Nurmagomedov vs Bautista Prediction

Details
The main thing

    🔅 Russian fighter Umar Nurmagomedov is stepping back into the octagon! He is set for his first fight since his title bout loss in the UFC bantamweight division last January. Umar will compete at UFC 321 in the UAE, facing off against American Mario Bautista. What can we expect from this clash? Check out the prediction below!

    H2H Stats Fights and Previous Results

    100%
    1 Win
    0%
    0 Draws
    0%
    0 Wins
    25.10.25
    UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane
    Umar Nurmagomedov
    Umar Nurmagomedov
    Mario Bautista
    Mario Bautista
    1
    0
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Umar Nurmagomedov Player Overview

    Umar Nurmagomedov, the 29-year-old Russian fighter with an impressive record of 18-1, has firmly established himself among the top contenders in the UFC bantamweight division thanks to his versatility. With skills in both striking and grappling, he adeptly adapts to various opponents' styles. Since 2020, Nurmagomedov has been on an impressive six-fight winning streak in the UFC, highlighted by three finishes. His victory over Cory Sandhagen propelled him into the top three of his weight class. However, at UFC 311, in a title bout for the 61 kg division, Nurmagomedov fell short against Merab Dvalishvili, losing via judges' decision, leaving his championship aspirations unfulfilled for now.

    Match Results: Umar Nurmagomedov

    25.01.26
    UFC 324
    Umar Nurmagomedov
    Umar Nurmagomedov
    Deiveson Figueiredo
    Deiveson Figueiredo
    1
    0
    W
    25.10.25
    UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane
    Umar Nurmagomedov
    Umar Nurmagomedov
    Mario Bautista
    Mario Bautista
    1
    0
    W
    19.01.25
    UFC 311: Makhachev vs Tsarukyan
    Merab Dvalishvili
    Merab Dvalishvili
    Umar Nurmagomedov
    Umar Nurmagomedov
    1
    0
    L
    03.08.24
    UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov
    Cory Sandhagen
    Cory Sandhagen
    Umar Nurmagomedov
    Umar Nurmagomedov
    0
    1
    W
    02.03.24
    UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev
    Umar Nurmagomedov
    Umar Nurmagomedov
    Bekzat Almakhan
    Bekzat Almakhan
    1
    0
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Mario Bautista Player Overview

    Mario Bautista, a 32-year-old fighter from the USA with a record of 16-2, poses a serious challenge for Umar. With a solid boxing foundation and a black belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu, he is a formidable opponent both standing and on the ground. Bautista's UFC debut didn't go as planned, as he suffered a submission loss to Cory Sandhagen. However, he has since proven himself to be a resilient and promising fighter, losing only once by knockout to Trevin Jones in his next 11 bouts. In June 2025, Bautista secured an impressive victory over Bellator champion Patchy Mix, winning unanimously on the judges' scorecards.

    Match Results: Mario Bautista

    08.02.26
    UFC Fight Night 266
    Mario Bautista
    Mario Bautista
    Vinicius de Oliveira
    Vinicius de Oliveira
    1
    0
    W
    25.10.25
    UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane
    Umar Nurmagomedov
    Umar Nurmagomedov
    Mario Bautista
    Mario Bautista
    1
    0
    L
    08.06.25
    UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2
    Mario Bautista
    Mario Bautista
    P. Mix
    P. Mix
    1
    0
    W
    06.10.24
    UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree
    Jose Aldo
    Jose Aldo
    Mario Bautista
    Mario Bautista
    0
    1
    W
    14.01.24
    UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2
    Ricky Simon
    Ricky Simon
    Mario Bautista
    Mario Bautista
    0
    1
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Latest news

    Umar Nurmagomedov

    Umar Nurmagomedov on the upcoming fight:

    "I believe fans should watch this bout because two top-tier strikers will determine who's superior, and they'll witness the Nurmagomedovs' comeback."

    Mario Bautista

    Mario Bautista on the upcoming fight:

    "I'm going out there aiming to finish him in the first round. I think that's the best scenario. I'm eagerly anticipating the chance to step in and do my job. Umar, see you there, brother."

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Umar is undoubtedly the favorite, and a strong one at that. However, Bautista is no walk in the park for the Russian fighter. The American is a tough and resilient competitor, boasting powerful punches and impressive athleticism. We anticipate a gritty contest, with the winner likely decided by the judges' scorecards. This prediction is particularly reasonable given that Umar's last three bouts have all gone the distance.

    Our choice
    Total Over (2.5) at odds of -270*
    MyBookie
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (23 October 2025, 19:17)