Bautista vs Oliveira Prediction

    📣 The Apex facility in Las Vegas is gearing up to host UFC Fight Night 266. The main event promises an intriguing clash between two top-15 bantamweight fighters. American Mario Bautista steps into the octagon aiming to bounce back from a recent loss. He faces off against the ambitious Brazilian knockout artist Vinicius Oliveira, who is eager to climb the rankings.

    H2H Stats Fights and Previous Results

    100%
    1 Win
    0%
    0 Draws
    0%
    0 Wins
    08.02.26
    UFC Fight Night 266
    Mario Bautista
    Mario Bautista
    Vinicius de Oliveira
    Vinicius de Oliveira
    1
    0
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Mario Bautista Player Overview

    The 32-year-old American, Mario Bautista, has journeyed from childhood wrestling and BJJ sessions to becoming one of the top athletes in his division. After a challenging debut against Cory Sandhagen, he went on an impressive eight-fight winning streak. This success earned him a bout with Umar Nurmagomedov in October 2025, where Bautista was narrowly defeated on points. Currently, Bautista holds a high ranking and boasts extensive experience competing against the league's elite.

    Match Results: Mario Bautista

    08.02.26
    UFC Fight Night 266
    Mario Bautista
    Mario Bautista
    Vinicius de Oliveira
    Vinicius de Oliveira
    1
    0
    W
    25.10.25
    UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane
    Umar Nurmagomedov
    Umar Nurmagomedov
    Mario Bautista
    Mario Bautista
    1
    0
    L
    08.06.25
    UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2
    Mario Bautista
    Mario Bautista
    P. Mix
    P. Mix
    1
    0
    W
    06.10.24
    UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree
    Jose Aldo
    Jose Aldo
    Mario Bautista
    Mario Bautista
    0
    1
    W
    14.01.24
    UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2
    Ricky Simon
    Ricky Simon
    Mario Bautista
    Mario Bautista
    0
    1
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Vinicius de Oliveira Player Overview

    The 30-year-old Brazilian burst into the UFC as the UAE Warriors champion and a formidable finisher with 16 knockouts to his name. He earned his contract through Dana White's Contender Series, where he made a statement by knocking out Victor Madrigal. Currently, Oliveira is on a perfect four-fight winning streak, holding the 11th spot in the rankings. His recent triumph over the skillful Kyler Phillips confirmed that Vinicius is ready to take on the toughest opponents.

    Match Results: Vinicius de Oliveira

    08.02.26
    UFC Fight Night 266
    Mario Bautista
    Mario Bautista
    Vinicius de Oliveira
    Vinicius de Oliveira
    1
    0
    L
    20.07.25
    UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3
    Kyler Phillips
    Kyler Phillips
    Vinicius de Oliveira
    Vinicius de Oliveira
    0
    1
    W
    01.02.25
    UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov
    Said Nurmagomedov
    Said Nurmagomedov
    Vinicius de Oliveira
    Vinicius de Oliveira
    0
    1
    W
    29.06.24
    UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2
    Ricky Simon
    Ricky Simon
    Vinicius de Oliveira
    Vinicius de Oliveira
    0
    1
    W
    02.03.24
    UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev
    Vinicius de Oliveira
    Vinicius de Oliveira
    Bernardo Sopaj
    Bernardo Sopaj
    1
    0
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Mario Bautista emerges as the favorite in this matchup due to his versatile skills and superior grappling. The American is likely to focus on wrestling to neutralize the explosive striking and knockout power of the Brazilian. We believe that consistent control on the mat and exhausting clinch work will allow Bautista to claim rounds and dictate the pace of the fight. His disciplined approach and high fight IQ should lead Mario to a confident victory.

    Our choice
    Mario Bautista Win at odds of -159*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (5 February 2026, 14:12)