Flanker Corey Toole makes the starting lineup, while Fraser McReight will captain the side for the first time. In the front row, Tom Robertson steps in for the injured James Slipper. Despite their success in Johannesburg, the visitors face a new challenge-maintaining intensity and handling the aggressive onslaught from the Springboks on their home turf.

    Match Results: Australia

    27.09.26
    Int. Friendly Games
    Australia
    Australia
    South Africa
    South Africa
    42
    38
    24
    17
    18
    21
    W
    05.09.26
    Int. Friendly Games
    Argentina
    Argentina
    Australia
    Australia
    28
    28
    14
    14
    14
    14
    D
    29.08.26
    Int. Friendly Games
    Argentina
    Argentina
    Australia
    Australia
    21
    27
    14
    22
    7
    5
    W
    15.08.26
    Int. Friendly Games
    Australia
    Australia
    Japan
    Japan
    56
    17
    21
    17
    35
    0
    W
    08.08.26
    Int. Friendly Games
    Japan
    Japan
    Australia
    Australia
    32
    35
    14
    14
    18
    21
    W
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    Editor's Prediction

    South Africa have learned a tough lesson and take to the field with a refreshed lineup, clearly aiming for redemption. Australia have shown they can put up a fight, but missing key players and the pressures of Cape Town present challenges. We anticipate a close first half, but after the break, the hosts' squad depth and physical edge should make the difference. Our bet is on South Africa -13.5 handicap.

    South Africa Handicap (-13,5)
    Everygame
    Place a bet-118
    Published: 21/08/2025, 12:18

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    Betting Tips: South Africa - Australia

    South Africa have won:
    south-africa-3in 8 of last 9 games.
    south-africa-3in 6 of last 7 home games (The Rugby Championship).
    Australia have lost:
    australia-4in 11 of last 13 games (The Rugby Championship).
    South Africa to Win
    -769
    Under 55.5 points:
    south-africa-3australia-4in 23 of last 24 South Africa games against Australia.
    south-africa-3australia-4in 22 of last 23 South Africa games against Australia (The Rugby Championship).
    south-africa-3australia-4in 11 of last 12 South Africa home games against Australia.
    south-africa-3australia-4in 10 of last 11 South Africa home games against Australia (The Rugby Championship).
    australia-4in 6 of last 7 Australia games.
    Total points Under (55,5)
    -189
    South Africa scored under 33.5 points:
    south-africa-3australia-4in 7 of last 8 games against Australia (The Rugby Championship).
    south-africa-3in 8 of last 9 games (The Rugby Championship).
    South Africa Total points Under (33,5)
    -
    Australia won with a +14.5 handicap:
    australia-4in last 9 games.
    australia-4in last 5 away games.
    Australia Handicap (+14,5)
    -125

    South Africa - Australia Table position

    The Rugby Championship 2025
    gWLPForm
    1.
    South Africa
    South Africa
    64219
    2.
    New Zealand
    New Zealand
    64218
    3.
    Australia
    Australia
    62411
    4.
    Argentina
    Argentina
    6249