Philadelphia vs Pittsburgh Prediction

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The main thing
    Philadelphia Flyers
    Philadelphia Flyers
    Pittsburgh Penguins
    Pittsburgh Penguins
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    🔊 The series between Philadelphia and Pittsburgh is reaching its decisive stage. After five games, the Flyers lead (3-2), but the Penguins have already shown they're ready to fight for every game and change the course of the series. The fifth encounter was tense and evenly matched, where details and a lucky bounce made all the difference. Can Philadelphia close out the series at home, or will Pittsburgh push it to a Game 7?

    Head-to-Head

    📊 The series stands at 3-2 in favor of Philadelphia. In Game 5, Pittsburgh emerged victorious with a 3-2 win, despite a comeback attempt from their rivals. The Flyers managed to level the score during the second period but conceded the decisive goal after a deflection off the boards at 17:12. The game was evenly matched in terms of play: shots on goal were nearly identical at 20-21, with execution and occasional mistakes proving to be critical factors. Overall, the series has been tightly contested, with both teams battling through pressure and limited space.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    47%
    41 Wins
    53%
    46 Wins
    29.04.26
    NHL
    Philadelphia Flyers
    Philadelphia Flyers
    Pittsburgh Penguins
    Pittsburgh Penguins
    1
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    27.04.26
    NHL
    Pittsburgh Penguins
    Pittsburgh Penguins
    Philadelphia Flyers
    Philadelphia Flyers
    3
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    26.04.26
    NHL
    Philadelphia Flyers
    Philadelphia Flyers
    Pittsburgh Penguins
    Pittsburgh Penguins
    2
    4
    0
    1
    1
    1
    1
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    22.04.26
    NHL
    Philadelphia Flyers
    Philadelphia Flyers
    Pittsburgh Penguins
    Pittsburgh Penguins
    5
    2
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    1
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    20.04.26
    NHL
    Pittsburgh Penguins
    Pittsburgh Penguins
    Philadelphia Flyers
    Philadelphia Flyers
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    Philadelphia Flyers Team Overview

    Philadelphia put up a competitive fight in Game 5, controlling various stretches of play, as the numbers attest. In the first period, the team outshot their opponent in terms of quality chances, but struggled with execution: 9 shots were blocked and 13 missed the target, leaving the Flyers trailing 0-1 despite their solid pressure.

    In the second period, they showcased resilience by quickly responding to a conceded goal-Bump scored just 12 seconds after (3:29), leveling the score at 2-2. During this stretch, Philadelphia won faceoffs (13-9, 22-18 overall) and maintained pressure in the offensive zone.

    However, their key issue was defensive errors and inconsistency. Pittsburgh's winning goal came from a deflection at 17:12, but prior to that, the team had already shown lapses in exiting their zone. In the third period, trailing 2-3, the Flyers couldn't capitalize: they managed only 6 shots compared to the opponent's 4, and even with an empty net towards the end, they failed to equalize. The final shot tally was 20-21, indicating a closely contested game, but poor finishing let them down.

    Match Results: Philadelphia Flyers

    09.05.26
    NHL
    Philadelphia Flyers
    Philadelphia Flyers
    Carolina Hurricanes
    Carolina Hurricanes
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    L
    08.05.26
    NHL
    Philadelphia Flyers
    Philadelphia Flyers
    Carolina Hurricanes
    Carolina Hurricanes
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    4
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    L
    04.05.26
    NHL
    Carolina Hurricanes
    Carolina Hurricanes
    Philadelphia Flyers
    Philadelphia Flyers
    3
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    L
    03.05.26
    NHL
    Carolina Hurricanes
    Carolina Hurricanes
    Philadelphia Flyers
    Philadelphia Flyers
    3
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    L
    29.04.26
    NHL
    Philadelphia Flyers
    Philadelphia Flyers
    Pittsburgh Penguins
    Pittsburgh Penguins
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    Pittsburgh Penguins Team Overview

    Pittsburgh have shown in their second consecutive game that they've picked up the pace and adopted a more aggressive style of play. The opening shot of the match turned into a goal, as Soderblom put them on the scoreboard at 2:45, setting up a favorable scenario. In the first period, the team appeared slightly sharper in shots (11-9).

    The crucial stretch came at the start of the second period: at 3:17, Dewar doubled the lead, putting the Penguins ahead (2-0). Although Philadelphia quickly responded, it's important to note that Pittsburgh didn't falter in their gameplay. With the score tied at (2-2), the team found another moment - at 17:12, a shot from Letang deflected to become the game-winner.

    It's worth highlighting the depth of their roster: not only did the leaders shine, but contributions also came from the lower lines (goals from Soderblom and Dewar). In the third period, Pittsburgh expertly closed out the game - allowing only 4 shots while preventing their opponent from building any pressure. They trailed in faceoffs (28-32) but compensated with structure and off-puck play. Goalie Silovs was reliable, making 18 saves out of 20 shots, marking his second consecutive solid performance.

    Match Results: Pittsburgh Penguins

    29.04.26
    NHL
    Philadelphia Flyers
    Philadelphia Flyers
    Pittsburgh Penguins
    Pittsburgh Penguins
    1
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    L
    27.04.26
    NHL
    Pittsburgh Penguins
    Pittsburgh Penguins
    Philadelphia Flyers
    Philadelphia Flyers
    3
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    2
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    W
    26.04.26
    NHL
    Philadelphia Flyers
    Philadelphia Flyers
    Pittsburgh Penguins
    Pittsburgh Penguins
    2
    4
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    1
    1
    1
    1
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    W
    22.04.26
    NHL
    Philadelphia Flyers
    Philadelphia Flyers
    Pittsburgh Penguins
    Pittsburgh Penguins
    5
    2
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    L
    20.04.26
    NHL
    Pittsburgh Penguins
    Pittsburgh Penguins
    Philadelphia Flyers
    Philadelphia Flyers
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    L
    Empty
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    Latest news

    Philadelphia Flyers

    ❌ The team faces some absences: Rodrigo Abols (3 goals, 7 assists in 42 games) and Nikita Grebyonkin (4 goals, 10 assists in 55 games) are out of the lineup. This reduces the depth in attack and limits the versatility of the lower lines, increasing the pressure on the leaders.

    Pittsburgh Penguins

    ❌ Minimal losses: Filip Hallander (1 goal, 3 assists in 13 matches) is out of the squad. His absence isn't critical but does reduce rotation depth.

    ⚡️ Leaders

    Philadelphia: Rasmus Ristolainen - 5 points (1 goal, 4 assists), Travis Konecny - 4 points (1 goal, 3 assists), Trevor Zegras - 4 points (1 goal, 3 assists).

    Pittsburgh: Sidney Crosby - 5 points (1 goal, 4 assists), Rickard Rakell - 4 points (1 goal, 3 assists), Evgeni Malkin - 3 points (2 goals, 1 assist).

    🥅 Goalies

    Philadelphia: Dan Vladar - 5 games, 3 wins, 2.03 GAA and 91.4% save percentage. In the fifth game, he stopped 18 shots but couldn't come through in a crucial deflection moment. Overall, he's been consistent throughout the series.

    Pittsburgh: Arturs Silovs - 2 games, 2 wins, 2.00 GAA and 92.0% save percentage. He's currently giving the team a chance, winning two consecutive games. Stuart Skinner (3.08 GAA and 87.3% save percentage) started the series weaker and was replaced.

    Editor's Prediction

    Pittsburgh find themselves in a "must-win" scenario-after trailing (0-3), they've managed to claw back two successive victories, bringing the series to (2-3). Throughout these games, a noticeable shift in style has occurred: the Penguins have increased their pace, played more aggressively on offense, and consistently turned plays into shots, which directly impacts their scoring ability. Philadelphia, meanwhile, hasn't resorted to defensive hockey-even in Game Five, they rallied from (0-2) and continued to create opportunities. It's evident as the series progresses that with an uptick in pace, both teams can frequently exchange goals, with certain stretches of the games being played in an open style.

    It's crucial to consider the stats: in five of their last six head-to-head regular-season matchups, the teams have surpassed the five-goal mark. Additionally, Games Three and Four have already demonstrated that under certain scenarios, the game opens up significantly. Given Pittsburgh's current form, the high tempo of recent games, and their precarious position on the brink of elimination, there's a strong likelihood this match will be high-scoring. However, it's advisable to play it safe and opt for a more secure bet-over 5 total goals.

    Our choice
    Total goals Over (5) at odds of -172*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (28 April 2026, 09:39)

    Betting Tips: Philadelphia Flyers - Pittsburgh Penguins

    Philadelphia Flyers have not won the 1st period
    philadelphia-flyerspittsburgh-penguinsin last 9 games against Pittsburgh Penguins (NHL).
    Pittsburgh Penguins have not lost the 1st period
    pittsburgh-penguinsin last 16 games (NHL).
    pittsburgh-penguinsin last 8 away games (NHL).
    1st Period Pittsburgh Penguins will not lose
    -263
    Philadelphia Flyers have not lost the 2nd period
    philadelphia-flyerspittsburgh-penguinsin last 6 games against Pittsburgh Penguins (NHL).
    philadelphia-flyersin 7 of last 8 games (NHL).
    Pittsburgh Penguins have not won the 2nd period
    pittsburgh-penguinsin last 9 games (NHL).
    pittsburgh-penguinsin last 6 away games (NHL).
    2nd Period Philadelphia Flyers will not lose
    -250
    Philadelphia Flyers have not lost the 3rd period
    philadelphia-flyersin 7 of last 8 games (NHL).
    Pittsburgh Penguins have not won the 3rd period
    pittsburgh-penguinsin 7 of last 8 games (NHL).
    3rd Period Philadelphia Flyers will not lose
    -238
    Over 4.5 goals
    philadelphia-flyerspittsburgh-penguinsin 14 of last 15 Philadelphia Flyers games against Pittsburgh Penguins (NHL).
    philadelphia-flyersin 9 of last 10 Philadelphia Flyers games (NHL).
    pittsburgh-penguinsin 25 of last 27 Pittsburgh Penguins games (NHL).
    Total goals Over (4.5)
    -233
    View more facts

    Philadelphia - Pittsburgh Table position

    Eastern Conference
    gWLPPForm
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    824438278-24699
    7.
    Pittsburgh Penguins
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    824141293-26898
    8.
    Philadelphia Flyers
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    824339250-24398
    9.
    Washington Capitals
    Washington Capitals
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    10.
    Detroit Red Wings
    Detroit Red Wings
    824141241-25892