New Zealand vs South Africa Prediction

    New Zealand
    New Zealand
    South Africa
    South Africa
    24
    17
    14
    10
    3
    14

    On September 6, New Zealand will host South Africa as part of the Rugby Championship. The match will take place at Eden Park in Auckland. Can the Springboks end the legendary unbeaten streak of the All Blacks at Eden Park, or will the hosts reaffirm their fortress status? Find out in our prediction.

    Head-to-Head

    The teams have faced each other 29 times, with South Africa claiming just nine victories.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    66%
    21 Wins
    3%
    1 Draw
    31%
    10 Wins
    13.09.25
    The Rugby Championship
    New Zealand
    New Zealand
    South Africa
    South Africa
    10
    43
    10
    7
    0
    36
    06.09.25
    The Rugby Championship
    New Zealand
    New Zealand
    South Africa
    South Africa
    24
    17
    14
    3
    10
    14
    07.09.24
    The Rugby Championship
    South Africa
    South Africa
    New Zealand
    New Zealand
    18
    12
    3
    9
    15
    3
    31.08.24
    The Rugby Championship
    South Africa
    South Africa
    New Zealand
    New Zealand
    31
    27
    11
    12
    20
    15
    28.10.23
    World Cup
    New Zealand
    New Zealand
    South Africa
    South Africa
    11
    12
    6
    12
    5
    0
    Empty
    There are no events
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    New Zealand Team Overview

    Under Scott Robertson's guidance, the team showcases a formidable lineup: seasoned leaders and in-form players make up the starting squad, including Ardie Savea, marking his 100th test, along with Finlay Christie, Beauden Barrett, Will Jordan, and others. The team maintains their favorite status at Eden Park, where they boast a strong balance of set-piece execution, speed in ruck clearances, and clinical finishing. Additionally, a young and ambitious option is slated for the number nine position with Kyle Preston potentially making his debut off the bench, providing extra depth. All this equips the hosts with a rich arsenal for tactical maneuvers throughout the match.

    Match Results: New Zealand

    22.11.25
    Int. Friendly Games
    Wales
    Wales
    New Zealand
    New Zealand
    26
    52
    14
    24
    12
    28
    W
    15.11.25
    Int. Friendly Games
    England
    England
    New Zealand
    New Zealand
    33
    19
    11
    12
    22
    7
    L
    08.11.25
    Int. Friendly Games
    Scotland
    Scotland
    New Zealand
    New Zealand
    17
    25
    0
    17
    17
    8
    W
    01.11.25
    Int. Friendly Games
    Ireland
    Ireland
    New Zealand
    New Zealand
    13
    26
    10
    7
    3
    19
    W
    04.10.25
    The Rugby Championship
    Australia
    Australia
    New Zealand
    New Zealand
    14
    28
    9
    17
    5
    11
    W
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    South Africa Team Overview

    Rassie Erasmus has named Siya Kolisi in the squad following his injury (he will play at number eight but won't captain the side, with Jesse Kriel taking on the captaincy duties), alongside the returning Willie le Roux and Eben Etzebeth in the starting lineup. This suggests that South Africa are set to play aggressively in contact and during set-pieces. The Springboks aim to dominate the contact line and neutralize the hosts' early pressure, allowing them to impose their game and leverage their powerful forward packs. For South Africa, this is an opportunity to secure a second consecutive away victory against New Zealand.

    Match Results: South Africa

    29.11.25
    Int. Friendly Games
    Wales
    Wales
    South Africa
    South Africa
    0
    73
    0
    28
    0
    45
    W
    22.11.25
    Int. Friendly Games
    Ireland
    Ireland
    South Africa
    South Africa
    13
    24
    7
    19
    6
    5
    W
    15.11.25
    Int. Friendly Games
    Italy
    Italy
    South Africa
    South Africa
    14
    32
    3
    10
    11
    22
    W
    08.11.25
    Int. Friendly Games
    France
    France
    South Africa
    South Africa
    17
    32
    14
    13
    3
    19
    W
    01.11.25
    Int. Friendly Games
    South Africa
    South Africa
    Japan
    Japan
    61
    7
    26
    0
    35
    7
    W
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    Editor's Prediction

    We anticipate a high-energy, intense challenge - the first 30-40 minutes will set a fast pace with tough physicality from both sides. Eden Park and the home advantage remain pivotal for New Zealand: their consistency in set-pieces, execution, and dynamic wingers usually give them the edge in crucial moments. South Africa will bring a strong physical presence and a clear strategy focused on breakdowns and scrums, but they risk conceding penalties and losing speed in transitional phases. Our prediction is a victory for New Zealand.

    Our choice
    New Zealand Win at odds of -154*
    Everygame
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (4 September 2025, 08:55)

    Betting Tips: New Zealand - South Africa

    New Zealand have won
    new-zealand-4in 8 of last 9 home games.
    New Zealand Win
    -196
    New Zealand have lost
    new-zealand-4south-africa-3in last 4 games against South Africa.
    South Africa have won
    south-africa-3in 11 of last 12 away games.
    south-africa-3in 9 of last 10 games.
    South Africa Win
    +140
    South Africa scored under 21.5 points
    new-zealand-4south-africa-3in 13 of last 15 away games against New Zealand.
    South Africa Total points Under (21.5)
    -103
    New Zealand scored over 26.5 points
    new-zealand-4in 12 of last 14 games (The Rugby Championship).
    new-zealand-4in last 7 home games.
    new-zealand-4in 6 of last 7 games.
    New Zealand Total points Over (26.5)
    -105
    View more facts

    New Zealand - South Africa Table position

    The Rugby Championship 2025
    gWLPForm
    1.
    South Africa
    South Africa
    64219
    2.
    New Zealand
    New Zealand
    64218
    3.
    Australia
    Australia
    62411
    4.
    Argentina
    Argentina
    6249