Aliyev vs Alexander Sarnavskiy Prediction
👊 On September 14, Nevinnomyssk will host a highly anticipated event for MMA fans: Fight Nights 128! The main attraction of the evening is the rematch between Alexander Sarnavskiy and Akhmed Aliev for the lightweight championship title. Last October, Aliev claimed victory over Sarnavskiy by judges' decision to capture the 70 kg belt. Now, Sarnavskiy has a chance to avenge that loss and reclaim his title. But will he succeed? Read on for our prediction.
Akhmed Aliyev Player Overview
Ahmed Aliev (record 22-9) is a 35-year-old Russian lightweight fighter with extensive experience in MMA. Aliev is one of the veterans of the Fight Nights league, where he has been competing since 2011. Although he has ventured into other organizations such as PFL, ProFC, Eagle FC, and League S-70 at various points in his career, he has always returned to Fight Nights. After capturing the lightweight championship belt, Ahmed has fought only once. On August 16, 2025, he stepped in on short notice to replace Marif Piraev in a bout against Eduard Vartanyan but was defeated by technical knockout in the second round.
Match Results: Akhmed Aliyev
Alexander Sarnavskiy Player Overview
Alexander Sarnavskiy (record 42-9) is a 36-year-old Russian fighter known by the nickname "Tiger." He boasts an impressive 79% finish rate in his victories. Throughout his career, Sarnavskiy has competed in various prestigious organizations, including Bellator, ACA, M-1 Global, and ProFC. In February of last year, Sarnavskiy claimed the Fight Nights lightweight title by submitting Magomed Sulumov. However, he couldn't hold onto the belt, losing it in his first defense. In February 2025, Alexander got back on track with a decision victory over Adriano Martins.
Match Results: Alexander Sarnavskiy
⭐ Editorial Prediction
From a skill perspective, Sarnavskiy and Aliev are evenly matched. Both fighters are solid all-rounders capable of performing at all levels. However, the crucial factor is Aliev's recent fight. Just weeks ago, he took significant damage in a bout against Vartanyan, whereas Alexander has been steadily preparing for the event in Nevinnomyssk. We anticipate that this preparation will be the key to the contender's victory.