Mederos vs Jones Prediction 23 August 2026
🥊 Marquel Mederos and Mason Jones are set to square off in a lightweight bout at UFC Sacramento on August 22. Both fighters enter the octagon riding unbeaten streaks: since suffering the only loss of his professional career, Mederos has racked up nine wins and one draw, while Jones is on a seven-fight winning run. According to UFC stats, the two are closely matched in terms of striking output, making this upcoming clash look like a highly competitive affair.
Marquel Mederos Player Overview
Mederos holds a professional record of 11-1-1 and has remained unbeaten since his lone defeat back in 2021. Since joining the UFC, he has picked up three victories before fighting to a draw against Chris Padilla in April 2026. Notably, most of his recent bouts have gone deep, with his average fight time hovering around 12 minutes and 50 seconds. UFC stats also highlight Mederos’ impressive striking accuracy - he lands 58% of his significant strikes.
Match Results: Marquel Mederos
Mason Jones Player Overview
Jones enters this bout with an 18-2 record and rides a seven-fight winning streak. Since returning to the UFC, the Welshman has notched consecutive victories over Jeremy Stephens, Bolaji Oki, and Axel Sola, with two of those three contests going the distance. Jones combines high-volume striking with consistent wrestling, averaging nearly six significant strikes per minute and landing 3.48 takedowns per 15 minutes, according to available stats. On average, his fights last around 12 minutes and 56 seconds.
Match Results: Mason Jones
⭐️ Editorial Prediction
Medeiros and Jones both come into this bout with recent wins and a history of going the distance on the judges’ scorecards. Jones has proven in his latest UFC appearances that he can maintain a high pace across all rounds, while Medeiros shows impressive accuracy and resilience in drawn-out contests. Given these factors, backing over 2.5 rounds appears to be a well-founded pick.
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