Seattle vs Toronto Prediction 29 October 2026
π Seattle have conceded at least three goals in each of their last five games. For a team that beat Toronto twice last season, thatβs hardly the ideal backdrop ahead of their next head-to-head. Still, the Canadians have plenty of issues themselves. The Maple Leafs are missing several key players, and their recent trip to Calgary ended in defeat. Both teams know how to find the net, but can they overcome their defensive woes?
Toronto came up short.
π Last season, Toronto struggled to find answers against Seattle. Their first head-to-head ended with a Kraken overtime victory (4-3), sealed by a game-winning goal from Josh Mahura. Three months later, the American side claimed another win, this time in regulation (5-2), with Shane Wright netting a brace. Over the course of those two meetings, Seattle racked up nine goals to Torontoβs five. Now, the Canadians are looking to exact some revenge.
Head-to-head statistics Seattle - Toronto
They score plenty, but concede even more.
Seattle currently sit 11th in the NHL in scoring, averaging 3.75 goals per game. However, their defensive record tells a different story: they concede 3.50 goals per outing, ranking just 25th in the league. This imbalance has become even more pronounced recently, with their goals-against average climbing to 4.4 over the last stretch. To make matters worse, the team are missing injured players Jared McCann and Ryan Lindgren.
The Kraken got off to a decent start against Minnesota, but after the opening period, momentum gradually shifted to the opposition. In the end, Seattle accounted for just 26.2% of the total expected goals generated in the contest. They allowed seven odd-man rushes, compared to only four of their own. The only line that managed to create a positive expected goals differential was the trio of Karton, Wright, and Winterton. Meanwhile, Kaapo Kakko contributed an assist and became the first Kraken player to reach double digits in points this season.
Match Results: Seattle Kraken
Injuries are hampering their momentum
Toronto are averaging 3.71 goals per game, and their power play conversion rate stands at an impressive 28.89%. Even more remarkable is their penalty killing, as they neutralize 93.62% of opponentsβ power plays. However, these strong numbers mask a significant personnel crisis. No fewer than 11 players are currently sidelined with injuries, including John Tavares, Max Domi, and Chris Tanev. Kirill Marchenko has also recently joined the injury list.
In Calgary, the Canadians conceded five goals and fell 2-5, despite narrowing the deficit to just one in the third period. Easton Cowan notched his sixth goal of the season, while William Nylander extended his points streak to five games. Auston Matthews picked up an assist, marking his 800th career NHL point. Sergei Bobrovsky turned away 30 of 33 shots, but two late empty-netters sealed the result beyond doubt.
Match Results: Toronto Maple Leafs
Prediction for the 1st period
Seattle have avoided defeat in the opening 20 minutes in seven of their last eight games. Even with their current defensive issues, the team typically finds its rhythm before the first intermission. The pick: Seattle double chance in the 1st period (1X) at 1.36.
Total Goals Prediction
In head-to-head clashes with Toronto, Seattle typically struggle to score more than three goals. In six of their last seven meetings, the Kraken have failed to notch more than that. The pick: Seattle under 3.5 team goals at 1.52.
βοΈ Editorβs Prediction
Toronto donβt need to dominate from start to finish to put up three goals. The Canadians have scored at least three in four of their last five games. Meanwhile, Seattle have conceded three or more in each of their past five outings, giving up an average of 4.4 goals per game over that stretch. History is also on Torontoβs side: the Maple Leafs have netted at least three in six of their last seven head-to-head clashes. My pick: Toronto over 2.5 team goals.
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Betting Tips: Seattle Kraken - Toronto Maple Leafs
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