Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs Severstal Cherepovec Prediction 25 October 2026
🔊 Ten days ago, Severstal cruised past Lokomotiv in Cherepovets, lighting the lamp five times. Now the teams meet again, this time in Yaroslavl, and much has changed in the interim. Severstal, after stringing together seven straight wins, have stumbled with back-to-back defeats, while the Railwaymen remain firmly among the Western Conference frontrunners. That said, Dmitry Kvartalnov’s side have had to grind out results lately-just edging Dynamo Moscow with a last-second overtime winner. Can the hosts exact revenge on a rival who recently routed them on home ice?
Five goals were scored in Cherepovets.
📊 The first meeting between these sides in the current championship took place on October 15. Severstal came out on top against Lokomotiv, claiming a 5-2 victory and extending their winning streak to six games. Ruslan Abrosimov netted a brace, while Ilya Kvocko, Thomas Gregoire, and Ivan Podshivaylov also found the back of the net for Severstal. For Yaroslavl, Matvey Kotkov and Giovanni Fiore got on the scoresheet. This defeat in Cherepovets marked another chapter in Lokomotiv’s ongoing struggles against Severstal: the Railwaymen have now failed to beat Severstal in regulation time in six consecutive head-to-head encounters.
Head-to-head statistics Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Severstal Cherepovec
Without Radulov, victories are harder to come by.
Lokomotiv remain among the top contenders in the Western Conference, but their recent form has left something to be desired. The Yaroslavl side have stumbled three times in their last seven outings, with a particularly frustrating home defeat to Neftekhimik (0-1) stinging the most. Despite outshooting their opponents from Nizhnekamsk 34-23, Lokomotiv failed to find the back of the net. Neftekhimik, meanwhile, capitalized on one of Lokomotiv’s penalties and converted on the power play. That same game saw the team lose Alexander Radulov to a lower-body injury, forcing Dmitry Kvartalnov to reshuffle his lines and give more ice time to younger players. In addition to Radulov, Berezyokin and Romantsev will also miss the upcoming match.
Against Dynamo Moscow, Lokomotiv controlled proceedings for long stretches, though their eventual victory was anything but comfortable. The opening goal was sparked by an impressive forecheck from 18-year-old Matvei Kotkov, who forced a turnover deep in the offensive zone. After a pass from Egor Surin, Georgy Ivanov broke the deadlock and registered his 200th career KHL point. Lokomotiv had several power play opportunities in the second period but failed to extend their lead. That proved costly in the third, as Igor Ozhiganov leveled the score with a long-range effort. The drama peaked just one second before the end of overtime: following a timeout by the opposition, Kvartalnov pulled Daniil Isaev for an extra skater, Ivanov won the faceoff, and Artur Kayumov fired home the game-winner (2-1 OT). Lokomotiv dominated the faceoff circle 32-21 and blocked 27 shots, but even with those advantages, they came perilously close to a shootout.
Match Results: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
Two defeats following a seven-match winning streak
Severstal enjoyed a fantastic start to October. Andrei Kozyrev’s side rattled off seven straight wins, surging into the group of leaders in the Western Conference. That impressive run included a victory over Lokomotiv. However, recent results have brought back memories of the problems that plagued the team at the beginning of the season. First, Severstal fell to the Shanghai Dragons (1-5), conceding twice within the opening eight minutes. That was followed by a 1-3 defeat to Spartak. Over those two games, the Lynxes managed just two goals, despite previously creating plenty of scoring opportunities. The lineup is also far from optimal: Burenov, Churkin, Graf, and Chaly are all sidelined with injuries.
In Moscow, Severstal made a promising start, taking the lead in the opening period thanks to a goal from Ruslan Abrosimov. Early in the second, the visitors had chances to extend their advantage but failed to capitalize. Then, penalties started to take their toll. With just 16 seconds left in the second period, Pavel Poryadin converted on the power play to tie the game. In the third, Spartak struck twice more, while Severstal could muster only three shots on target. Over the full 60 minutes, Kozyrev’s men tested the opposing goaltender just 16 times compared to Moscow’s 27 attempts. After the game, Kozyrev refrained from criticizing his players’ effort but admitted that the late penalty in the second period changed the momentum. Abrosimov highlighted another key moment: with the score at 1-2, Severstal broke away three-on-one but failed to convert, and soon after conceded a third goal. Now Severstal are set for a showdown with an opponent who will surely remember their recent loss in Cherepovets.
Match Results: Severstal Cherepovec
Prediction for the 1st period
Lokomotiv have been finding the net early with impressive regularity. The Yaroslavl side have scored at least once in the opening 20 minutes in six of their last seven outings. The pick here is Lokomotiv over 0.5 goals in the first period at odds of 1.58.
Total Goals Prediction
Lokomotiv often struggle to turn their on-ice dominance into a flurry of goals. In seven of their last eight home games, the Railwaymen have scored no more than three times. Even in their recent clash with Dynamo, they needed overtime to secure the win. The bet here is on Lokomotiv’s individual total under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.36.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐️ Editor’s Prediction
Back-to-back defeats might suggest that Severstal have squandered the momentum they built during their strong October run. However, in Moscow, the team from Cherepovets held the lead for much of the game, with penalties and missed chances ultimately proving decisive. Lokomotiv are hardly flawless themselves: over their last seven outings, the Yaroslavl side have dropped points three times, while Radulov’s absence continues to hamper their attack. The head-to-head record is also telling-Severstal have avoided defeat in regulation time in six consecutive meetings with the Railwaymen, including a recent 5-2 victory in Cherepovets. Over a longer stretch, Kozyrev’s men have lost in regulation only once in their last 12 games. My pick: Severstal to avoid defeat in regulation time.
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Betting Tips: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Severstal Cherepovec
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