Melbourne Mustangs vs Brisbane Lightning Prediction 25 July 2026

    Melbourne Mustangs
    Melbourne Mustangs
    Brisbane Lightning
    Brisbane Lightning
    8
    3
    3
    4
    1
    2
    1
    0

    📢How will the teams use shifts to maintain a high pace of play? Rotations play an important role in hockey, and their proper use will bring the teams Melbourne Mustangs and Brisbane Lightning closer to victory in the match, which will take place on 25 July at 07:00 as part of the "Australian Ice Hockey League" tournament. The bookmakers have set the following odds for the teams to win - and , with the team Melbourne Mustangs being the favorite.

    Head-to-Head

    📊Review of the official head-to-head statistics between the teams Melbourne Mustangs and Brisbane Lightning:

    • played in 12 matches;
    • the home team has 7 wins (including overtime), while the away team has 5;
    • goals scored: 68 against 51;
    • average total of the match - 9.83.

    The last time the sides met was on 21 June 2026 at the arena of the team Brisbane Lightning - match score 6:10.

    Head-to-head statistics Melbourne Mustangs - Brisbane Lightning

    62%
    8 Wins
    38%
    5 Wins
    25.07.26
    Australian Ice Hockey League
    Melbourne Mustangs
    Melbourne Mustangs
    Brisbane Lightning
    Brisbane Lightning
    8
    3
    3
    2
    4
    1
    1
    0
    21.06.26
    Australian Ice Hockey League
    Brisbane Lightning
    Brisbane Lightning
    Melbourne Mustangs
    Melbourne Mustangs
    6
    10
    2
    3
    1
    5
    3
    2
    20.06.26
    Australian Ice Hockey League
    Brisbane Lightning
    Brisbane Lightning
    Melbourne Mustangs
    Melbourne Mustangs
    7
    6
    3
    0
    0
    2
    4
    4
    02.08.25
    Australian Ice Hockey League
    Melbourne Mustangs
    Melbourne Mustangs
    Brisbane Lightning
    Brisbane Lightning
    8
    4
    2
    2
    3
    0
    3
    2
    08.06.25
    Australian Ice Hockey League
    Brisbane Lightning
    Brisbane Lightning
    Melbourne Mustangs
    Melbourne Mustangs
    9
    6
    0
    3
    4
    2
    5
    1
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Melbourne Mustangs Team Overview

    🏆In the current season, Melbourne Mustangs has participated in 25 matches, achieving the following results:

    • 16 wins,
    • 9 losses.

    📈This season, Melbourne Mustangs has a win rate of 64%, with 36% of the games ending in defeat.

    📊The team's average total is 9.52, scoring 5.52 goals per match and conceding an average of 4.04 goals.

    🏒This season, Melbourne Mustangs has scored 138 goals:

    • The team particularly excels in the 2 period, where 36.23% of all goals were scored.
    • At their home ice, the average goals scored is 5.08 per game.

    🥅And about defense, Melbourne Mustangs has conceded 101 goals for the current season.

    • 1 period proved to be challenging, with 33.96% of all goals conceded during this time.
    • At home, the average number of goals conceded is 5.08 per game.

    Match Results: Melbourne Mustangs

    23.08.26
    Australian Ice Hockey League
    Melbourne Mustangs
    Melbourne Mustangs
    Canberra Brave
    Canberra Brave
    5
    4
    3
    0
    0
    3
    1
    1
    1
    0
    W
    15.08.26
    Australian Ice Hockey League
    Melbourne Mustangs
    Melbourne Mustangs
    Adelaide Adrenaline
    Adelaide Adrenaline
    7
    1
    3
    1
    3
    0
    1
    0
    W
    09.08.26
    Australian Ice Hockey League
    Perth Thunder
    Perth Thunder
    Melbourne Mustangs
    Melbourne Mustangs
    0
    6
    0
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    W
    08.08.26
    Australian Ice Hockey League
    Perth Thunder
    Perth Thunder
    Melbourne Mustangs
    Melbourne Mustangs
    3
    4
    0
    2
    3
    1
    0
    1
    W
    25.07.26
    Australian Ice Hockey League
    Melbourne Mustangs
    Melbourne Mustangs
    Brisbane Lightning
    Brisbane Lightning
    8
    3
    3
    2
    4
    1
    1
    0
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Brisbane Lightning Team Overview

    🏆In the ongoing season, Brisbane Lightning has competed in 23 matches, achieving the following stats: 7 wins, 16 losses.

    📈This season, Brisbane Lightning's win rate is 30%, with 70% of the games ending in defeat.

    📊The team's average score is 12.13, with 5.3 goals scored per match and conceding 6.87 on average.

    🏒So far, Brisbane Lightning has managed to score 122 goals:

    • The 3 period has been particularly successful, with 39.34% of goals scored.
    • While away, the average goals scored is 4.4.

    🥅On the defensive end, Brisbane Lightning has allowed 158 goals this season.

    • The 3 period has seen 45.33% of total goals conceded.
    • Compared to 7.5 goals in away games.

    Match Results: Brisbane Lightning

    23.08.26
    Australian Ice Hockey League
    Brisbane Lightning
    Brisbane Lightning
    Sydney Ice Dogs
    Sydney Ice Dogs
    5
    8
    2
    1
    3
    3
    0
    4
    L
    22.08.26
    Australian Ice Hockey League
    Brisbane Lightning
    Brisbane Lightning
    Sydney Ice Dogs
    Sydney Ice Dogs
    10
    13
    2
    5
    4
    5
    4
    3
    L
    16.08.26
    Australian Ice Hockey League
    Canberra Brave
    Canberra Brave
    Brisbane Lightning
    Brisbane Lightning
    9
    4
    4
    1
    2
    1
    3
    2
    L
    09.08.26
    Australian Ice Hockey League
    Adelaide Adrenaline
    Adelaide Adrenaline
    Brisbane Lightning
    Brisbane Lightning
    6
    7
    2
    0
    1
    3
    3
    4
    W
    08.08.26
    Australian Ice Hockey League
    Adelaide Adrenaline
    Adelaide Adrenaline
    Brisbane Lightning
    Brisbane Lightning
    6
    7
    2
    2
    2
    2
    2
    2
    0
    1
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Prediction for the 1st period

    First Period Statistics: Melbourne Mustangs (home) vs Brisbane Lightning (away)

    • Number of matches played in the tournament: 12 vs 10;
    • Number of wins: 6 (50%) vs 4 (40%);
    • Number of losses: 6 (50%) vs 6 (60%);
    • Number of draws: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%).
    • Average total goals scored: 1.25 vs 1.3;
    • Average total goals conceded: 1.5 vs 1.8.

    Last 10 Matches (Overall):

    • Number of wins: 6 vs 5;
    • Number of losses: 4 vs 4;
    • Number of draws: 0 vs 1;
    • Average total for the first period: 3 (scored - 1.7, conceded - 1.3) vs 3.7 (scored - 1.8, conceded - 1.9).
    Trends
    • Over 2.5 goals in the 1st period in last 6 Melbourne Mustangs games against Brisbane Lightning (Australian Ice Hockey League).
    👉Prediction: 1st Period, Total goals Over (2,5) (odds: 1.38)

    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • Number of encounters - 12;
    • Number of wins for the home team - 7, for the away team - 5.

    Statistics: Melbourne Mustangs vs Brisbane Lightning

    • Number of matches played in the tournament: 25 vs 23;
    • Number of wins: 16 (64%) vs 7 (30%);
    • Number of losses: 9 (36%) vs 16 (70%);
    • Number of home wins in the tournament: 7;
    • Number of away wins in the tournament: 1.

    Last 10 matches:

    • Number of wins: 8 vs 3;
    • Number of losses: 2 vs 7;
    • Number of home wins: 3;
    • Number of away wins: 0.
    Trends
    • Brisbane Lightning won with a +5.5 handicap in last 6 away games against Melbourne Mustangs (Australian Ice Hockey League).
    👉Prediction: Brisbane Lightning Handicap (+5,5) (odds: 1.85)

    Prediction on the over/under

    Statistics: Melbourne Mustangs vs Brisbane Lightning

    • average total in the tournament: 9.52 vs 12.13;
    • average total goals scored: 5.52 vs 5.3;
    • average total goals conceded: 4.04 vs 6.87;
    • Melbourne Mustangs: average total at home in the tournament - 5.08;
    • Brisbane Lightning: average total away in the tournament - 4.4;
    • last 10 matches (average total goals scored): 6.5 (home - 4.75) vs 5.5 (away - 4.5).
    Trends
    • Melbourne Mustangs scored under 8.5 goals in last 6 home games against Brisbane Lightning (Australian Ice Hockey League).
    👉Prediction: Melbourne Mustangs Total goals Under (8,5) (odds: 1.9)

    Editorial Prediction

    Key statistics:
    • Brisbane Lightning won with a +5.5 handicap in last 6 away games against Melbourne Mustangs (Australian Ice Hockey League).

    Brisbane Lightning Handicap (+5,5)
    Published: 23/07/2026, 07:26

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    Betting Tips: Melbourne Mustangs - Brisbane Lightning

    Melbourne Mustangs have won (in regular time):
    melbourne-mustangsin last 6 games (Australian Ice Hockey League).
    Brisbane Lightning have lost (in regular time):
    brisbane-lightningin 10 of last 11 away games (Australian Ice Hockey League).
    brisbane-lightningin 7 of last 8 games (Australian Ice Hockey League).
    Melbourne Mustangs Win
    -5000
    Melbourne Mustangs have not lost (in regular time):
    melbourne-mustangsin last 6 games (Australian Ice Hockey League).
    Brisbane Lightning have not won (in regular time):
    brisbane-lightningin 11 of last 12 away games (Australian Ice Hockey League).
    brisbane-lightningin 7 of last 8 games (Australian Ice Hockey League).
    Melbourne Mustangs will not lose
    -
    Melbourne Mustangs have not lost the 1st period:
    melbourne-mustangsbrisbane-lightningin last 6 home games against Brisbane Lightning (Australian Ice Hockey League).
    1st Period Melbourne Mustangs will not lose
    -2000
    Brisbane Lightning have not won the 3rd period:
    brisbane-lightningin 8 of last 9 away games (Australian Ice Hockey League).
    3rd Period Melbourne Mustangs will not lose
    -5000
    View more facts

    Melbourne Mustangs - Brisbane Lightning Table position

    AIHL 2026
    gWLPPForm
    1.
    Newcastle North Stars
    Newcastle North Stars
    30228165-11465
    2.
    Melbourne Mustangs
    Melbourne Mustangs
    30219168-11261
    3.
    Canberra Brave
    Canberra Brave
    302010152-10961
    8.
    Central Coast Rhinos
    Central Coast Rhinos
    301020125-17430
    9.
    Brisbane Lightning
    Brisbane Lightning
    30921166-21827
    10.
    Adelaide Adrenaline
    Adelaide Adrenaline
    3042684-16614