Volkanovski vs Lopes Prediction

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The main thing

    👊 Sydney, Australia is set to host the highly anticipated UFC 325 mixed martial arts tournament. In the main event, hometown favorite Alexander Volkanovski will step into the octagon. The featherweight champion is set for a rematch against Diego Lopes. Their first bout took place in April last year, with Volkanovski securing a victory by decision. How will the rematch unfold? Check out the prediction for their clash below!

    H2H Stats Fights and Previous Results

    100%
    2 Wins
    0%
    0 Draws
    0%
    0 Wins
    01.02.26
    UFC 325
    Alex Volkanovski
    Alex Volkanovski
    Diego Lopes
    Diego Lopes
    1
    0
    13.04.25
    UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes
    Alex Volkanovski
    Alex Volkanovski
    Diego Lopes
    Diego Lopes
    1
    0
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Alex Volkanovski Player Overview

    Alexander Volkanovski boasts a professional record of 27-4, marking him as one of the greatest featherweights in UFC history. The Australian fighter has secured victories over Chad Mendes, José Aldo, Max Holloway, and Brian Ortega. Volkanovski successfully defended his title five times, but in 2024, he lost his belt to Ilia Topuria by knockout in the second round. Prior to that, he suffered defeats in two lightweight title bouts against Islam Makhachev. Nevertheless, in 2025, at the age of 36, Alexander reclaimed the championship belt by defeating Diego Lopes.

    Match Results: Alex Volkanovski

    01.02.26
    UFC 325
    Alex Volkanovski
    Alex Volkanovski
    Diego Lopes
    Diego Lopes
    1
    0
    W
    13.04.25
    UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes
    Alex Volkanovski
    Alex Volkanovski
    Diego Lopes
    Diego Lopes
    1
    0
    W
    18.02.24
    UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria
    Alex Volkanovski
    Alex Volkanovski
    Ilia Topuria
    Ilia Topuria
    0
    1
    L
    21.10.23
    UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2
    Islam Makhachev
    Islam Makhachev
    Alex Volkanovski
    Alex Volkanovski
    1
    0
    L
    09.07.23
    UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez
    Alex Volkanovski
    Alex Volkanovski
    Yair Rodriguez
    Yair Rodriguez
    1
    0
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Diego Lopes Player Overview

    Diego Lopez boasts a record of 27-7. The 31-year-old contender made a dramatic entry into the top ranks of the division. His UFC debut came in May 2023 on short notice, where he nearly snatched a victory from Movsar Evloev, losing by decision. Following his debut, Lopez went on a five-fight winning streak over 13 months, securing three finishes and defeating the likes of Brian Ortega, Sodiq Yusuff, and Dan Ige. In 2025, he earned a title shot but fell short against Volkanovski. However, his recent decisive victory over Jean Silva has paved a direct path to another title bout, his second of the year.

    Match Results: Diego Lopes

    01.02.26
    UFC 325
    Alex Volkanovski
    Alex Volkanovski
    Diego Lopes
    Diego Lopes
    1
    0
    L
    14.09.25
    UFC Fight Night 259
    Diego Lopes
    Diego Lopes
    Jean Silva
    Jean Silva
    1
    0
    W
    13.04.25
    UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes
    Alex Volkanovski
    Alex Volkanovski
    Diego Lopes
    Diego Lopes
    1
    0
    L
    15.09.24
    UFC 306: O Malley vs. Dvalishvili
    B. Ortega
    B. Ortega
    Diego Lopes
    Diego Lopes
    0
    1
    W
    30.06.24
    UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2
    Dan Ige
    Dan Ige
    Diego Lopes
    Diego Lopes
    0
    1
    W
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    Latest news

    Alex Volkanovski

    Volkanovski on the rematch with Lopez:

    "I believed Movsar deserved a title shot. Lerone Murphy too. These are two fighters I mentioned. The UFC really wanted to see Lopez, but at least everyone understands that we are in for a spectacular showdown. It's going to be a very exciting fight. When it comes to Movsar and Lerone, they might arguably deserve the title shot more. But can they deliver the kind of fight Lopez can? I think fans will appreciate what Diego and I bring to the octagon."

    Diego Lopes

    Lopez on the rematch with Volkanovski:

    "I've learned a lot. When I fought Volkanovski in April, my ego got in the way. I was on a great winning streak, and I thought I didn't need to change anything in my training camp, that everything was already going well. But after the fight, I saw many things that needed fixing in my preparation, which I immediately addressed. Now I feel much better. I've set up a separate gym just for myself and my team. No distractions. No people coming to the gym with questions or for photos and videos. That fight taught me a lesson. Back then, I forgot many things, especially that I'm the best fighter in the division and should enjoy every moment."

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Lopez is a threat with his submissions and aggressive stand-up game. Yes, he's a talented fighter, but not at a championship level. Against the experienced Volkanovski, Diego will face a tough challenge. Their first bout in April last year demonstrated that, in terms of fight IQ, Alex is simply a cut above. Excellent timing, endurance, solid takedown defense, and natural power for the 66 kg division-Alexander hasn't lost any of these attributes despite his age. If he sticks to his game plan wisely, we won't see much intrigue in this battle once again.

    Our choice
    Alex Volkanovski Win at odds of -147*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (28 January 2026, 17:19)