Tampa Bay vs Montreal Prediction

Details
The main thing
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    Montreal Canadiens
    Montreal Canadiens
    2
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1

    🔊 The series between Tampa and Montreal has reached a deadlock. After four games, the score is tied at 2-2, effectively turning the contest into a best-of-three. Both teams have demonstrated their ability to change the momentum of games, which means the stakes are higher with each shift. Will we see more cautious hockey, or will one team finally break out of their usual scoring patterns?

    Head-to-Head

    📊 The series is tied at 2-2. In Game 4, Tampa rallied from a 0-2 deficit to secure a 3-2 victory, scoring three consecutive goals. Notably, the last three games have all ended with the same scoreline of 3-2, with the teams alternating wins. Across the four games, the total of six goals in regulation has never been surpassed, highlighting the overall pace of the series-tight, with a strong focus on defense and minimizing mistakes.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    62%
    43 Wins
    35%
    24 Wins
    03.05.26
    NHL
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    Montreal Canadiens
    Montreal Canadiens
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    01.05.26
    NHL
    Montreal Canadiens
    Montreal Canadiens
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1
    29.04.26
    NHL
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    Montreal Canadiens
    Montreal Canadiens
    2
    3
    0
    1
    2
    1
    0
    1
    26.04.26
    NHL
    Montreal Canadiens
    Montreal Canadiens
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    2
    3
    0
    0
    2
    1
    0
    2
    24.04.26
    NHL
    Montreal Canadiens
    Montreal Canadiens
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    3
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0
    Empty
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    Tampa Bay Lightning Team Overview

    Tampa showcased resilience in their latest game, staging a comeback from a 0-2 deficit in the second period. Despite maintaining control for much of the game without converting opportunities, the pivotal moment came late in the second period. A goal at 19:06 narrowed the gap and shifted the momentum. In the third period, Tampa added two more goals (at 1:40 and 15:07) to seal the victory.

    Crucially, after conceding two goals, the team allowed Montreal just nine shots over the next two periods. Goalie Vasilevskiy made 16 saves, including six while shorthanded. Offensively, Hagel stands out with six playoff goals, including two in the last game, while Kucherov contributed two assists and now has five assists in the current series.

    Match Results: Tampa Bay Lightning

    03.05.26
    NHL
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    Montreal Canadiens
    Montreal Canadiens
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    L
    01.05.26
    NHL
    Montreal Canadiens
    Montreal Canadiens
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1
    W
    29.04.26
    NHL
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    Montreal Canadiens
    Montreal Canadiens
    2
    3
    0
    1
    2
    1
    0
    1
    L
    26.04.26
    NHL
    Montreal Canadiens
    Montreal Canadiens
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    2
    3
    0
    0
    2
    1
    0
    2
    W
    24.04.26
    NHL
    Montreal Canadiens
    Montreal Canadiens
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    3
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0
    L
    Empty
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    Montreal Canadiens Team Overview

    Montreal had an ideal scenario in Game 4, leading 2-0 by 13:29 of the second period, but they couldn't hold onto the advantage. The team scored twice in just 3 minutes and 23 seconds, but then conceded three consecutive goals. In the third period, Montreal failed to respond and ultimately fell short (2-3).

    Offensively, the team performs in bursts: Cole Caufield scored on the power play, marking his 20th career playoff point (in 29 games), but there is no consistent pressure. It's also crucial to note that after the second period, the team barely created any chances, losing control of the game.

    Match Results: Montreal Canadiens

    30.05.26
    NHL
    Carolina Hurricanes
    Carolina Hurricanes
    Montreal Canadiens
    Montreal Canadiens
    6
    1
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    1
    L
    28.05.26
    NHL
    Montreal Canadiens
    Montreal Canadiens
    Carolina Hurricanes
    Carolina Hurricanes
    0
    4
    0
    3
    0
    0
    0
    1
    L
    26.05.26
    NHL
    Montreal Canadiens
    Montreal Canadiens
    Carolina Hurricanes
    Carolina Hurricanes
    2
    3
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1
    L
    23.05.26
    NHL
    Carolina Hurricanes
    Carolina Hurricanes
    Montreal Canadiens
    Montreal Canadiens
    3
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    0
    L
    22.05.26
    NHL
    Carolina Hurricanes
    Carolina Hurricanes
    Montreal Canadiens
    Montreal Canadiens
    2
    6
    1
    4
    1
    0
    0
    2
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Latest news

    Tampa Bay Lightning

    ❌ Tampa face some roster challenges. Victor Hedman, a key defenseman, will miss this series, impacting the reliability of the top pairing and the power play. Pontus Holmberg is also out and isn't being considered as a reinforcement option, which reduces their offensive depth. Charles-Edouard D'Astous missed the last game, and his absence limits the defensive flexibility.

    Montreal Canadiens

    ❌ Montreal are dealing with some setbacks as well. Patrik Laine is out due to injury, which directly impacts their offensive potential and power play. Noah Dobson is missing games because of an injury, weakening their defense and reliability in clearing the zone. Additionally, Reinbacher has been sent down to the farm team, reducing the depth of their defensive lineup.

    ⚡️ Key Players 

    For Tampa: Brandon Hagel leads with 6 goals, Nikita Kucherov has 6 points, and Jake Guentzel contributed 2 points (1 goal, 1 assist in the last game).

    For Montreal: Cole Caufield scored 1 goal in the last game, Zachary Bolduc also netted 1 goal, and Nick Suzuki provided 1 assist.

    🥅 Goaltenders

    For Tampa, Andrei Vasilevskiy has played 4 games with 2 wins, a 2.58 goals-against average, and a save percentage of 88.2%. In the most recent match, he made 16 saves to maintain the lead.

    For Montreal, Jakub Dobes has also played 4 games with 2 wins, a 2.60 goals-against average, and a save percentage of 88.3%. While his stats are comparable, he hasn't always been clutch in late-game situations.

    Editor's Prediction

    The series between Tampa and Montreal set a clear tone from the start-tight hockey with limited scoring opportunities. In all four games, neither team surpassed a total of six goals in regulation, with the last three encounters ending in a (3-2) scoreline. This highlights the balance of power and the high stakes of every mistake. 

    Regardless of the scenario-whether it's a fast start or a comeback-both teams quickly shift to a defensive mode once they gain an advantage. In the latest game, after trailing (0-2), Tampa opted for a cautious approach rather than increasing the pace, ultimately securing a narrow victory. It's also worth noting their head-to-head matchups in the regular season; in the last two games, they also didn't exceed six goals combined. Considering the current rhythm of the series, the cautious play, and the consistent pattern of outcomes, a total under six goals appears to be the optimal choice.

    Our choice
    Total goals Under (6) at odds of -164*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (27 April 2026, 20:55)

    Betting Tips: Tampa Bay Lightning - Montreal Canadiens

    Tampa Bay Lightning have not lost the 3rd period
    tampa-bay-lightningin 7 of last 8 games (NHL).
    Montreal Canadiens have not won the 3rd period
    montreal-canadiensin 9 of last 10 away games (NHL).
    montreal-canadiensin last 8 games (NHL).
    3rd Period Tampa Bay Lightning will not lose
    -303
    Tampa Bay Lightning have not lost (in regular time)
    tampa-bay-lightningmontreal-canadiensin 20 of last 22 home games against Montreal Canadiens (NHL).
    Tampa Bay Lightning will not lose
    -256
    Tampa Bay Lightning have not won the 1st period
    tampa-bay-lightningmontreal-canadiensin last 8 home games against Montreal Canadiens (NHL).
    tampa-bay-lightningmontreal-canadiensin last 7 games against Montreal Canadiens (NHL).
    tampa-bay-lightningin last 19 games (NHL).
    tampa-bay-lightningin last 13 home games (NHL).
    Montreal Canadiens have not lost the 1st period
    montreal-canadiensin 6 of last 7 away games (NHL).
    1st Period Montreal Canadiens will not lose
    -244
    Montreal Canadiens have not lost the 2nd period
    montreal-canadiensin 11 of last 12 away games (NHL).
    2nd Period Montreal Canadiens will not lose
    -204
    View more facts

    Tampa Bay - Montreal Table position

    Eastern Conference
    gWLPPForm
    1.
    Carolina Hurricanes
    Carolina Hurricanes
    825329296-240113
    2.
    Buffalo Sabres
    Buffalo Sabres
    825032288-241109
    3.
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    825032290-231106
    4.
    Montreal Canadiens
    Montreal Canadiens
    824834283-256106
    5.
    Boston Bruins
    Boston Bruins
    824537272-250100
    6.
    Ottawa Senators
    Ottawa Senators
    824438278-24699