Argentina vs South Africa Prediction 4 October 2025

    Argentina
    Argentina
    South Africa
    South Africa
    27
    29
    13
    14
    10
    19

    On October 4, South Africa will face Argentina in the final round of the Rugby Championship. This season, the clash will take place on neutral ground at Allianz Stadium, rather than in the southern hemisphere. This match could determine the fate of the title- the Springboks are on the verge of defending their championship crown, while the Pumas will take to the field with the aim of thwarting the favorites.

    Head-to-Head

    The teams have faced each other 27 times, with Argentina securing only 4 victories. There has also been just one draw recorded.

    Head-to-head statistics Argentina - South Africa

    14%
    4 Wins
    4%
    1 Draw
    82%
    23 Wins
    04.10.25
    The Rugby Championship
    Argentina
    Argentina
    South Africa
    South Africa
    27
    29
    13
    10
    14
    19
    27.09.25
    The Rugby Championship
    South Africa
    South Africa
    Argentina
    Argentina
    67
    30
    25
    23
    42
    7
    28.09.24
    The Rugby Championship
    South Africa
    South Africa
    Argentina
    Argentina
    48
    7
    27
    7
    21
    0
    21.09.24
    The Rugby Championship
    Argentina
    Argentina
    South Africa
    South Africa
    29
    28
    26
    22
    3
    6
    29.07.23
    The Rugby Championship
    South Africa
    South Africa
    Argentina
    Argentina
    22
    21
    15
    9
    7
    12
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Argentina Team Overview

    The coaching staff maintains the core of the team following an impressive run: South Africa enter the match in formidable form and are on the brink of securing the title. Ox Nche has been spotted training with the main group in the camp. The coaching team has retained most of the players who delivered a high level of performance in their recent commanding victory. Tactically, South Africa focus on tight control of set-pieces and a high success rate in second-phase play, along with a strong defensive line. This strategy provides the Springboks with a significant edge in crucial matches.

    Match Results: Argentina

    29.08.26
    Int. Friendly Games
    Argentina
    Argentina
    Australia
    Australia
    21
    27
    14
    22
    7
    5
    L
    08.08.26
    Int. Friendly Games
    Argentina
    Argentina
    South Africa
    South Africa
    10
    17
    10
    10
    0
    7
    L
    18.07.26
    Nations Championship
    Argentina
    Argentina
    England
    England
    24
    31
    3
    19
    21
    12
    L
    11.07.26
    Nations Championship
    Argentina
    Argentina
    Wales
    Wales
    35
    21
    28
    14
    7
    7
    W
    04.07.26
    Nations Championship
    Argentina
    Argentina
    Scotland
    Scotland
    38
    47
    10
    19
    28
    28
    L
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    South Africa Team Overview

    The "Pumas" head into the final with a fighting spirit and a determination to bounce back from their recent defeat. Coach Felipe Contepomi has made significant changes to the lineup-reports indicate as many as seven alterations from their last game, including adjustments in the pack and backline, such as shifting Santiago Carreras from fly-half to fullback. Argentina have already defeated top opponents in this tournament, showcasing their ability to play both open and physical rugby. Their main objectives are to reduce unforced errors, improve discipline regarding penalties, and neutralize their opponent.

    Match Results: South Africa

    29.08.26
    Rugbys Greatest Rivalry
    South Africa
    South Africa
    New Zealand
    New Zealand
    33
    26
    24
    14
    9
    12
    W
    22.08.26
    Rugbys Greatest Rivalry
    South Africa
    South Africa
    New Zealand
    New Zealand
    16
    33
    13
    12
    3
    21
    L
    08.08.26
    Int. Friendly Games
    Argentina
    Argentina
    South Africa
    South Africa
    10
    17
    10
    10
    0
    7
    W
    18.07.26
    Nations Championship
    South Africa
    South Africa
    Wales
    Wales
    43
    0
    19
    0
    24
    0
    W
    11.07.26
    Nations Championship
    South Africa
    South Africa
    Scotland
    Scotland
    42
    28
    14
    14
    28
    14
    W
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    Editor's Prediction

    South Africa approach the match with a more stable form, a well-prepared bench, and a clear advantage in gameplay. Argentina are motivated and capable of surprising upsets (as evidenced by their victories over top teams this season), but in the current scenario, the Springboks appear as favorites in key areas: squad depth, set-piece execution, and psychological readiness, especially considering their chance to win the title. Our bet is on South Africa -11.5 handicap.

    South Africa Handicap (-11,5)
    Published: 03/10/2025, 11:06

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    Betting Tips: Argentina - South Africa

    Argentina have lost:
    argentina-3south-africa-3in 10 of last 11 games against South Africa.
    argentina-3south-africa-3in 8 of last 9 games against South Africa (The Rugby Championship).
    South Africa have won:
    south-africa-3in 12 of last 14 away games.
    South Africa Win
    -1000
    Under 65.5 points:
    argentina-3in 16 of last 18 Argentina home games.
    argentina-3in 7 of last 8 Argentina home games (The Rugby Championship).
    argentina-3in 6 of last 7 Argentina games (The Rugby Championship).
    south-africa-3in 6 of last 7 South Africa games.
    Total points Under (65,5)
    -278
    Under 59.5 points:
    argentina-3south-africa-3in 12 of last 13 Argentina games against South Africa.
    argentina-3south-africa-3in 10 of last 11 Argentina games against South Africa (The Rugby Championship).
    argentina-3south-africa-3in last 6 Argentina home games against South Africa.
    argentina-3south-africa-3in last 5 Argentina home games against South Africa (The Rugby Championship).
    south-africa-3in last 12 South Africa away games.
    south-africa-3in last 9 South Africa away games (The Rugby Championship).
    Total points Under (59,5)
    -149
    Over 50.5 points:
    argentina-3in 8 of last 9 Argentina home games (The Rugby Championship).
    argentina-3in last 6 Argentina games.
    south-africa-3in 6 of last 7 South Africa games (The Rugby Championship).
    Total points Over (50,5)
    -227
    View more facts

    Argentina - South Africa Table position

    The Rugby Championship 2025
    gWLPForm
    1.
    South Africa
    South Africa
    64219
    2.
    New Zealand
    New Zealand
    64218
    3.
    Australia
    Australia
    62411
    4.
    Argentina
    Argentina
    6249