Holloway vs Oliveira Prediction

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The main thing

    🔥 The main event of UFC 326 features the highly anticipated BMF title clash between two legendary former champions, Max Holloway and Charles Oliveira. These fighters first met back in 2015, a bout that ended prematurely due to a rare esophagus injury suffered by the Brazilian. Now, 11 years later, they will face off in the octagon once more to determine who truly deserves the title of the organization's "baddest man." Read the prediction for this upcoming showdown below!

    H2H Stats Fights and Previous Results

    0%
    0 Wins
    0%
    0 Draws
    100%
    1 Win
    08.03.26
    UFC 326
    Max Holloway
    Max Holloway
    Charles Oliveira
    Charles Oliveira
    0
    1
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Max Holloway Player Overview

    The 34-year-old American, Max Holloway, is a former featherweight champion and one of the most respected veterans in the league, having competed for over 14 years. Throughout his extensive career, he has faced top-tier fighters such as Conor McGregor, José Aldo, Justin Gaethje, and Alexander Volkanovski. After moving up to lightweight, Max proved his mettle by decisively defeating Dustin Poirier in July 2025, becoming the first fighter to successfully defend the BMF title. In terms of style, Holloway is an elite striker who relies on an unprecedented volume of precise punches, phenomenal timing, and an almost unbreakable chin.

    Match Results: Max Holloway

    08.03.26
    UFC 326
    Max Holloway
    Max Holloway
    Charles Oliveira
    Charles Oliveira
    0
    1
    L
    20.07.25
    UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3
    Max Holloway
    Max Holloway
    Dustin Poirier
    Dustin Poirier
    1
    0
    W
    26.10.24
    UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway
    Ilia Topuria
    Ilia Topuria
    Max Holloway
    Max Holloway
    1
    0
    L
    16.04.23
    UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen
    Max Holloway
    Max Holloway
    Arnold Allen
    Arnold Allen
    1
    0
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Charles Oliveira Player Overview

    The 36-year-old Charles Oliveira is a unique fighter and former lightweight champion, holding the league record for most finishes with 21 in 24 victorious bouts. His resume boasts impressive wins over Michael Chandler and Mateusz Gamrot, whom he submitted just last October at an event in Rio. Despite suffering a tough loss to Ilia Topuria in June 2025, the Brazilian has proven that it's too early to count him out, maintaining his status as one of the most dangerous finishers in UFC history. In terms of style, Oliveira is a deadly blend of aggressive Muay Thai and diverse Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu.

    Match Results: Charles Oliveira

    08.03.26
    UFC 326
    Max Holloway
    Max Holloway
    Charles Oliveira
    Charles Oliveira
    0
    1
    W
    12.10.25
    UFC Fight Night 261
    Charles Oliveira
    Charles Oliveira
    Mateusz Gamrot
    Mateusz Gamrot
    1
    0
    W
    29.06.25
    UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira
    Ilia Topuria
    Ilia Topuria
    Charles Oliveira
    Charles Oliveira
    1
    0
    L
    17.11.24
    UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic
    Charles Oliveira
    Charles Oliveira
    Michael Chandler
    Michael Chandler
    1
    0
    W
    14.04.24
    UFC 300: Pereira vs.Hill
    Charles Oliveira
    Charles Oliveira
    Arman Tsarukyan
    Arman Tsarukyan
    0
    1
    L
    Empty
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    Latest news

    Max Holloway

    Holloway: “Oliveira is just a killer. Everyone knows about his jiu-jitsu, but his striking has improved significantly. If you look at most of his victories, you'll see that Charles often finishes opponents on the ground without ever being on the brink of defeat. Oliveira damages them on the feet, rocks them, and then applies a submission. He’s a true mixed martial artist... Oliveira is Oliveira. He's dangerous everywhere. I just need to be smart and stick to my game plan. I plan to go out there and attack head-on.”

    Charles Oliveira

    Oliveira: "I plan to put on a spectacular fight and come out victorious. If the bout turns out great and I win in style, I believe I will dispel all doubts and be next in line for the title shot. If Max decides to stand and trade, I'm ready; if he takes it to the ground, I'm prepared for that too. Whatever happens, I'm ready."

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    We believe Holloway is rightfully favored in this matchup due to his superior boxing skills and ability to maintain a relentless pace over five rounds. We expect his excellent takedown defense to keep the fight standing, allowing him to methodically pick apart Oliveira, who often stalls and takes heavy shots. On paper, a bout against the aggressive and quite open Brazilian seems like an ideal matchup for the American.

    Our choice
    Max Holloway Win at odds of -208*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (6 March 2026, 07:43)