Metallurg Magnitogorsk vs Sibir Novosibirsk Prediction 24 October 2026
🔊 Metallurg have picked up points in six consecutive games and sit alone at the top of the regular season standings. However, their latest clash with Salavat Yulaev left a bitter aftertaste: the Magnitogorsk side built a two-goal lead, only to find themselves trailing and needing a late rescue to salvage the result. Sibir, too, recently experienced a true hockey rollercoaster. In Saint Petersburg, the Novosibirsk team stunned SKA with three goals in the opening period but ultimately conceded six. This season, the visitors have already pulled off surprises against top opponents away from home. The question is whether they have enough left in the tank for another demanding road trip-especially against the highest-scoring home offense in the East.
Nine matches in a single season
📊 Last season, these rivals had plenty of opportunities to size each other up. They faced off four times in the regular season and clashed again in five games during the opening round of the Gagarin Cup. Metallurg came out on top in seven of those nine encounters, with Sibir managing just two wins. Playing in Magnitogorsk has proven especially tough for the Novosibirsk side: they've lost two of their last three away games against the Steelmakers by at least a two-goal margin.
Head-to-head statistics Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Sibir Novosibirsk
Survive, but lose Silantyev
Five straight wins have cemented Metallurg’s position at the top of the table, with just a single point dropped over their last six outings. The Magnitogorsk attack has been firing on all cylinders-during this winning streak, the Steelworkers have averaged four goals per game. Their home scoring rate is equally impressive, at 3.5 goals per match, ranking among the league’s top three. In terms of expected goals, Metallurg are among the Eastern Conference’s elite, posting an average xG of 2.85. They opened their current home stand with a 4-2 victory over Avtomobilist, but the following game served as a reminder that even a potent offense doesn’t guarantee wins. There’s also a personnel issue: Dmitry Silantyev has picked up an injury. Meanwhile, rumors are swirling around the coaching staff, with Konstantin Shafranov tipped as a possible appointment. For now, Yuri Trubachyov continues to serve as interim head coach.
The clash with Salavat Yulaev started almost perfectly for Metallurg-apart from conceding just two minutes in. Daniil Vovchenko quickly leveled the score, Nathan Todd put the hosts ahead on the power play, and Vladimir Tkachev converted a breakaway before the intermission. Up 3-1, Magnitogorsk had several chances to extend their lead, including a five-minute power play after Grigory Panin was ejected for a hit on Silantyev. Those opportunities went begging, and in the third period the visitors struck three times in succession to turn the game on its head. Metallurg salvaged a point after calling a timeout and pulling their goalie for an extra skater-Johnson tipped in Vovchenko’s feed to tie it up. Salavat Yulaev proved more clinical in the shootout, sealing a 5-4 win. The hosts did pick up a point, but squandering a two-goal cushion and losing one of their key forwards left a bitter aftertaste.
Match Results: Metallurg Magnitogorsk
Three goals in the period weren’t enough
Sibir spent most of October on the road, and their results have been a mixed bag. In Ufa, Yaroslav Lyuzhenkov’s side managed to defeat Salavat Yulaev 4-2, then rallied from a 0-2 deficit against Dynamo Moscow to claim a shootout victory. However, strong stretches have alternated with disappointing lapses. In four recent games, the Novosibirsk team allowed their opponents to open the scoring, and they failed to find the net at all against Barys. On the road, though, their offense has generally delivered: Sibir have scored at least twice in seven consecutive away games. The attack may get a further boost from Alexander Kisakov, who joined from Traktor’s system, although his availability for the next match remains uncertain. Abramov, Valitov, Vorobyov, and Osipov are still sidelined with injuries.
During their visit to Saint Petersburg, Sibir found themselves both chasing the game and holding the lead, but ultimately fell 3-6 to SKA. The hosts struck first, only for Sibir to respond with three unanswered goals from Egor Korshkov, Sergei Popov, and Anton Kosolapov. It looked like the opening period was going Sibir’s way, but SKA managed not only to level the score before the break but also to move ahead at 4-3. Sibir couldn’t find the net again after that. SKA added a goal apiece in the second and third periods, and after conceding three times, Mikhail Berdin was replaced in goal by Anton Krasotkin. Despite outshooting SKA 32-28 and spending 12:05 in attack compared to the hosts’ 13:01, Sibir’s numerous early defensive errors proved costly.
Match Results: Sibir Novosibirsk
Prediction for the 1st period
Metallurg are known for their aggressive starts at home, but quick goals don’t always come easy against Sibir. In seven of the last eight head-to-head clashes, Magnitogorsk have scored no more than once in the opening period. Although Sibir recently conceded four goals in the first 20 minutes against SKA, a single poor outing doesn’t change the established pattern of this matchup. The pick: Metallurg under 1.5 goals in the first period at odds of 1.35.
Total Goals Prediction
Sibir have a knack for creating chances even when the game isn’t going their way. In eight of their last nine outings, the Novosibirsk side have scored at least two goals, and they've maintained this streak in seven straight road games. Against SKA, the visitors found the net three times before the first intermission. Metallurg, meanwhile, just allowed Salavat Yulaev to score four goals in regulation. Relying solely on the hosts’ defensive solidity looks risky here. The pick - Sibir over 1.5 total goals at 1.59.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐️ Editorial Prediction
Metallurg’s recent defeat to Salavat Yulaev exposed their vulnerability-even when holding a comfortable lead. On the flip side, the Magnitogorsk side still managed to score four goals, forced overtime in the dying minutes, and extended their points streak to six games. With plenty of attacking options, Metallurg have the firepower to make up for occasional defensive lapses-especially on home ice, where they average 3.5 goals per game.
Sibir have proven to be a tricky opponent on the road, with notable wins over Salavat Yulaev and Dynamo Moscow. Still, their clash with SKA highlighted Novosibirsk’s biggest weakness: even three goals weren’t enough when defensive mistakes started to pile up. Metallurg have claimed victory in seven of their last nine head-to-heads, including two of the last three home encounters by at least a two-goal margin. Despite struggling on the power play and missing Silantyev, the hosts’ offensive depth looks more convincing. My pick is a Metallurg win in regulation.
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Betting Tips: Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Sibir Novosibirsk
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