Moreno vs Erceg Prediction

    🔊 The main event of the upcoming UFC Fight Night, set for March 30 in Mexico, features a showdown between Mexican fighter Brandon Moreno and Australia's Steve Erceg. This bout takes place in the flyweight division. Despite making a splashy entrance into the UFC, Erceg has already suffered two defeats against top-tier fighters. Can Steve bounce back and overcome the seasoned Moreno, or will "Astro Boy" face his third consecutive loss? Let's delve into the matchup.

    H2H Stats Fights and Previous Results

    100%
    1 Win
    0%
    0 Draws
    0%
    0 Wins
    30.03.25
    UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg
    Brandon Moreno
    Brandon Moreno
    Steve Erceg
    Steve Erceg
    1
    0
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Brandon Moreno Player Overview

    The Mexican athlete is a versatile fighter with a background in boxing and Brazilian jiu-jitsu. Brandon Moreno began his professional career in 2011 and made his UFC debut five years later. His first bout in Dana White's organization was at Fight Night 96, where he secured a victory. After experiencing some setbacks, Moreno was released from the UFC but was re-signed immediately after winning a championship in the LFA promotion. This marked the beginning of the "Assassin Baby" era, and just two years after his return, he became the UFC Flyweight Champion.

    During this time, the legendary rivalry with Deiveson Figueiredo unfolded, spanning three years. The title exchanged hands multiple times, but in 2023, Brandon put an end to the saga by defeating the Brazilian via technical knockout. Moreno then lost to Figueiredo's fellow countryman Alexandre Pantoja by split decision, relinquishing his title. Last year, the Mexican stepped into the octagon twice: he suffered a loss to Brandon Royval and claimed a victory over Amir Albazi by judges' decision. Moreno boasts a record of 22 wins with eight losses (2 bouts ended in a draw).

    Match Results: Brandon Moreno

    01.03.26
    UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh
    Brandon Moreno
    Brandon Moreno
    Loneer Kavanagh
    Loneer Kavanagh
    0
    1
    L
    07.12.25
    UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs Yan 2
    Brandon Moreno
    Brandon Moreno
    Tatsuro Taira
    Tatsuro Taira
    0
    1
    L
    30.03.25
    UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg
    Brandon Moreno
    Brandon Moreno
    Steve Erceg
    Steve Erceg
    1
    0
    W
    03.11.24
    UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi
    Brandon Moreno
    Brandon Moreno
    Amir Albazi
    Amir Albazi
    1
    0
    W
    25.02.24
    UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2
    Brandon Moreno
    Brandon Moreno
    Brandon Royval
    Brandon Royval
    0
    1
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Steve Erceg Player Overview

    The Australian fighter boasts versatile skills and feels confident both standing and on the ground. His professional career kicked off in 2016 with the local organization EMMA. By 2023, his talent caught the attention of UFC, where he made his debut in the summer of that year. After securing three consecutive victories, fueled by significant hype and a stroke of good fortune, Erceg earned a shot at the championship belt against Alexandre Pantoja.

    In the title bout, the Australian put up a commendable performance but ultimately fell to the Brazilian, who capitalized on his grappling advantage. Following that fight, Steve faced off against Kai Kara-France, where he unexpectedly suffered a first-round knockout. This setback cast doubt on his reputation as a promising title contender. Currently, his record stands at 12 wins and three losses.

    Match Results: Steve Erceg

    02.05.26
    UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates
    Tim Elliott
    Tim Elliott
    Steve Erceg
    Steve Erceg
    1
    0
    L
    10.08.25
    UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez
    Steve Erceg
    Steve Erceg
    Ode Osbourne
    Ode Osbourne
    1
    0
    W
    30.03.25
    UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg
    Brandon Moreno
    Brandon Moreno
    Steve Erceg
    Steve Erceg
    1
    0
    L
    18.08.24
    UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya
    Kai Kara-France
    Kai Kara-France
    Steve Erceg
    Steve Erceg
    1
    0
    L
    05.05.24
    UFC 301: Pantoja vs.Erceg
    Alexandre Pantoja
    Alexandre Pantoja
    Steve Erceg
    Steve Erceg
    1
    0
    L
    Empty
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    Editor's Prediction

    Despite both fighters boasting impressive knockout records, a swift conclusion seems unlikely here. In the UFC, Erceg has only managed to knock out Matt Schnell, known for his fragile chin, while Moreno is on a run of three fights ending in decisions. This bout holds significant importance for both competitors, suggesting they will take their time to meticulously study each other, as is often the case at this level of competition. With this in mind, we recommend betting on a lengthy contest.

    Our choice
    Total Over (3.5) at odds of -256*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (29 March 2025, 08:36)