Moreno vs Morales Prediction 12 September 2026
👊 The main card of UFC Noche 4 features a compelling clash between two Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu specialists. Former champion Brandon Moreno is set to face the in-form Joseph Morales. The Mexican fighter is going through a rough patch, having dropped to eighth in the rankings after back-to-back losses. Morales, on the other hand, enters the octagon riding a five-fight winning streak and boasting a 15-2 record. Check out our prediction for their showdown below.
Head-to-head statistics Moreno - Morales
Brandon Moreno Player Overview
Brandon Moreno is a former two-time UFC flyweight champion and a black belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu. The Mexican fighter is known for his technical prowess, high fight IQ, and ability to operate effectively at range. On the feet, Moreno prefers to rack up points with volume striking, steering clear of unnecessary exchanges. However, his recent outings haven’t gone his way, and regaining confidence will be crucial for him now. Moreno’s main objective will be to defend takedowns and keep the fight standing.
Match Results: Brandon Moreno
Joseph Morales Player Overview
Joseph Morales rose to prominence after winning TUF 33 and continues to develop under the guidance of Urijah Faber. The American boasts a solid wrestling pedigree, honed through pankration, and is highly comfortable on the ground. His biggest weapons are submissions-particularly chokes and neck attacks. Morales is riding a five-fight winning streak and enters this bout in excellent mental shape. To defeat Moreno, he’ll need to close the distance and prevent the Mexican from settling into his striking rhythm.
Match Results: Joseph Morales
⭐ Editor's Pick
Morales come into this bout looking more dangerous thanks to his current form and impressive winning streak. The American is likely to push for an early takedown, where his grappling skills could neutralise the strengths of the former champion. While Moreno is capable of defending against takedowns, sustained pressure and relentless wrestling are bound to drain his energy over the rounds. If Morales can't secure a quick submission, he should still be able to control proceedings by dominating positions and dictating the pace on the ground. Given Moreno's recent dip in performance, our pick is a Joseph Morales victory.
