Severstal Cherepovec vs Avtomobilist Prediction 24 September 2026
🔊 Severstal finally found their scoring touch on their return from the Far East, netting four goals against Amur after being shut out in three consecutive games. The key question now is whether this surge marks the beginning of a turnaround. Avtomobilist are more than capable of putting that to the test, although they themselves are mired in a rough patch on the road. The Ural side have suffered defeats to Avangard, Dinamo Minsk, and the Shanghai Dragons, managing just two goals in each of those contests.
Don’t expect a high-scoring affair from these two teams.
📊 Last season, these sides faced each other just twice, trading wins. Severstal shut out the Urals club in their first encounter (2-0), but Avtomobilist responded with a convincing 4-1 victory in December. Expanding the sample to the last five head-to-head clashes, Severstal hold a slight edge with three wins to Avtomobilist’s two. Scoring has remained modest in these matchups, with the teams averaging just 4.6 goals per game.
Head-to-head statistics Severstal Cherepovec - Avtomobilist
One win hasn’t solved Severstal’s problems just yet.
Severstal arrived in Khabarovsk to face Amur carrying the weight of three consecutive games without a single goal. It wasn’t just a matter of creating chances: Severstal’s average xG stands at 2.69, and in some games, they even outshot their opponents. But in Khabarovsk, the drought finally ended-a 4-1 victory with a 12.9% shooting conversion rate. Nikita Popugaev found the net after his move from the Shanghai Dragons, but even after this win, Severstal’s average output over seven games remains just 1.1 goals per game.
While the offense searched for answers, Alexander Samoylov kept Severstal in contention-he conceded no more than two goals in each of the last three outings. Now, Severstal have another chance to prove whether their surge in Khabarovsk was a turning point or just a blip. The situation is complicated by injuries: Burenov, Kazulaev, and Liska are all sidelined. So while the 4-1 win over Amur offers some respite, those three prior scoreless games are still too recent to forget.
Match Results: Severstal Cherepovec
Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg Team Overview
Against the Shanghai Dragons, the Urals side fired 37 shots on target to their opponents' 21 and spent 11:17 in attack compared to just 6:02 for the visitors-yet still came up short (2-3). Once again, a slow start proved costly: they conceded the opener just 12 seconds in, and allowed a third goal only 24 seconds into the final period. Alexander Kadeykin pulled one back while shorthanded, and Daniel Sprong struck on the power play with just 19 seconds left on the clock. But it was too little, too late.
This marks Avtomobilist’s third straight defeat. Against Avangard, they squandered a 2-0 lead and fell in overtime just 34 seconds after the restart. Facing Dinamo Minsk, they shipped five goals, and now two disastrous opening minutes in each period in St. Petersburg have added to their woes. Still, the Urals side continue to create chances: just in the second period of their latest outing, they registered 18 shots on goal, and another 12 in the third. For now, though, their offensive efforts aren’t translating into goals.
Match Results: Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg
⚡️ Key Players
Severstal have yet to see a standout scorer pull away from the pack. Denis Yan and Alexander Skorenov each have three points through seven games - Yan has scored all three goals himself, while Skorenov has posted a 1+2 line. Yan’s finishing is particularly impressive, converting at a 21.4% clip with three goals from 14 shots. Ilya Ivantsov is close behind with two goals, one coming on the power play and the other shorthanded.
Avtomobilist’s numbers are on a different level. Alexander Sharov has racked up nine points in seven games - one goal and eight assists. Anatoly Golyshev follows with seven points (3+4), converting three of his ten shots for a 30% success rate. Adam Ruzicka has chipped in with six assists, though he’s yet to find the net despite seven attempts.
🥅 Goaltenders
Alexander Samoylov has started six games for Severstal, posting a .922 save percentage and a 2.17 goals-against average. His record includes two wins, four losses, and one shutout. Things have been tougher for Vsevolod Skotnikov, who owns an .861 save percentage and a 3.64 GAA after two appearances.
For Avtomobilist, Evgeny Alikin has played five games, recording two wins, three losses, a .9147 save percentage, and a 2.491 GAA. Vladimir Galkin is still searching for his first win, with two losses in three outings. His save percentage is similar at .9111, but his goals-against average is higher at 3.179.
⭐️ Editorial Prediction
Severstal’s four-goal performance in Khabarovsk stands out, especially considering their struggles prior to that game. In their previous three outings, the Cherepovets side failed to find the net at all, and after seven matches, they’re averaging just 1.1 goals per game. Avtomobilist have looked a bit sharper offensively-putting up 2.5 goals per contest-but even with 37 shots on target against the Shanghai Dragons, the Urals club managed to score only twice. Looking at the recent head-to-heads, the last five meetings between these teams have averaged 4.6 goals. That gives us some cushion compared to the current line. My pick: under 5.5 total goals.
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Betting Tips: Severstal Cherepovec - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg
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